Aces Defeat Mercury in Competitive WNBA Matchup
Friday, October 10, 2025, 8:00 PM ET · Mortgage Matchup Center
Las Vegas Aces 97, Phoenix Mercury 86, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury?
Las Vegas Aces beat Phoenix Mercury 97-86 at Mortgage Matchup Center on October 10, 2025.
In a closely contested game at the Mortgage Matchup Center, the Las Vegas Aces emerged victorious against the Phoenix Mercury with a final score of 97-86. This victory marked the Aces' fourth consecutive win and solidified their dominance in the series, as they have now won three out of four meetings against the Mercury this season.
The Aces, boasting a record of 30-14, have shown impressive form recently, winning seven of their last ten games. Their scoring average during this stretch has been 86.4 points per game, while allowing 82.8 points. In contrast, the Mercury, with a record of 27-17, have struggled, particularly in their last few outings, losing three consecutive games and recording a 5-5 record over their last ten. The Mercury's scoring average in this same timeframe stands at 81.4 points, with an average of 80.1 points allowed.
Historically, the Mercury have faced challenges against the Aces, holding a 2-10 record in their last twelve meetings. In the most recent matchup prior to this game, which took place just two days earlier on October 9, the Mercury lost 90-88 at home, highlighting the competitive nature of these encounters. The Aces have consistently outperformed the Mercury in their recent meetings, with the Mercury's last victory over the Aces dating back to earlier in the season.
In terms of player availability, the Mercury were significantly impacted by injuries, missing Kelsey Plum (lower leg), Kahleah Copper (ankle), Valeriane Ayayi, Kyara Linskens, and Jovana Nogic, all of whom were out for this game. The Aces also had some absences, including Ta'Niya Latson (coach's decision) and NaLyssa Smith (leg), but their depth allowed them to maintain a strong performance.
The market reflected the Aces' strong form, with odds favoring them heading into the game. The final score of 97-86 illustrates the Aces' ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths while maintaining control on defense.
Conditions during the game were optimal for basketball, with both teams showcasing their skills in a high-stakes environment. Viewers were treated to a showcase of talent, with standout performances from key players. A'ja Wilson contributed significantly to the Aces' success, making crucial free throws in the fourth quarter to help seal the victory. Jackie Young also played a pivotal role, contributing to the Aces' scoring in the closing moments of the game.
As the playoffs approach, both teams will look to adjust and improve. The Aces will aim to maintain their winning streak, while the Mercury will need to regroup and address their recent struggles to remain competitive in the postseason.
Injury report
- Kelsey PlumOutLower LegPhoenix Mercury
- Kahleah CopperOutAnklePhoenix Mercury
- Valeriane AyayiOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
- Kyara LinskensOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
- Jovana NogicOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
- Ta'Niya LatsonOutCoach's DecisionLas Vegas Aces
- NaLyssa SmithOutLegLas Vegas Aces
Leaders
- PointsKahleah Copper30Phoenix Mercury
- AssistsAlyssa Thomas10Phoenix Mercury
- ReboundsAlyssa Thomas12Phoenix Mercury
- PointsA'ja Wilson31Las Vegas Aces
- AssistsJackie Young8Las Vegas Aces
- ReboundsA'ja Wilson9Las Vegas Aces
Recent form
Phoenix Mercury
Last 10: 5-5Streak L381.4 scored · 80.1 allowed per game3-2 at home
- L88-90vs Las Vegas AcesOct 9
- L78-91at Las Vegas AcesOct 5
- L86-89at Las Vegas AcesOct 4
- W86-81vs Minnesota LynxSep 29
- W84-76vs Minnesota LynxSep 27
- W89-83at Minnesota LynxSep 23
- L69-82at Minnesota LynxSep 21
- W79-73vs New York LibertySep 20
- W86-60at New York LibertySep 18
- L69-76vs New York LibertySep 14
Las Vegas Aces
Last 10: 7-3Streak W486.4 scored · 82.8 allowed per game2-2 away
- W90-88at Phoenix MercuryOct 9
- W91-78vs Phoenix MercuryOct 5
- W89-86vs Phoenix MercuryOct 4
- W107-98vs Indiana FeverOct 1
- L83-90at Indiana FeverSep 28
- W84-72at Indiana FeverSep 26
- W90-68vs Indiana FeverSep 24
- L73-89vs Indiana FeverSep 21
- W74-73vs Seattle StormSep 19
- L83-86at Seattle StormSep 17
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | - | 9 | L2 | .775 | 31 |
| Golden State | 2 | 11 | W4 | .725 | 29 |
| Las Vegas | 4 | 13 | W3 | .675 | 27 |
| Dallas | 7 | 16 | W4 | .600 | 24 |
| Portland | 15 | 24 | L1 | .400 | 16 |
| Los Angeles | 16 | 25 | W2 | .375 | 15 |
| Phoenix | 17 | 26 | W1 | .350 | 14 |
| Seattle | 23 | 32 | L1 | .200 | 8 |
Box score
| Stat | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 28-72 | 32-65 |
| Field goal % | 39 | 49 |
| Three-pointers | 12-31 | 5-18 |
| Three-point % | 39 | 28 |
| Free throws | 29-35 | 17-19 |
| Free throw % | 83 | 89 |
| Rebounds | 32 | 41 |
| Offensive rebounds | 10 | 8 |
| Defensive rebounds | 22 | 33 |
| Assists | 19 | 17 |
| Steals | 8 | 3 |
| Blocks | 6 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 7 | 18 |
| Team turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 5 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 5 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 6 | 26 |
| Fast-break points | 9 | 10 |
| Points in the paint | 28 | 48 |
| Fouls | 16 | 25 |
| Largest lead | 20 | 0 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Quarter68-54A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter69-54Dana Evans makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter70-54Dana Evans makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter71-54Chelsea Gray makes technical free throw
- 3rd Quarter70-56Kahleah Copper makes driving layup
- 3rd Quarter70-57Kahleah Copper makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter70-58Kahleah Copper makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter70-60Kahleah Copper makes driving layup (Alyssa Thomas assists)
- 3rd Quarter72-60Jackie Young makes driving layup
- 3rd Quarter72-62Alyssa Thomas makes 4-foot layup (Monique Akoa Makani assists)
- 3rd Quarter73-62A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter74-62A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter76-62A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter76-65DeWanna Bonner makes 24-foot three point jumper (Monique Akoa Makani assists)
- 4th Quarter76-67Kahleah Copper makes layup (Alyssa Thomas assists)
- 4th Quarter76-68Kahleah Copper makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter76-70Kalani Brown makes two point shot (DeWanna Bonner assists)
- 4th Quarter78-70A'ja Wilson makes 17-foot jumper (Dana Evans assists)
- 4th Quarter78-72Kahleah Copper makes 10-foot pullup jump shot
- 4th Quarter81-72Chelsea Gray makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jackie Young assists)
- 4th Quarter82-72Jackie Young makes technical free throw
- 4th Quarter84-72Jackie Young makes driving layup
- 4th Quarter84-74Monique Akoa Makani makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter84-75Monique Akoa Makani makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter87-75Chelsea Gray makes 26-foot three point jumper (A'ja Wilson assists)
- 4th Quarter87-78Kathryn Westbeld makes 29-foot three point jumper (Kahleah Copper assists)
- 4th Quarter89-78Jackie Young makes driving layup
- 4th Quarter89-79Kahleah Copper makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter90-79Chelsea Gray makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter90-80Kalani Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter90-82Kahleah Copper makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter91-82Jackie Young makes technical free throw
- 4th Quarter92-82A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter93-82A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter93-84Alyssa Thomas makes 7-foot two point shot
- 4th Quarter94-84Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter95-84Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter95-86DeWanna Bonner makes two point shot (Alyssa Thomas assists)
- 4th Quarter96-86Jackie Young makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter97-86Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Phoenix Mercury, below favours Las Vegas Aces.
Venue
- Mortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix, AZ
- Attendance17071
- OfficialsRoy Gulbeyan, Jeff Wooten, Gina Cross, Tim Greene
Elsewhere
- Russell Westbrook joins board of basketball league Project B
- How do the WNBA playoffs work? Dates, format and more
- Wings' Li to miss FIBA World Cup due to lost passport
- 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup: Team USA analysis, rankings, rosters
- Why are there no WNBA games for two weeks? More about FIBA break
- 2026 WNBA championship odds: Lynx still odds-on title favorites; Aces, Valkyries next
- U.S. coach Kara Lawson calls World Cup most challenging
- Sky's Skylar Diggins (knee) to miss remainder of season
WNBA rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Aces Defeat Mercury 100-82 in WNBA MatchupSep 24, 2026
- Aces Dominate Mercury in WNBA ShowdownJul 11, 2026
- Aces Triumph Over Mercury in WNBA ClashJun 17, 2026
- Mercury Defeat Aces 99-66 in Dominant PerformanceMay 9, 2026
- Aces Edge Mercury in Thrilling Final ShowdownOct 8, 2025