Atlanta Dream Defeats New York Liberty 92-82
Sunday, October 4, 2026, 2:00 PM ET · State Farm Arena
Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream?
Atlanta Dream beat New York Liberty 92-82 at State Farm Arena on October 4, 2026.
Who was favored in New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream?
Atlanta Dream were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -192 (about 66% implied). The favorite won.
In a decisive matchup in the WNBA, the Atlanta Dream secured a 92-82 victory over the New York Liberty at State Farm Arena on October 4, 2026. This win allowed the Dream to extend their series lead over the Liberty to 2-1 for the season. The game showcased the Dream's impressive recent form, highlighted by their current seven-game winning streak, while the Liberty struggled to find their rhythm against a formidable opponent.
The Atlanta Dream entered the game with a home record of 30-14, demonstrating their strength at State Farm Arena. In their last ten games, they achieved a remarkable 9-1 record, averaging 92.1 points scored while allowing just 78.3 points per game. Their recent performances included victories against the Washington Mystics, where they won 93-75, and a dominant showing against the Liberty just a week prior, winning 83-65. This consistent scoring prowess has been a hallmark of their recent success, particularly at home, where they have a record of 4-1 in their last five games.
On the other hand, the New York Liberty, with a record of 26-18, have had a mixed bag of results lately. They recorded a 6-4 record in their last ten games, with an average of 86.6 points scored and 81.4 points allowed. Their recent victories included a solid win against the Minnesota Lynx, where they triumphed 87-71. However, they faced challenges against the Dream, losing both encounters in the lead-up to this game, including a 95-84 defeat just days before.
In terms of home versus away performance, the Dream have excelled at home with a 4-1 record in their last five games, while the Liberty have shown resilience on the road with a 3-1 record in their last four away games. Despite this, their overall away record has been less impressive compared to the Dream's home dominance.
The injury report played a significant role in the matchup, impacting both teams. The Dream were without key players Allisha Gray (hand), Matilde Villa (coach's decision), and Brionna Jones (leg), which could have affected their depth. The Liberty also faced challenges, missing Satou Sabally due to a concussion and Elizabeth Balogun for non-injury related reasons. These absences may have influenced the teams' strategies and performances on the court.
Before the game, the betting market reflected the Dream's strong position, with DraftKings pricing Atlanta as 4.5-point favorites. The total for the game was set at 172.5, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair. The odds were -115 for the over and -105 for the under, suggesting a balanced view on the potential scoring output.
Conditions in the arena were conducive to a high-energy game, with both teams looking to capitalize on their strengths. The Dream's recent scoring averages and home court advantage were significant factors, while the Liberty sought to overcome their recent struggles against Atlanta.
As the game unfolded, the Dream's offensive execution proved critical. Key moments included Jordin Canada’s contributions, including a pivotal three-point step back jump shot that extended the Dream's lead. The Liberty attempted to rally late in the game, with Sabrina Ionescu making a driving layup and a three-pointer, but it was not enough to close the gap.
Ultimately, the Dream's ability to maintain composure and capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly in the fourth quarter, allowed them to secure the victory. Rhyne Howard's free throws in the closing moments sealed the win, emphasizing the Dream's resilience and determination.
The game not only highlighted the current standings of both teams but also set the stage for future matchups, as the Dream continue to assert their dominance in the series against the Liberty. With the playoffs approaching, both teams will look to address their weaknesses and build on their strengths as they head into the final stretch of the season.
What we said beforehand
The Atlanta Dream will host the New York Liberty at State Farm Arena on October 4, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be highly competitive. The Dream currently lead the series 2-1, having won their last two encounters against the Liberty, which adds an intriguing layer to this fixture. Atlanta boasts a strong home record of 30-14, while New York comes in with a respectable away record of 26-18.
In their last five games, the Atlanta Dream have been in exceptional form, achieving a perfect 5-0 record. Their most recent victory was a commanding 93-75 win over the Washington Mystics on September 30, 2026. Over this stretch, they have averaged 93.8 points per game while allowing only 76.4, showcasing both their offensive prowess and defensive capabilities. Their home performance has been particularly impressive, with a 9-1 record in their last ten home games and a current winning streak of seven games.
Conversely, the New York Liberty have had a mixed bag of results, going 3-2 in their last five games. They recently secured a 87-71 victory against the Minnesota Lynx on September 30, 2026. The Liberty's scoring average during this period has been 86.6, with an average of 78.6 points allowed. They have struggled on the road against the Dream, losing both of their last two matchups in Atlanta.
In terms of previous meetings, the Dream's recent dominance over the Liberty is evident, with Atlanta winning the last two games by scores of 95-84 and 83-65, both played in New York. The last time these teams met in Atlanta, the Dream secured a 78-62 victory back in the 2025 season, further solidifying their home-court advantage.
Injury concerns could play a significant role in this matchup. The Dream will be without Matilde Villa and Brionna Jones, who is out due to a leg injury. The Liberty will also face challenges, as Satou Sabally is out due to a concussion, and Elizabeth Balogun is unavailable for non-injury-related reasons. Han Xu is listed as day-to-day, adding uncertainty to New York's lineup.
The betting market reflects Atlanta's strong position, with DraftKings setting the spread at ATL -4.5 and a total of 172.5 for the game. The moneyline shows Atlanta at -205.0, while New York is at 170.0, indicating that the Dream are favored to win.
Conditions at State Farm Arena are expected to be favorable for both teams, with a typical indoor environment for basketball. Fans can expect a high-paced game, with Atlanta's Allisha Gray leading the Dream in scoring with an average of 19.0 points per game, while Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty with 20.8 points per game. Jordin Canada contributes significantly for Atlanta with 7.3 assists per game, and Jonquel Jones leads New York in rebounds with an average of 9.1.
This matchup between the Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty is set to be a critical game in the WNBA season, with both teams looking to assert their dominance and gain momentum as they head toward the playoffs.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -4.5 | 172.5 o -115 / u -105 | New York Liberty +160 · Atlanta Dream -192 |
Injury report
- Allisha GrayOutHandAtlanta Dream
- Matilde VillaOutCoach's DecisionAtlanta Dream
- Brionna JonesOutLegAtlanta Dream
- Satou SaballyOutConcussionNew York Liberty
- Elizabeth BalogunOutNot Injury RelatedNew York Liberty
Leaders
- PointsJordin Canada25Atlanta Dream
- AssistsRhyne Howard8Atlanta Dream
- ReboundsDeWanna Bonner9Atlanta Dream
- PointsSabrina Ionescu27New York Liberty
- AssistsJonquel Jones4New York Liberty
- ReboundsJonquel Jones11New York Liberty
Recent form
Atlanta Dream
Last 10: 9-1Streak W792.1 scored · 78.3 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W93-75at Washington MysticsSep 30
- W92-77vs Washington MysticsSep 27
- W83-65at New York LibertySep 24
- W95-84at New York LibertySep 22
- W106-81vs Chicago SkySep 19
- W103-59vs Connecticut SunSep 17
- W89-81vs Minnesota LynxAug 30
- L83-101vs Portland FireAug 28
- W78-71at Los Angeles SparksAug 25
- W99-89at Phoenix MercuryAug 23
New York Liberty
Last 10: 6-4Streak W286.6 scored · 81.4 allowed per game3-1 away
- W87-71vs Minnesota LynxSep 30
- W91-75at Minnesota LynxSep 27
- L65-83vs Atlanta DreamSep 24
- L84-95vs Atlanta DreamSep 22
- W106-69at Toronto TempoSep 20
- W93-81at Minnesota LynxSep 18
- W85-66vs Chicago SkyAug 29
- L60-79vs Golden State ValkyriesAug 28
- W109-102vs Indiana FeverAug 22
- L86-93at Chicago SkyAug 19
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 14 | W5 | .682 | 30 |
| Washington | 2 | 16 | W4 | .636 | 28 |
| Indiana | 2 | 16 | L1 | .636 | 28 |
| New York | 4 | 18 | L2 | .591 | 26 |
| Chicago | 14 | 28 | L1 | .364 | 16 |
| Toronto | 19 | 33 | L8 | .250 | 11 |
| Connecticut | 19 | 33 | W1 | .250 | 11 |
Box score
| Stat | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 28-65 | 32-71 |
| Field goal % | 43 | 45 |
| Three-pointers | 11-28 | 10-26 |
| Three-point % | 39 | 38 |
| Free throws | 15-15 | 18-23 |
| Free throw % | 100 | 78 |
| Rebounds | 34 | 34 |
| Offensive rebounds | 7 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds | 27 | 25 |
| Assists | 17 | 20 |
| Steals | 6 | 14 |
| Blocks | 9 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 19 | 13 |
| Team turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 32 | 14 |
| Fast-break points | 0 | 18 |
| Points in the paint | 30 | 38 |
| Fouls | 17 | 12 |
| Largest lead | 6 | 16 |
| Lead changes | 15 | 15 |
| Time in front | 43 | 55 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Quarter45-53Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter45-54Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter45-56Jordin Canada makes running layup (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 3rd Quarter45-57Jordin Canada makes free throw 1 of 1
- 3rd Quarter45-59Jordin Canada makes running layup
- 3rd Quarter46-59Breanna Stewart makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter47-59Breanna Stewart makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter49-59Breanna Stewart makes 9-foot two point shot (Jonquel Jones assists)
- 3rd Quarter49-61DeWanna Bonner makes driving layup
- 3rd Quarter52-61Sabrina Ionescu makes 24-foot three pointer
- 3rd Quarter52-63Jordin Canada makes running layup
- 3rd Quarter52-64Isobel Borlase makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter52-65Isobel Borlase makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter55-65Sabrina Ionescu makes 24-foot three pointer
- 3rd Quarter55-67Rhyne Howard makes 18-foot pullup jump shot (Naz Hillmon assists)
- 3rd Quarter55-69Te-Hina Paopao makes driving layup (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 4th Quarter55-71DeWanna Bonner makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter57-71Breanna Stewart makes 17-foot pullup jump shot (Jonquel Jones assists)
- 4th Quarter60-71Jonquel Jones makes 24-foot three point jumper (Breanna Stewart assists)
- 4th Quarter63-71Breanna Stewart makes 25-foot three point jumper (Leonie Fiebich assists)
- 4th Quarter63-74DeWanna Bonner makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 4th Quarter65-74Breanna Stewart makes 11-foot jumper (Marine Fauthoux assists)
- 4th Quarter65-75Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter66-75Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter67-75Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter70-75Leonie Fiebich makes 24-foot three point jumper (Marine Fauthoux assists)
- 4th Quarter70-78Jordin Canada makes 25-foot three point jumper (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 4th Quarter72-78Jonquel Jones makes layup (Leonie Fiebich assists)
- 4th Quarter72-80Rhyne Howard makes driving layup (Jordin Canada assists)
- 4th Quarter75-80Jonquel Jones makes 24-foot three point jumper (Marine Fauthoux assists)
- 4th Quarter75-82Angel Reese makes driving layup
- 4th Quarter77-82Breanna Stewart makes layup
- 4th Quarter77-84Angel Reese makes layup (Jordin Canada assists)
- 4th Quarter77-87Jordin Canada makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Angel Reese assists)
- 4th Quarter79-87Sabrina Ionescu makes driving layup (Breanna Stewart assists)
- 4th Quarter82-87Sabrina Ionescu makes 29-foot three pointer
- 4th Quarter82-88Rhyne Howard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter82-90Jordin Canada makes running layup (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 4th Quarter82-91Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter82-92Rhyne Howard makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Atlanta Dream, below favours New York Liberty.
Venue
- State Farm ArenaAtlanta, GA
- Attendance9745
- OfficialsRoy Gulbeyan, Ashley Gloss, Angel Kent
Elsewhere
- WNBA playoffs 2026: Schedule, scores for every game
- Canada's big day, team defense carries Dream to 92-82 win over Liberty in WNBA semifinals
- Dream All-Star Allisha Gray exits Game 1 with hand injury
- Valkyries coach Natalie Nakase adjusting routine after collapse
- Valkyries' Janelle Salaun unanimous Sixth Player of the Year
- Fever's Mitchell says she'll be 'selfish' with free agency call
- Fever GM defends fanbase: Attacks have no basis in reality
- WNBA championship and Finals MVP odds: Aces back as favorites after ousting Fever
WNBA rules and settlement
These two, other days
- New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream — WNBA: result pendingOct 14, 2026
- Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty — WNBA: result pendingOct 11, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Edges New York Liberty in Close ContestOct 9, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Edges New York Liberty in Overtime ThrillerOct 7, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Defeats New York Liberty 83-65Sep 23, 2026