Astros Edge Marlins in Close Contest
Sunday, March 15, 2026, 1:05 PM ET · CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Houston Astros 1, Miami Marlins 0, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros?
Houston Astros beat Miami Marlins 1-0 at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on March 15, 2026.
In a tightly contested game at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches, the Houston Astros managed to secure a narrow victory over the Miami Marlins, winning 1-0. The only run of the game came in the eighth inning when Whitcomb doubled to left field, allowing Matthews to score. This victory marks another addition to the Astros' strong historical performance against the Marlins, as they now lead the series 5-1.
The Houston Astros entered the game with a home record of 9-10-3, having recently struggled with a 4-6 record over their last ten games. Their average runs scored during this stretch was 3.3, while they allowed an average of 4.5 runs per game. The Astros were on a one-game winning streak, having won their last game against the Los Angeles Angels 6-1. In contrast, the Miami Marlins came into this matchup with an away record of 8-11-2 and a more favorable recent form, boasting a 7-3 record over their last ten games, with an average of 4.1 runs scored and 3.9 runs allowed.
When examining their recent performances, the Astros had shown some inconsistency, particularly at home, where they recorded a 3-2 mark. In their last five games, they averaged just 2.6 runs scored while allowing 4.6 runs. The Marlins, however, had a stronger away performance, with a 5-2 record in their last seven away games, although they had experienced a slight dip in form recently, going 2-3 in their last five.
In terms of injuries, the Astros faced significant challenges, with four players on the injured list: Brice Matthews (60-Day-IL, knee), Mike Burrows (15-Day-IL, elbow), Carlos Correa (60-Day-IL, ankle), and Brandon Walter (60-Day-IL, elbow). The Marlins also had their share of injuries, with Anthony Bender (15-Day-IL, lower leg), Pete Fairbanks (15-Day-IL, hand), Xavier Edwards (10-Day-IL, thumb), Max Meyer (15-Day-IL, neck), and Ronny Henriquez (60-Day-IL, elbow) all unavailable for the game.
The market had priced the Astros as favorites, reflecting their home advantage and historical success against the Marlins. The odds attributed to this matchup were not specified, but the Astros' strong home record and recent win probability of 1.0 indicated confidence in their ability to secure the win.
Conditions at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches were conducive for a close game, with both teams showcasing their pitching strengths. The Astros' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as evidenced by Whitcomb's timely double, proved crucial in a game where runs were at a premium.
Overall, this matchup highlighted the Astros' resilience, managing to pull out a win despite their injury woes and recent form. The Marlins, while competitive, fell short in their efforts to break through the Astros' defense. As the season progresses, both teams will look to build on this game, with the Astros aiming to leverage their home field advantage and the Marlins seeking to improve their away performance.
Injury report
- Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
- Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
- Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
- Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
Houston Astros
Last 10: 4-6Streak W13.3 scored · 4.5 allowed per game3-2 at home
- W6-1at Los Angeles AngelsSep 28
- L3-4at Los Angeles AngelsSep 27
- L0-6at AthleticsSep 25
- L1-5at AthleticsSep 24
- L3-7vs Seattle MarinersSep 21
- L0-4vs Seattle MarinersSep 20
- W5-2vs Texas RangersSep 18
- W6-5vs Texas RangersSep 17
- W6-3vs Texas RangersSep 16
- L3-8at Atlanta BravesSep 14
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 7-3Streak W14.1 scored · 3.9 allowed per game5-2 away
- W4-0vs New York MetsSep 28
- L0-5vs New York MetsSep 27
- W6-2vs New York MetsSep 26
- L0-1at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 25
- L1-11at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 24
- W6-5at Philadelphia PhilliesSep 23
- W4-2at Texas RangersSep 21
- W6-4at Texas RangersSep 20
- W8-4at Colorado RockiesSep 18
- W6-5at Colorado RockiesSep 17
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
| Houston | - | 69 | W1 | .507 | 71 |
| Texas | 2 | 71 | L1 | .493 | 69 |
| Seattle | 5 | 74 | W2 | .471 | 66 |
| Athletics | 17 | 86 | W1 | .386 | 54 |
| Los Angeles | 18 | 87 | L2 | .379 | 53 |
How the scoring went
- 8th Inning0-1Whitcomb doubled to left, Matthews scored.
Win probability
Above the line favours Houston Astros, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- CACTI Park of the Palm BeachesPalm Beach, Florida
- Attendance2904
- OfficialsRon Kulpa, CB Bucknor, Emil Jimenez, Ramon De Jesus
Elsewhere
- Fantasy baseball forecaster: Team hitting ratings
- Fantasy baseball forecaster: Pitcher projections for the next 10 days
- Fantasy Baseball Reliever Depth Chart
- MLB playoff tracker 2026: Clinching scenarios, bracket, schedule
- MLB betting tips for Thursday: Rays and the road don't seem to be getting along
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Picks for MLB
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These two, other days
- Astros Sweep Marlins with 5-2 Victory in Series FinaleJul 22, 2026
- Astros Complete Sweep Against Marlins with 5-3 VictoryJul 21, 2026
- Astros Complete Sweep Over Marlins with 8-5 VictoryJul 20, 2026
- Marlins Defeat Astros 7-4 in Series FinaleMar 20, 2026
- Astros Defeat Marlins 4-1 in MLB MatchupMar 11, 2026