Marlins Edge Dodgers in Close Contest at Dodger Stadium
Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 10:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium
Miami Marlins 2, Los Angeles Dodgers 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Miami Marlins beat Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 at Dodger Stadium on April 28, 2026.
Who was favored in Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Los Angeles Dodgers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -280 (about 74% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested game at Dodger Stadium, the Miami Marlins defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers with a final score of 2-1. This victory allowed the Marlins to clinch the series 2-1 against the Dodgers, showcasing their competitive edge in recent matchups. The Marlins' win adds to their confidence as they continue to navigate through the season.
The Dodgers entered this game with a home record of 20-10 and a recent form of 6-4 over their last ten games, riding a two-game winning streak. They averaged 4.8 runs scored while allowing only 2.7 runs during this stretch. Their last game before this matchup was a 5-4 victory against the Marlins, which had set the stage for a competitive series. However, the Dodgers faced challenges in their recent performances, particularly in their last five games, where they recorded a 2-3 record with an average of 3.2 runs scored and 3.2 runs allowed.
On the other hand, the Marlins came into this game with a record of 14-16. Their recent form showed a 4-6 record in the last ten games, currently on a two-game losing streak. They averaged 4.3 runs scored but allowed 4.5 runs per game during this span. The Marlins had lost their previous game against the Dodgers, but they managed to bounce back in this contest, demonstrating resilience.
The game featured a few key scoring plays that defined the outcome. In the second inning, the Marlins took an early lead when Caissie hit a sacrifice fly to center, allowing Ramírez to score. They extended their lead in the fifth inning with Stowers hitting a single to right, bringing Morel home. The Dodgers managed to score in the eighth inning when Smith singled to right, allowing Rushing to score and Freeman to advance to third, but it was not enough to overcome the Marlins' lead.
In terms of home and away performance, the Dodgers had a strong home record of 4-1 in their last five games at Dodger Stadium, while the Marlins struggled on the road with a 1-3 record in their last four away games. This home advantage for the Dodgers was expected to play a crucial role, but the Marlins proved their mettle in this matchup.
Historically, the Dodgers have had the upper hand in their recent meetings with the Marlins, holding a 5-1 record against them in the last six encounters. This included a 10-1 victory earlier in the 2025 season and a 15-2 win in another game, indicating that the Dodgers had been dominant. However, the Marlins' recent victory suggests a shift in dynamics, as they have shown they can compete effectively against the Dodgers.
Injuries also played a role in shaping the teams' performance. The Dodgers were missing several key players, including Gavin Stone, Bobby Miller, Brusdar Graterol, and Jake Cousins, all on the 60-day injured list due to various ailments. Edwin Diaz was also on the 15-day injured list with a neck issue. The Marlins faced their own injury challenges, with Anthony Bender, Pete Fairbanks, Xavier Edwards, Max Meyer, and Ronny Henriquez all sidelined due to injuries of varying severity.
As for the betting market, DraftKings had the Dodgers as heavy favorites with odds of LAD -280, while the Marlins were listed at +224. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Dodgers, with a total of 7.5 runs for the game. The odds reflected the expectation of a competitive game, but the outcome demonstrated that the Marlins could defy those expectations.
The weather conditions at Dodger Stadium were typical for a spring evening in Los Angeles, providing a favorable environment for baseball. Fans were treated to a classic matchup, highlighting the intensity of MLB competition.
Viewers should have noted the strategic plays and pitching decisions that unfolded throughout the game, as both teams worked to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Dodgers' late push in the eighth inning showed their determination to fight back, but ultimately, the Marlins' defense held strong to secure the win. This game serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of baseball, where any team can emerge victorious on any given day.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | LAD -280 | 7.5 o -105 / u -115 | Miami Marlins +224 · Los Angeles Dodgers -280 |
Injury report
- Gavin Stone60-Day-ILShoulderLos Angeles Dodgers
- Bobby Miller60-Day-ILShoulderLos Angeles Dodgers
- Brusdar Graterol60-Day-ILBackLos Angeles Dodgers
- Jake Cousins60-Day-ILElbowLos Angeles Dodgers
- Edwin Diaz15-Day-ILNeckLos Angeles Dodgers
- Anthony Bender15-Day-ILLower LegMiami Marlins
- Pete Fairbanks15-Day-ILHandMiami Marlins
- Xavier Edwards10-Day-ILThumbMiami Marlins
- Max Meyer15-Day-ILNeckMiami Marlins
- Ronny Henriquez60-Day-ILElbowMiami Marlins
Recent form
Los Angeles Dodgers
Last 10: 6-4Streak W24.8 scored · 2.7 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W5-4vs Miami MarlinsApr 28
- W6-0vs Chicago CubsApr 26
- L4-6vs Chicago CubsApr 25
- L0-3at San Francisco GiantsApr 23
- L1-3at San Francisco GiantsApr 22
- W12-3at Colorado RockiesApr 21
- L3-4at Colorado RockiesApr 19
- W7-1at Colorado RockiesApr 18
- W8-2vs New York MetsApr 16
- W2-1vs New York MetsApr 15
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 4-6Streak L24.3 scored · 4.5 allowed per game1-3 away
- L4-5at Los Angeles DodgersApr 28
- L3-6at San Francisco GiantsApr 26
- W9-4at San Francisco GiantsApr 25
- W4-1vs St. Louis CardinalsApr 22
- L3-5vs St. Louis CardinalsApr 21
- W5-3vs St. Louis CardinalsApr 20
- W5-3vs Milwaukee BrewersApr 19
- L2-5vs Milwaukee BrewersApr 18
- L5-7vs Milwaukee BrewersApr 17
- L3-6at Atlanta BravesApr 15
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 57 | W1 | .593 | 83 |
| Philadelphia | 4 | 61 | L1 | .564 | 79 |
| Miami | 12 | 69 | W2 | .507 | 71 |
| Washington | 17 | 75 | L1 | .472 | 67 |
| New York | 20 | 77 | W1 | .450 | 63 |
| Los Angeles | - | 57 | L2 | .590 | 82 |
| Arizona | 9 | 67 | W1 | .525 | 74 |
| San Diego | 9.5 | 67 | L2 | .521 | 73 |
| San Francisco | 24.5 | 82 | W1 | .414 | 58 |
| Colorado | 28.5 | 86 | W2 | .386 | 54 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning1-0Caissie hit sacrifice fly to center, Ramírez scored.
- 5th Inning2-0Stowers singled to right, Morel scored.
- 8th Inning2-1Smith singled to right, Rushing scored, Freeman to third.
Win probability
Above the line favours Los Angeles Dodgers, below favours Miami Marlins.
Venue
- Dodger StadiumLos Angeles, California
- Attendance51909
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