Braves Defeat Marlins in Key MLB Matchup
Saturday, September 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET · loanDepot park
Atlanta Braves 8, Miami Marlins 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins?
Atlanta Braves beat Miami Marlins 8-3 at loanDepot park on September 26, 2026.
Who was favored in Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins?
Atlanta Braves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -118 (about 54% implied). The favorite won.
In a decisive game at loanDepot park, the Atlanta Braves triumphed over the Miami Marlins with a final score of 8-3. This victory allowed the Braves to take a 2-1 lead in the series, showcasing their offensive strength and resilience. The Braves, who entered the game with a record of 94-67, have been a formidable opponent this season, while the Marlins, at 79-82, have struggled to maintain consistency.
The Braves have had a mixed performance recently, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games and currently on a two-game losing streak. They have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game while allowing 4.7 runs. In contrast, the Marlins have been slightly more successful, boasting a record of 6-4 in their last ten games and coming off a win against the Braves just a day prior. Miami has averaged 4.4 runs scored and allowed 3.8 runs during this stretch.
At home, the Marlins have performed well, holding a record of 2-0 in their last two home games, while their overall home record stands at 41-40. The Braves, however, have had a tougher time away from home, with a record of 1-3 in their last four away games, contributing to their overall away record of 53-34.
In their previous meetings this season, the Marlins had struggled against the Braves, losing the majority of their encounters. This game continued that trend, as the Braves capitalized on their opportunities. Notably, the Marlins had lost the last four matchups against the Braves before this series, with a record of 8-15-1 against them in recent seasons.
In terms of injuries, the Marlins were without Owen Caissie, who is on the 10-Day Injured List due to a back issue, and Tyler Zuber, who is on the 15-Day IL with an elbow injury. Additionally, Kyle Stowers and Xavier Edwards were both listed as day-to-day with abdomen and thumb injuries, respectively. The Braves faced their own challenges, with Joe Jimenez on the 60-Day IL due to a knee injury, and Reynaldo Lopez, Bryce Elder, Lane Thomas, and Martin Perez all on the 15-Day IL with various injuries.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had the Braves favored at -118, with a spread of 1.5 and a total set at 8.5. The odds for the over were -111.0, while the under was -109.0. The moneyline for the Marlins was -102.0, indicating a closely contested matchup according to the odds.
The game conditions were favorable for baseball, with clear skies and a comfortable temperature, allowing both teams to focus on their gameplay without weather distractions.
Key moments in the game included a powerful home run by Smith in the second inning, which set the tone for the Braves. This was followed by a series of scoring plays that saw the Braves build a substantial lead. The Marlins managed to respond with a couple of runs, including a homer from Sanoja and a triple from Hernández, but it was not enough to overcome the Braves' offensive onslaught.
As the game progressed, the Braves continued to find ways to score, with Baldwin's late-game homer sealing the victory. The Marlins, despite their efforts, could not match the Braves' scoring, leading to their defeat and further complicating their season's final stretch.
What we said beforehand
The Miami Marlins will face the Atlanta Braves at loanDepot park on September 26, 2026, with the Marlins leading the series 1-0 after their recent victory against the Braves. This matchup is particularly intriguing as both teams are looking to solidify their standings as the season draws to a close. The Braves, with a record of 93-67, are currently in a strong position, while the Marlins sit at 79-81, making this game critical for both teams.
In their last five games, the Marlins have posted a record of 3-2. They recently defeated the Braves 3-0 on September 25, following two wins against the Chicago Cubs and a loss to the Padres. Miami has averaged 4.2 runs scored and allowed only 2.6 runs in their last five games. At home, they have a record of 6-4 in their last ten games, with an average of 4.4 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed.
Conversely, the Braves have struggled recently, going 4-6 in their last ten games and currently on a two-game losing streak. Their latest loss was also to the Marlins, and they have averaged 3.6 runs scored while allowing 4.7 runs in their last ten games. Atlanta's away record stands at 3-3 in their last six games, and they will be looking to bounce back after their recent defeats.
Historically, the Braves have had the upper hand in their matchups against the Marlins, holding a record of 15 wins, 8 losses, and 1 tie in their last 24 meetings. However, the Marlins' recent win indicates they can compete effectively against Atlanta.
In terms of injuries, the Marlins will be without Owen Caissie, who is on the 10-Day Injured List due to a back issue, and Tyler Zuber and Anthony Bender, both on the 15-Day Injured List for elbow and lower leg injuries, respectively. Kyle Stowers and Xavier Edwards are listed as day-to-day, dealing with abdomen and thumb issues. The Braves also have significant injuries, with Joe Jimenez on the 60-Day Injured List due to a knee injury, and Reynaldo Lopez, Bryce Elder, Lane Thomas, and Martin Perez all on the 15-Day Injured List for various ailments.
The betting market has the Braves as slight favorites with odds from DraftKings showing Atlanta at -117 on the money line, while the Marlins are at -103. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 8.5 runs for the game. The over odds are -112, and the under odds are -107.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 86°F and a 61% chance of precipitation. Winds will be gusting up to 12 mph, which could affect play.
As fans tune in, they should watch for the performance of key players. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez leads in batting average at .304 and has 71 runs batted in, while Heriberto Hernandez has hit 24 home runs. For the Braves, Matt Olson is a standout with 41 home runs and 91 runs batted in, alongside Michael Harris II, who boasts a .290 batting average. This matchup promises to be a compelling contest as both teams vie for crucial victories.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -118 | 8.5 o -111 / u -109 | Atlanta Braves -118 · Miami Marlins -102 |
Injury report
- Owen Caissie10-Day-ILBackMiami Marlins
- Kyle StowersDay-To-DayAbdomenMiami Marlins
- Xavier EdwardsDay-To-DayThumbMiami Marlins
- Tyler Zuber15-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILShoulderAtlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
- Lane Thomas10-Day-ILSideAtlanta Braves
- Martin Perez15-Day-ILBackAtlanta Braves
Recent form
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 6-4Streak W14.4 scored · 3.8 allowed per game2-0 at home
- W3-0vs Atlanta BravesSep 25
- L1-2at Chicago CubsSep 24
- W3-2at Chicago CubsSep 23
- W8-2at Chicago CubsSep 22
- L6-7at San Diego PadresSep 20
- L2-8at San Diego PadresSep 19
- W4-3at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 17
- W4-2at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 16
- L7-8at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 15
- W6-4vs Los Angeles DodgersSep 13
Atlanta Braves
Last 10: 4-6Streak L23.6 scored · 4.7 allowed per game3-3 away
- L0-3at Miami MarlinsSep 25
- L6-7vs Cincinnati RedsSep 24
- W3-2vs Cincinnati RedsSep 23
- L0-4vs Cincinnati RedsSep 22
- W4-2at Houston AstrosSep 20
- W6-2at Houston AstrosSep 19
- L4-8at Chicago CubsSep 16
- W6-3at Chicago CubsSep 15
- L3-7at Chicago CubsSep 14
- L4-9vs Philadelphia PhilliesSep 13
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 67 | W1 | .584 | 94 |
| Philadelphia | 6.5 | 73 | L3 | .544 | 87 |
| Miami | 15 | 82 | L1 | .491 | 79 |
| Washington | 18 | 85 | L1 | .472 | 76 |
| New York | 20 | 87 | W1 | .460 | 74 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning1-0Olson hit sacrifice fly to shortstop, Harris II scored.
- 2nd Inning3-0Smith homered to right center (402 feet), Yastrzemski scored.
- 2nd Inning4-0Acuña Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to third, Kim scored, Harris II to second, Harris II safe at third on fielding error by third baseman Sanoja.
- 4th Inning5-0Harris II doubled to left, Kim scored.
- 4th Inning6-0Olson reached on infield single to first, Harris II scored.
- 4th Inning6-1Sanoja homered to left center (384 feet).
- 4th Inning6-2Conine singled to left, Ramírez scored, Ruiz to second.
- 7th Inning6-3Hernández tripled to left, Lopez scored.
- 9th Inning8-3Baldwin homered to center (407 feet), Harris II scored.
Win probability
Above the line favours Miami Marlins, below favours Atlanta Braves.
Venue
- loanDepot parkMiami, Florida
- Attendance35414
- OfficialsClint Vondrak, James Jean, Todd Tichenor, Adam Hamari
Elsewhere
- Phillies, desperate to clinch, will start Nola on short rest
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Game Highlights
- Bleday hits 24th homer, Lowder pitches 6 innings for first win since August as Reds beat Blue Jays
- Justin Verlander makes teary farewell to 21-year career as Tigers rally to beat Pirates 4-3
- Juan Soto exits Mets' win after HBP; X-rays negative
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers: Game Highlights
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Marlins Secure Series Win Against Braves 5-3Sep 27, 2026
- Marlins Shut Out Braves in Impressive VictorySep 25, 2026
- Braves Sweep Marlins with 11-3 VictoryAug 6, 2026
- Braves Sweep Marlins with 4-1 Victory at HomeAug 5, 2026
- Braves Sweep Marlins with 4-2 Victory at HomeAug 4, 2026