Marlins Edge Dodgers in Thrilling Finish

What we said beforehand

The Miami Marlins will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at loanDepot park on September 12, 2026, in a matchup that holds significant implications for both teams. The Dodgers currently lead the season series 1-0, having won the previous encounter 6-2 just a day prior. This game is particularly noteworthy as the Dodgers are pushing for a strong finish to the season, while the Marlins are looking to turn around their recent struggles.

In their last five games, the Marlins have struggled, recording just one win against the Chicago Cubs (10-3) on September 6. They have lost four consecutive games since then, including three against the New York Mets (9-4, 7-5, and a close 15-14 defeat) and the recent loss to the Dodgers. Over their last ten games, the Marlins have a record of 3-7, averaging 5.9 runs scored per game while allowing 6.8 runs. At home, they have been particularly challenged, with a recent home record of 1-6.

In contrast, the Dodgers have been in excellent form, winning eight of their last ten games, including their last five in a row. Their most recent victory against the Marlins added to a streak that includes dominant wins over the Cincinnati Reds (6-3, 3-2, and 14-1) and the Washington Nationals (7-5 and 6-5). The Dodgers are averaging 6.4 runs scored and allowing just 4.4 runs over their last ten games, showcasing their offensive prowess and solid pitching.

The Marlins will be looking to improve their home performance, where they have averaged 7.0 runs scored and allowed 8.0 runs in their last five home games. The Dodgers, meanwhile, will aim to maintain their momentum on the road, where they have a 1-0 record in their last away game.

In terms of injuries, the Marlins will be without Xavier Edwards (10-Day IL, thumb), Max Meyer (15-Day IL, neck), Anthony Bender (15-Day IL, lower leg), Ronny Henriquez (60-Day IL, elbow), and Adam Mazur (60-Day IL, elbow). The Dodgers will miss Kris Bubic (60-Day IL, shoulder), Edwin Diaz (15-Day IL, neck), Roki Sasaki (15-Day IL, finger), Dalton Rushing (10-Day IL, elbow), and Gavin Stone (60-Day IL, shoulder).

The betting market reflects the Dodgers' current form, with DraftKings listing them as the favorites at odds of -168, while the Marlins are at +138. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 8.0 runs for the game. The over is priced at -105, while the under is at -114.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 87°F, a 39% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts up to 12 mph. These factors could influence gameplay, particularly in terms of pitching and hitting conditions.

Viewers should watch for the performance of key players in this matchup. For the Marlins, Otto Lopez leads the team with a .307 batting average and has driven in 66 runs, while Heriberto Hernandez has hit 24 home runs. On the Dodgers' side, Freddie Freeman boasts a .297 batting average, and Shohei Ohtani has been a standout with 30 home runs and 80 RBIs. The clash of these offensive talents will be a focal point as both teams vie for a crucial win.