Padres Edge Diamondbacks in High-Scoring Showdown
Saturday, September 26, 2026, 8:40 PM ET · Petco Park
San Diego Padres 10, Arizona Diamondbacks 7, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres beat Arizona Diamondbacks 10-7 at Petco Park on September 26, 2026.
Who was favored in Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -125 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling contest at Petco Park, the San Diego Padres defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 10-7, taking the series lead 2-1. This matchup was notable not only for the high score but also for the implications it held in the playoff race, as both teams are vying for postseason positioning. The Padres, with a home record of 90-71, showcased their offensive prowess, particularly in the middle innings, while the Diamondbacks, who hold an away record of 86-75, aimed to build on their recent momentum.
The Padres entered the game with a 7-3 record over their last ten games, although they faced a slight setback with a loss to the Diamondbacks in the previous game. Their scoring average during this stretch was 5.4 runs per game, while they allowed an average of 5.2 runs. In contrast, the Diamondbacks were riding a four-game winning streak, having won six of their last ten games, with an average of 5.4 runs scored and only 4.3 runs allowed during that span. This game was crucial as both teams looked to establish dominance in the series, which was tied at one game apiece.
Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with the Padres holding a slight edge in their head-to-head record at 12-10 over the last two seasons. In their most recent meeting prior to this game, the Padres suffered a significant loss, falling to the Diamondbacks 11-4. However, the Padres' home advantage at Petco Park has been a factor, as they have performed well at home, boasting a 2-1 record in their last three home games.
In terms of injuries, the Padres were without key players Joe Musgrove, Miguel Andujar, Jeremiah Estrada, Lucas Giolito, and Casey Mize, all of whom were on the injured list. The Diamondbacks also faced challenges, missing Corbin Burnes, Tyler Locklear, Ryan Thompson, A.J. Puk, and Andrew Saalfrank due to injuries. The absence of these players added an extra layer of complexity to the game, impacting both teams' strategies.
The betting lines provided by DraftKings indicated the Padres as the favorites at -125, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a competitive game. The over odds were -102.0, while the under odds were -118.0. This context set the stage for an exciting matchup, as both teams aimed to exceed expectations.
The game conditions were conducive to scoring, with clear skies and a favorable temperature, allowing hitters to take advantage of the ballpark's dimensions. Fans were treated to a display of power hitting, particularly from the Padres, who capitalized on their opportunities.
The scoring began in the fourth inning when McCann homered to center, bringing in Smith and giving the Diamondbacks a brief lead at 4-3. However, the Padres responded quickly, with Machado hitting a three-run homer that brought Salas and Tatis Jr. across the plate, putting them ahead 6-4. The Padres continued to build their lead in the fifth inning when Bogaerts homered, followed by a groundout from Tatis Jr. that allowed Cronenworth to score, making it 8-4.
In the sixth inning, the Padres extended their lead further with a two-run single from Cronenworth, scoring France and Merrill, which brought the score to 10-4. The Diamondbacks fought back in the ninth inning, scoring three runs, but it was not enough to overcome the deficit.
This game showcased the Padres' ability to respond under pressure and their offensive depth, while the Diamondbacks demonstrated resilience despite the loss. As the regular season draws to a close, both teams will look to build on their performances as they prepare for the postseason.
What we said beforehand
The San Diego Padres are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Petco Park on September 27, 2026, in a matchup that holds significant implications for both teams. The Diamondbacks currently lead the series 1-0 after their recent victory over the Padres, where they triumphed with a score of 11-4. This game is particularly noteworthy as both teams are vying for playoff positioning, with the Padres holding an 89-71 record and the Diamondbacks at 86-74.
In their last five games, the Padres have recorded three wins and two losses, with their most recent result being a loss against the Diamondbacks. They scored an average of 4.0 runs per game during this stretch, while allowing 5.4 runs. Their home record over the last ten games stands at 7-3, with an average of 5.4 runs scored and 5.2 runs allowed. However, they are currently on a one-game losing streak.
On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are riding a four-game winning streak, having won their last five games with an impressive average of 6.0 runs scored and 4.2 runs allowed. Their recent form has been strong, especially in their away games, where they have a perfect 3-0 record in their last three outings.
Historically, the Padres have a slight edge in their head-to-head record against the Diamondbacks, leading 12-10 in their meetings over the past two seasons. However, the Diamondbacks have been successful in recent matchups, winning three of the last five encounters.
In terms of injuries, the Padres will be without several key players, including Joe Musgrove, Miguel Andujar, Jeremiah Estrada, Lucas Giolito, and Casey Mize. The Diamondbacks also have notable absences, with Corbin Burnes, Tyler Locklear, Ryan Thompson, A.J. Puk, and Andrew Saalfrank on the injured list.
The odds for the game, provided by DraftKings, favor the Padres at -126, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0. The weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 79°F and no precipitation, although gusts could reach up to 14 mph.
Fans watching the game should keep an eye on the performances of key players. For the Padres, Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the team with a batting average of .291, while Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs and driven in 87 runs. For the Diamondbacks, Gabriel Moreno boasts a batting average of .311, and Nolan Arenado has contributed significantly with 30 home runs and 85 RBIs. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest as both teams look to solidify their playoff aspirations.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -125 | 8 o -102 / u -118 | Arizona Diamondbacks +104 · San Diego Padres -125 |
Injury report
- Joe Musgrove60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Casey Mize15-Day-ILAnkleSan Diego Padres
- Corbin Burnes15-Day-ILShoulderArizona Diamondbacks
- Tyler Locklear60-Day-ILThumbArizona Diamondbacks
- Ryan Thompson60-Day-ILBackArizona Diamondbacks
- A.J. Puk60-Day-ILElbowArizona Diamondbacks
- Andrew Saalfrank60-Day-ILShoulderArizona Diamondbacks
Recent form
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 7-3Streak L15.4 scored · 5.2 allowed per game2-1 at home
- L4-11vs Arizona DiamondbacksSep 26
- W4-2at Los Angeles DodgersSep 25
- W5-1at Los Angeles DodgersSep 24
- L0-7at Los Angeles DodgersSep 23
- W7-6vs Miami MarlinsSep 20
- W8-2vs Miami MarlinsSep 19
- W9-3at Colorado RockiesSep 17
- L3-9at Colorado RockiesSep 16
- W8-7at Colorado RockiesSep 15
- W6-4at San Francisco GiantsSep 13
Arizona Diamondbacks
Last 10: 6-4Streak W45.4 scored · 4.3 allowed per game3-0 away
- W11-4at San Diego PadresSep 26
- W5-3at Colorado RockiesSep 24
- W7-2at Colorado RockiesSep 23
- W5-3vs New York YankeesSep 20
- L2-9vs New York YankeesSep 19
- L3-4vs Miami MarlinsSep 17
- L2-4vs Miami MarlinsSep 16
- W8-7vs Miami MarlinsSep 15
- L2-6vs Texas RangersSep 13
- W9-1vs Texas RangersSep 12
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | - | 62 | W2 | .615 | 99 |
| San Diego | 9 | 71 | W1 | .559 | 90 |
| Arizona | 13 | 75 | L1 | .534 | 86 |
| San Francisco | 34 | 96 | L4 | .404 | 65 |
| Colorado | 41 | 103 | W1 | .360 | 58 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning0-1Merrill singled to center, Harris scored, Machado to third.
- 2nd Inning1-1Perdomo scored on pickoff error by catcher Salas, Carroll picked off second.
- 2nd Inning1-1Perdomo scored, Carroll to second on pickoff error by catcher Salas.
- 3rd Inning2-1Moreno singled to right, Tawa scored.
- 3rd Inning2-2France grounded out to first, Harris scored, Merrill to third.
- 3rd Inning2-3Sheets doubled to shortstop, Merrill scored.
- 4th Inning4-3McCann homered to center (412 feet), Smith scored.
- 4th Inning4-6Machado homered to right (351 feet), Salas scored and Tatis Jr. scored.
- 5th Inning4-7Bogaerts homered to left (380 feet).
- 5th Inning4-8Tatis Jr. grounded out to second, Cronenworth scored, Salas to second.
- 6th Inning4-10Cronenworth singled to center, France scored and Merrill scored, Bogaerts to third.
- 9th Inning5-10Perdomo walked, Tawa scored, Marte to second, Nootbaar to third.
- 9th Inning6-10Carroll grounded into fielder's choice to second, Nootbaar scored, Perdomo out at second, Marte to third.
- 9th Inning7-10Arenado singled to center, Marte scored, Carroll to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours San Diego Padres, below favours Arizona Diamondbacks.
Venue
- Petco ParkSan Diego, California
- Attendance44698
- OfficialsBen May, John Tumpane, Chris Segal, Brennan Miller
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