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MLB · Final

Astros Defeat Marlins 4-1 in MLB Matchup

Wednesday, March 11, 2026, 1:10 PM ET · Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Houston Astros 4, Miami Marlins 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins?

Houston Astros beat Miami Marlins 4-1 at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium on March 11, 2026.

In a decisive victory, the Houston Astros defeated the Miami Marlins 4-1 at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. This win extends the Astros' lead in the season series against the Marlins to 4-1. The game showcased a strong performance from the Astros, highlighted by key home runs that contributed to their scoring.

The Astros opened the scoring in the fourth inning when Paredes homered to left field, marking the beginning of a series of successful offensive plays. In the sixth inning, Cole added to the Astros' lead with another home run, followed closely by Altuve, who also homered in the same inning. The Marlins managed to get on the board in the seventh inning with a home run from H. Hernández, but it was not enough to change the outcome. The Astros capped off their scoring in the eighth inning when Powell singled to right, allowing Ferreras to score.

Looking at the recent form, the Marlins have a home record of 6-10-1, while the Astros have an away record of 7-8-3. The Marlins' recent performance has been mixed, with a record of 7-3 over their last ten games, although they have only managed to win 2 of their last 5 games, averaging 2.2 runs scored and allowing 3.8 runs. In contrast, the Astros have a record of 4-6 in their last ten games. They have also won their last game, scoring an average of 3.3 runs while allowing 4.5 runs in that stretch.

The Marlins faced several injury challenges, with key players such as Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, Max Meyer, and Ronny Henriquez all on the injured list. The Astros also dealt with injuries, including Brice Matthews, Mike Burrows, and Carlos Correa, all of whom are on the 60-Day Injured List. These injuries have impacted both teams' lineups and may have influenced the game's dynamics.

In terms of conditions, the game was played under typical baseball weather, although specific details about the weather conditions were not provided in the block. The game atmosphere at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium was likely charged, given the stakes of the matchup and the history between the two teams.

The betting market reflected the expectations for this game, with the odds indicating a strong preference for the Astros. The exact odds were not specified, but the home win probability for the Marlins was reported at 0.0, suggesting that the market heavily favored the Astros to win.

Overall, this game was significant not only for the win-loss record but also for the implications it has on the ongoing season series between the Astros and the Marlins. Fans and analysts will be keen to see how both teams adjust moving forward, particularly in light of their injury situations and the performance trends observed in this matchup.

Injury report

  • Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
  • Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
  • Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
  • Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
  • Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
  • Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
  • Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
  • Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
  • Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros

Recent form

Miami Marlins

Last 10: 7-3Streak W14.1 scored · 3.9 allowed per game2-1 at home

  • W4-0vs New York MetsSep 28
  • L0-5vs New York MetsSep 27
  • W6-2vs New York MetsSep 26
  • L0-1at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 25
  • L1-11at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 24
  • W6-5at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 23
  • W4-2at Texas RangersSep 21
  • W6-4at Texas RangersSep 20
  • W8-4at Colorado RockiesSep 18
  • W6-5at Colorado RockiesSep 17

Houston Astros

Last 10: 4-6Streak W13.3 scored · 4.5 allowed per game1-4 away

  • W6-1at Los Angeles AngelsSep 28
  • L3-4at Los Angeles AngelsSep 27
  • L0-6at AthleticsSep 25
  • L1-5at AthleticsSep 24
  • L3-7vs Seattle MarinersSep 21
  • L0-4vs Seattle MarinersSep 20
  • W5-2vs Texas RangersSep 18
  • W6-5vs Texas RangersSep 17
  • W6-3vs Texas RangersSep 16
  • L3-8at Atlanta BravesSep 14

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Houston-69W1.50771
Texas271L1.49369
Seattle574W2.47166
Athletics1786W1.38654
Los Angeles1887L2.37953
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063

How the scoring went

  1. 4th Inning1-0Paredes homered to left (433 feet).
  2. 6th Inning2-0Cole homered to left (387 feet).
  3. 6th Inning3-0Altuve homered to left (377 feet).
  4. 7th Inning3-1H. Hernández homered to left (359 feet).
  5. 8th Inning4-1Powell singled to right, Ferreras scored, Powell out stretching at second.

Win probability

Above the line favours Miami Marlins, below favours Houston Astros.

Venue

  • Roger Dean Chevrolet StadiumJupiter, Florida
  • Attendance2434
  • OfficialsDan Merzel, Hunter Wendelstedt, CB Bucknor, Edwin Moscoso

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.