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MLB · Final

Marlins Secure Series Win Against Braves 5-3

Sunday, September 27, 2026, 3:10 PM ET · loanDepot park

Miami Marlins 5, Atlanta Braves 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins?

Miami Marlins beat Atlanta Braves 5-3 at loanDepot park on September 27, 2026.

Who was favored in Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins?

Miami Marlins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -126 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.

In a decisive matchup at loanDepot park, the Miami Marlins defeated the Atlanta Braves 5-3, clinching the series 2-1. This victory is notable as it highlights the Marlins' ability to compete against a formidable opponent, with the Braves holding a significantly better overall record of 94-68 compared to Miami's 80-82. The Marlins' recent form has been mixed, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, and they entered this game on a one-game losing streak after falling to the Braves 3-8 the previous day. Despite this, Miami's scoring average over their last ten games has been 4.1 runs per game, while they have allowed an average of 4.2 runs.

The Braves, on the other hand, also shared a 5-5 record in their last ten games but had just come off a win against the Marlins. Their scoring average during this stretch was slightly lower at 4.0, with an average of 4.1 runs allowed. This game further emphasized the competitive nature of their recent encounters, as both teams have shown fluctuations in performance. The Marlins had a home record of 1-1 in their last two games against the Braves, while the Braves had a 1-2 record in their last three away games.

Historically, the Marlins have struggled against the Braves, with a head-to-head record of 8-16-1 over the past two seasons. Previous meetings this season saw the Braves winning convincingly in earlier matchups, including a 3-11 loss for the Marlins in August. However, Miami's ability to win two out of three games in this series suggests a shift in momentum, particularly in their home venue.

In terms of injuries, the Marlins faced challenges with several key players. Kyle Stowers and Xavier Edwards were both listed as day-to-day, while Owen Caissie, Tyler Zuber, and Anthony Bender were on the injured list. The Braves also dealt with significant injuries, including Joe Jimenez on the 60-day IL and Reynaldo Lopez, Bryce Elder, Lane Thomas, and Martin Perez all on the 15-day IL.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of the game, with DraftKings offering odds of -126 for the Marlins on the money line, while the Braves were priced at 105. The spread was set at -1.5, with a total of 8.0 runs, indicating expectations of a closely contested game.

Conditions at loanDepot park were conducive to baseball, and the atmosphere was charged as fans witnessed a thrilling contest. The scoring plays highlighted the back-and-forth nature of the game, starting with Dubón's home run in the third inning, giving the Braves an early lead. However, the Marlins quickly responded with Hernández's homer in the fourth, leveling the score.

The sixth inning proved pivotal as Ruiz's single allowed Hernández to score, followed by Serna's double that brought in two more runs, giving Miami a 4-1 lead. The Braves managed to claw back with a run in the seventh, but Dubón's subsequent single extended the Marlins' lead to 5-3. Conine's homer capped off the Marlins' scoring, solidifying their victory.

As the game concluded, the Marlins demonstrated resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, securing a much-needed win against a strong opponent. The victory not only boosts their confidence but also showcases their potential as they look to build on this success in future matchups.

What we said beforehand

The Miami Marlins will face off against the Atlanta Braves in a crucial game at loanDepot park on September 27, 2026, with the series tied at 1-1. This matchup is significant as both teams look to gain momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. The Marlins, with a record of 79-82, are looking to solidify their standing, while the Braves, boasting a 94-67 record, are aiming to maintain their position in the playoff race.

In their recent form, the Marlins have shown some resilience, winning three of their last five games, which includes a notable victory against the Cubs where they triumphed 8-2 in 12 innings. However, they also suffered a loss to the Braves in their last outing, falling 8-3. Over their last ten games, the Marlins have a record of 5-5, scoring an average of 4.1 runs per game while allowing 4.2. At home, their performance has been slightly less impressive, with a home record of 1-1 in their last two games, and they have averaged 3.6 runs scored and 2.8 allowed in their last five.

The Braves, on the other hand, are coming off a win against the Marlins and have a similar 5-5 record over their last ten games. They managed to score an average of 4.0 runs while allowing 4.1 during this stretch. Their recent victory against the Marlins was a bounce-back performance after a loss to the Reds, and they will be looking to build on this momentum. The Braves' away record in their last five games stands at 2-3, with an average of 3.4 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed.

Historically, the Marlins have struggled against the Braves, with a head-to-head record of 8-16-1 over the last two seasons. In their last five meetings, the Marlins have managed to win only two games, with their most recent encounter resulting in an 8-3 loss on September 26. This trend could weigh on the Marlins as they prepare for this crucial game.

Injury concerns may also play a role in the matchup. The Marlins have several players listed as day-to-day, including Kyle Stowers (abdomen) and Xavier Edwards (thumb). They also have Owen Caissie on the 10-day injured list due to a back issue, along with Tyler Zuber and Anthony Bender, who are on the 15-day IL for elbow and lower leg injuries, respectively. The Braves are dealing with their own injury issues, with Joe Jimenez on the 60-day IL for a knee injury and Reynaldo Lopez, Bryce Elder, Lane Thomas, and Martin Perez all on the 15-day IL for various ailments.

The betting market has priced the Marlins at -126 according to DraftKings, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.0 runs. The over odds are at -115.0, while the under odds are at -105.0. This reflects a competitive matchup, with the Marlins slightly favored to win at home.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 86°F and a slight chance of precipitation at 1%. Winds will be gusting at 8 mph, which could influence play. Fans should watch for key performances from players like Otto Lopez, who leads the Marlins with a batting average of .305, and Matt Olson of the Braves, who has hit 41 home runs this season. With both teams looking to capitalize on their recent performances, this game promises to be an exciting encounter.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIA -126 8 o -107 / u -113 Atlanta Braves +105 · Miami Marlins -126

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Kyle StowersDay-To-DayAbdomenMiami Marlins
  • Xavier EdwardsDay-To-DayThumbMiami Marlins
  • Owen Caissie10-Day-ILBackMiami Marlins
  • Tyler Zuber15-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Joe Jimenez60-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
  • Reynaldo Lopez15-Day-ILShoulderAtlanta Braves
  • Bryce Elder15-Day-ILKneeAtlanta Braves
  • Lane Thomas10-Day-ILSideAtlanta Braves
  • Martin Perez15-Day-ILBackAtlanta Braves

Recent form

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 5-5Streak L14.1 scored · 4.2 allowed per game1-1 at home

  • L3-8vs Atlanta BravesSep 26
  • W3-0vs Atlanta BravesSep 25
  • L1-2at Chicago CubsSep 24
  • W3-2at Chicago CubsSep 23
  • W8-2at Chicago CubsSep 22
  • L6-7at San Diego PadresSep 20
  • L2-8at San Diego PadresSep 19
  • W4-3at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 17
  • W4-2at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 16
  • L7-8at Arizona DiamondbacksSep 15

Atlanta Braves

Last 10: 5-5Streak W14 scored · 4.1 allowed per game4-3 away

  • W8-3at Miami MarlinsSep 26
  • L0-3at Miami MarlinsSep 25
  • L6-7vs Cincinnati RedsSep 24
  • W3-2vs Cincinnati RedsSep 23
  • L0-4vs Cincinnati RedsSep 22
  • W4-2at Houston AstrosSep 20
  • W6-2at Houston AstrosSep 19
  • L4-8at Chicago CubsSep 16
  • W6-3at Chicago CubsSep 15
  • L3-7at Chicago CubsSep 14

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-68L1.58094
Philadelphia674W1.54388
Miami1482W1.49480
Washington1785W1.47577
New York2088L1.45774

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Inning1-0Dubón homered to left center (385 feet).
  2. 4th Inning1-1Hernández homered to left center (395 feet).
  3. 6th Inning1-2Ruiz singled to center, Hernández scored.
  4. 6th Inning1-4Serna doubled to left, De Los Santos scored and Ruiz scored.
  5. 7th Inning2-4Keirsey Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Kim scored, Hicklen to second.
  6. 7th Inning3-4Dubón singled to right, Hicklen scored.
  7. 7th Inning3-5Conine homered to right (415 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Miami Marlins, below favours Atlanta Braves.

Venue

  • loanDepot parkMiami, Florida
  • Attendance35730
  • OfficialsJames Jean, Todd Tichenor, Adam Hamari, Clint Vondrak

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.