ENSign in
WNBA · Final

Aces Dominate Mercury in WNBA Showdown

Saturday, July 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET · Michelob ULTRA Arena

Las Vegas Aces 106, Phoenix Mercury 58, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces?

Las Vegas Aces beat Phoenix Mercury 106-58 at Michelob ULTRA Arena on July 11, 2026.

Who was favored in Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces?

Las Vegas Aces were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -380 (about 79% implied). The favorite won.

In a commanding performance, the Las Vegas Aces triumphed over the Phoenix Mercury with a final score of 106 to 58. This victory marks the Aces' third win in their last four meetings against the Mercury, extending their lead in the season series to 3-1. The Aces, boasting a home record of 17-6, showcased their dominance at the Michelob ULTRA Arena, where they have consistently performed well.

The Aces entered the game with a recent record of 6-4 over their last ten games, averaging 86.5 points scored and 86.2 points allowed. Their latest outing was a victory against the Portland Fire, where they won 88-80. In contrast, the Mercury have struggled, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, averaging 86.3 points scored and 86.6 points allowed. The Mercury's most recent game ended in a loss to the Indiana Fever, 89-92, marking their second consecutive defeat.

At home, the Aces have a solid record of 3-2 in their last five games, while the Mercury have been less effective on the road, also posting a 2-4 record in their last six away games. Historically, the Aces have dominated this matchup, holding a 9-2 record against the Mercury in their last eleven meetings, including a significant win earlier in the season on June 18, where they defeated Phoenix 86-76.

Injuries played a significant role in the game, with both teams missing key players. The Aces were without Ta'Niya Latson and NaLyssa Smith, while the Mercury were missing Kelsey Plum, Kahleah Copper, Valeriane Ayayi, Kyara Linskens, and Jovana Nogic, all of whom were out for various reasons. This absence of talent undoubtedly impacted the Mercury’s performance, as they struggled to keep pace with the Aces throughout the game.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Aces favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 168.5. The Aces were listed at -380 on the moneyline, while the Mercury were at +300. These odds reflected the Aces' strong home record and recent form, as well as the Mercury's struggles on the road and with their roster.

Conditions during the game were favorable for basketball, allowing both teams to focus on their strategies without the interference of external factors. The Aces capitalized on their home-court advantage, showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive capabilities, which ultimately led to a lopsided score.

Viewers should have noted the Aces' ability to control the game tempo and their effective shooting, particularly in the fourth quarter, where they continued to extend their lead. Key scoring plays included contributions from various players, highlighting the Aces' depth and versatility. The Mercury, on the other hand, struggled to find their rhythm, unable to counter the Aces' scoring runs effectively.

Overall, the Aces' decisive victory over the Mercury not only solidified their position in the standings but also showcased their potential as a formidable contender in the WNBA.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsLV -8.5 168.5 o -110 / u -110 Phoenix Mercury +300 · Las Vegas Aces -380

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Ta'Niya LatsonOutCoach's DecisionLas Vegas Aces
  • NaLyssa SmithOutLegLas Vegas Aces
  • Kelsey PlumOutLower LegPhoenix Mercury
  • Kahleah CopperOutAnklePhoenix Mercury
  • Valeriane AyayiOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
  • Kyara LinskensOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury
  • Jovana NogicOutNot Injury RelatedPhoenix Mercury

Leaders

  • PointsA'ja Wilson21Las Vegas Aces
  • AssistsChelsea Gray12Las Vegas Aces
  • ReboundsA'ja Wilson15Las Vegas Aces
  • PointsMonique Akoa Makani13Phoenix Mercury
  • AssistsDeWanna Bonner3Phoenix Mercury
  • ReboundsValeriane Ayayi7Phoenix Mercury

Recent form

Las Vegas Aces

Last 10: 6-4Streak W186.5 scored · 86.2 allowed per game3-2 at home

  • W88-80at Portland FireJul 10
  • L68-84vs Indiana FeverJul 5
  • W98-90vs Chicago SkyJul 4
  • L85-93at New York LibertyJun 30
  • W107-99at Chicago SkyJun 28
  • W99-84vs Dallas WingsJun 26
  • L76-87vs New York LibertyJun 24
  • W92-73vs Golden State ValkyriesJun 21
  • W86-76at Phoenix MercuryJun 18
  • L66-96at Dallas WingsJun 16

Phoenix Mercury

Last 10: 4-6Streak L286.3 scored · 86.6 allowed per game2-2 away

  • L89-92vs Indiana FeverJul 10
  • L66-77vs Chicago SkyJul 8
  • W90-67vs Seattle StormJul 3
  • W89-80at Toronto TempoJun 27
  • W111-109at Indiana FeverJun 24
  • L77-86at Indiana FeverJun 23
  • W93-73vs Seattle StormJun 20
  • L76-86vs Las Vegas AcesJun 18
  • L102-111vs Los Angeles SparksJun 14
  • L70-85at Dallas WingsJun 12

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Minnesota-9L2.77531
Golden State211W4.72529
Las Vegas413W3.67527
Dallas716W4.60024
Portland1524L1.40016
Los Angeles1625W2.37515
Phoenix1726W1.35014
Seattle2332L1.2008

Box score

StatPhoenix MercuryLas Vegas Aces
Field goals23-6639-77
Field goal %3551
Three-pointers7-3114-35
Three-point %2340
Free throws5-814-16
Free throw %6388
Rebounds2947
Offensive rebounds312
Defensive rebounds2635
Assists1431
Steals38
Blocks02
Turnovers178
Team turnovers11
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers2413
Fast-break points77
Points in the paint2842
Fouls1614
Largest lead054
Lead changes00
Time in front097

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Quarter24-57Alyssa Thomas makes running layup
  2. 3rd Quarter24-59A'ja Wilson makes 3-foot reverse layup (Chelsea Gray assists)
  3. 3rd Quarter26-59Alyssa Thomas makes 13-foot pullup jump shot
  4. 3rd Quarter26-61NaLyssa Smith makes 7-foot turnaround jump shot (A'ja Wilson assists)
  5. 3rd Quarter26-63Jackie Young makes 2-foot layup (Chelsea Gray assists)
  6. 3rd Quarter29-63Monique Akoa Makani makes 26-foot running jump shot (DeWanna Bonner assists)
  7. 3rd Quarter29-65Chelsea Gray makes 12-foot running pullup jump shot
  8. 3rd Quarter29-68A'ja Wilson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Chelsea Gray assists)
  9. 3rd Quarter29-70NaLyssa Smith makes 5-foot turnaround jump shot (Chelsea Gray assists)
  10. 3rd Quarter31-70Alyssa Thomas makes layup (DeWanna Bonner assists)
  11. 3rd Quarter31-71NaLyssa Smith makes free throw 1 of 2
  12. 3rd Quarter31-72NaLyssa Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
  13. 3rd Quarter31-74NaLyssa Smith makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Chelsea Gray assists)
  14. 3rd Quarter34-74Kahleah Copper makes 25-foot three point jumper (Lexi Held assists)
  15. 3rd Quarter34-76Chelsea Gray makes 18-foot pullup jump shot
  16. 3rd Quarter34-79Kierstan Bell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Chelsea Gray assists)
  17. 3rd Quarter36-79Kahleah Copper makes 4-foot layup (Alyssa Thomas assists)
  18. 4th Quarter36-82Justine Pissott makes 28-foot three point jumper (Kierstan Bell assists)
  19. 4th Quarter36-84Justine Pissott makes 12-foot jumper (Kierstan Bell assists)
  20. 4th Quarter38-84Marta Suarez makes layup (Sami Whitcomb assists)
  21. 4th Quarter38-87Justine Pissott makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jewell Loyd assists)
  22. 4th Quarter38-90Justine Pissott makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jewell Loyd assists)
  23. 4th Quarter38-92Justine Pissott makes layup (Stephanie Talbot assists)
  24. 4th Quarter40-92Lexi Held makes tip shot
  25. 4th Quarter42-92Lexi Held makes two point shot
  26. 4th Quarter43-92Valeriane Ayayi makes free throw 1 of 3
  27. 4th Quarter44-92Valeriane Ayayi makes free throw 2 of 3
  28. 4th Quarter45-92Valeriane Ayayi makes free throw 3 of 3
  29. 4th Quarter45-94Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes layup (Justine Pissott assists)
  30. 4th Quarter45-96Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes two point shot
  31. 4th Quarter46-96Marta Suarez makes free throw 2 of 2
  32. 4th Quarter46-99Justine Pissott makes 29-foot three point jumper (Kierstan Bell assists)
  33. 4th Quarter48-99Valeriane Ayayi makes 2-foot two point shot (Noemie Brochant assists)
  34. 4th Quarter48-101Stephanie Talbot makes two point shot
  35. 4th Quarter50-101Lexi Held makes 19-foot pullup jump shot (Marta Suarez assists)
  36. 4th Quarter52-101Marta Suarez makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot
  37. 4th Quarter52-103Jewell Loyd makes driving layup
  38. 4th Quarter55-103Lexi Held makes 27-foot three point jumper (Valeriane Ayayi assists)
  39. 4th Quarter55-106Justine Pissott makes 25-foot three pointer (Kierstan Bell assists)
  40. 4th Quarter58-106Monique Akoa Makani makes 23-foot three point jumper (Marta Suarez assists)

Win probability

Above the line favours Las Vegas Aces, below favours Phoenix Mercury.

Venue

  • Michelob ULTRA ArenaLas Vegas, NV
  • Attendance10321
  • OfficialsTiara Cruse, Teresa Stuck, Josh Reed

Elsewhere

WNBA rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.