Atlanta Dream Edges New York Liberty in Overtime Thriller
Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · State Farm Arena
Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98, final. Our WNBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream?
Atlanta Dream beat New York Liberty 101-98 at State Farm Arena on October 7, 2026.
Who was favored in New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream?
Atlanta Dream were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -130 (about 57% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling overtime encounter, the Atlanta Dream triumphed over the New York Liberty with a final score of 101-98. This victory not only showcased the Dream's resilience but also solidified their dominance in the series, as they now lead 2-1 against the Liberty this season.
The Dream entered this matchup with a strong home record of 30-14, having won eight consecutive games leading up to this contest. Their recent form has been impressive, with an average of 91.4 points scored and only 77.6 points allowed over their last ten games. In their most recent outing prior to this game, they defeated the Liberty 92-82 on October 4, demonstrating their ability to perform well against their rivals. The Dream's home record stands at 5-1 in their last six home games, further emphasizing their strength at State Farm Arena.
On the other hand, the Liberty, with an away record of 26-18, had a mixed bag of results recently, going 6-4 in their last ten games. They averaged 86.2 points scored and allowed 81.3 points during that stretch. However, they were coming off a loss to the Dream and were looking to bounce back. The Liberty's last five games have seen them struggle slightly, with a record of 2-3 and an average of 81.8 points scored, which is significantly lower than their season average.
The matchup was particularly noteworthy due to the injury situations on both sides. The Dream were missing key players, including Allisha Gray, Matilde Villa, and Brionna Jones, while the Liberty were without Satou Sabally and Elizabeth Balogun. These absences undoubtedly affected the strategies employed by both teams.
From a betting perspective, the Dream were favored by 2.5 points according to DraftKings, with a total set at 170.5. The odds reflected the Dream's strong home advantage and their recent form, but the close scoreline indicated that the Liberty were competitive despite their challenges.
The game conditions were conducive to an exciting matchup, and both teams delivered an intense performance. The scoring plays in overtime highlighted the back-and-forth nature of the contest. Key moments included a driving layup by Leonie Fiebich, a three-point jumper from Jonquel Jones, and crucial free throws by Angel Reese that sealed the victory for the Dream.
Overall, viewers were treated to a captivating display of basketball, with the Dream showcasing their ability to perform under pressure and the Liberty demonstrating their fighting spirit despite the loss. The final score of 101-98 reflects not only the competitiveness of the teams but also the high stakes involved in this WNBA playoff matchup.
What we said beforehand
The Atlanta Dream will face off against the New York Liberty at State Farm Arena on October 7, 2026, in a matchup that has significant implications for both teams. Atlanta currently leads the series 2-1, having won their last three encounters, including a decisive 92-82 victory just days ago.
Atlanta Dream enters this game with a strong home record of 30-14 and is currently on an impressive eight-game winning streak. In their last five games, they have defeated the New York Liberty three times, with scores of 95-84, 83-65, and 92-82. Their recent form at home has been particularly dominant, with an average of 91.4 points scored and only 77.6 allowed over their last ten home games, resulting in a 9-1 record. The Dream's last five games have seen them score an average of 91.0 points while allowing 76.6.
In contrast, the New York Liberty, with an away record of 26-18, have struggled recently, losing their last game against Atlanta and two of their last three overall. Their last five games show a record of 2-3, with an average of 81.8 points scored and 83.2 points allowed. Their recent performances have seen them score 87 and 91 points against the Minnesota Lynx, but they have also faced significant challenges against Atlanta.
The injury report is a crucial factor in this matchup. The Atlanta Dream will be without Allisha Gray, who leads the team in scoring with an average of 19.0 points per game, as well as Brionna Jones due to a leg injury and Matilde Villa due to a coach's decision. On the other side, the New York Liberty will be missing Satou Sabally due to a concussion and Elizabeth Balogun for non-injury-related reasons. The absence of key players could impact both teams' strategies and performance on the court.
The betting market has priced the Dream as 2.5-point favorites, according to DraftKings, with a total set at 170.5 points. The home moneyline for Atlanta is -130, while New York is at +110. This reflects the Dream's strong home advantage and recent form against the Liberty.
Fans can expect a competitive game, with both teams looking to establish their dominance early. Atlanta's scoring leaders include Jordin Canada, who averages 7.3 assists, and Angel Reese, who leads in rebounds with 12.1. For the Liberty, Breanna Stewart is the key player to watch, averaging 20.8 points per game, along with Sabrina Ionescu, who contributes 4.7 assists.
As the game approaches, conditions at State Farm Arena will be a factor, with the home crowd likely to play a significant role in supporting the Dream. The matchup promises to be an exciting contest, showcasing the talent and intensity of both teams as they vie for a crucial victory.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ATL -2.5 | 170.5 o -110 / u -110 | New York Liberty +110 · Atlanta Dream -130 |
Injury report
- Allisha GrayOutHandAtlanta Dream
- Matilde VillaOutCoach's DecisionAtlanta Dream
- Brionna JonesOutLegAtlanta Dream
- Satou SaballyOutConcussionNew York Liberty
- Elizabeth BalogunOutNot Injury RelatedNew York Liberty
Leaders
- PointsAngel Reese23Atlanta Dream
- AssistsJordin Canada8Atlanta Dream
- ReboundsNaz Hillmon8Atlanta Dream
- PointsBreanna Stewart35New York Liberty
- AssistsSabrina Ionescu7New York Liberty
- ReboundsBreanna Stewart11New York Liberty
Recent form
Atlanta Dream
Last 10: 9-1Streak W891.4 scored · 77.6 allowed per game5-1 at home
- W92-82vs New York LibertyOct 4
- W93-75at Washington MysticsSep 30
- W92-77vs Washington MysticsSep 27
- W83-65at New York LibertySep 24
- W95-84at New York LibertySep 22
- W106-81vs Chicago SkySep 19
- W103-59vs Connecticut SunSep 17
- W89-81vs Minnesota LynxAug 30
- L83-101vs Portland FireAug 28
- W78-71at Los Angeles SparksAug 25
New York Liberty
Last 10: 6-4Streak L186.2 scored · 81.3 allowed per game3-1 away
- L82-92at Atlanta DreamOct 4
- W87-71vs Minnesota LynxSep 30
- W91-75at Minnesota LynxSep 27
- L65-83vs Atlanta DreamSep 24
- L84-95vs Atlanta DreamSep 22
- W106-69at Toronto TempoSep 20
- W93-81at Minnesota LynxSep 18
- W85-66vs Chicago SkyAug 29
- L60-79vs Golden State ValkyriesAug 28
- W109-102vs Indiana FeverAug 22
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | - | 14 | W5 | .682 | 30 |
| Washington | 2 | 16 | W4 | .636 | 28 |
| Indiana | 2 | 16 | L1 | .636 | 28 |
| New York | 4 | 18 | L2 | .591 | 26 |
| Chicago | 14 | 28 | L1 | .364 | 16 |
| Toronto | 19 | 33 | L8 | .250 | 11 |
| Connecticut | 19 | 33 | W1 | .250 | 11 |
Box score
| Stat | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 35-64 | 34-84 |
| Field goal % | 55 | 40 |
| Three-pointers | 12-25 | 12-30 |
| Three-point % | 48 | 40 |
| Free throws | 16-23 | 21-23 |
| Free throw % | 70 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 35 |
| Offensive rebounds | 5 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds | 31 | 24 |
| Assists | 23 | 22 |
| Steals | 6 | 7 |
| Blocks | 7 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 16 | 7 |
| Team turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 28 | 10 |
| Fast-break points | 8 | 11 |
| Points in the paint | 44 | 42 |
| Fouls | 25 | 18 |
| Largest lead | 7 | 8 |
| Lead changes | 17 | 17 |
| Time in front | 20 | 67 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Quarter60-64Jonquel Jones makes tip shot
- 3rd Quarter63-64Pauline Astier makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sabrina Ionescu assists)
- 3rd Quarter63-67Jordin Canada makes 23-foot three point jumper (Angel Reese assists)
- 3rd Quarter63-69Isobel Borlase makes driving layup
- 3rd Quarter65-69Breanna Stewart makes running layup (Rebekah Gardner assists)
- 3rd Quarter67-69Marine Fauthoux makes driving layup
- 3rd Quarter67-72Isobel Borlase makes 23-foot three point jumper (Naz Hillmon assists)
- 3rd Quarter67-75Isobel Borlase makes 24-foot three point jumper (Rhyne Howard assists)
- 3rd Quarter68-75Breanna Stewart makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter69-75Breanna Stewart makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter71-75Marine Fauthoux makes driving layup (Breanna Stewart assists)
- 3rd Quarter74-75Marine Fauthoux makes 24-foot jump bank shot (Breanna Stewart assists)
- 4th Quarter74-77Jordin Canada makes driving layup
- 4th Quarter76-77Jonquel Jones makes two point shot (Breanna Stewart assists)
- 4th Quarter76-79Jordin Canada makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot
- 4th Quarter78-79Marine Fauthoux makes driving layup
- 4th Quarter78-80Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter78-81Rhyne Howard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter78-83Angel Reese makes layup (Naz Hillmon assists)
- 4th Quarter79-83Breanna Stewart makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter80-83Breanna Stewart makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter80-85Rhyne Howard makes 2-foot layup (Jordin Canada assists)
- 4th Quarter80-86Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter83-86Sabrina Ionescu makes 24-foot three pointer
- 4th Quarter85-86Breanna Stewart makes driving layup (Leonie Fiebich assists)
- 4th Quarter85-87Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter85-88Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter88-88Marine Fauthoux makes 24-foot three point jumper (Breanna Stewart assists)
- OT88-90Rhyne Howard makes driving layup
- OT88-91Rhyne Howard makes free throw 1 of 1
- OT88-93Angel Reese makes 2-foot layup (DeWanna Bonner assists)
- OT91-93Marine Fauthoux makes 26-foot three pointer
- OT93-93Leonie Fiebich makes driving layup (Breanna Stewart assists)
- OT96-93Jonquel Jones makes 24-foot three point jumper (Marine Fauthoux assists)
- OT96-95Jordin Canada makes 7-foot two point shot
- OT96-97Angel Reese makes layup (Naz Hillmon assists)
- OT98-97Breanna Stewart makes 1-foot layup (Sabrina Ionescu assists)
- OT98-99Naz Hillmon makes layup (Rhyne Howard assists)
- OT98-100Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2
- OT98-101Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Atlanta Dream, below favours New York Liberty.
Venue
- State Farm ArenaAtlanta, GA
- Attendance9574
- OfficialsFatou Cissoko-Stephens, Marcy Williams, Kevin Fahy
Elsewhere
- Reese scores 23, Hillmon makes go-ahead basket in OT as Dream beat Liberty 101-98 for a 2-0 lead
- 2026 WNBA playoffs: How the Dream beat the Liberty in OT
- Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty - Game Highlights
- WNBA playoffs 2026: Schedule, scores for every game
- Aces guard Jewell Loyd ruled out for Game 2 vs. Valkyries
- WNBA games today: Wednesday playoff schedule
- 2026 WNBA playoffs: How Jackie Young, Aces can pull even in semis
- Nigerian connection runs through Mystics rise as Kiki Iriafen breaks out in playoff run
WNBA rules and settlement
These two, other days
- New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream — WNBA: result pendingOct 14, 2026
- Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty — WNBA: result pendingOct 11, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Edges New York Liberty in Close ContestOct 9, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Defeats New York Liberty 92-82Oct 4, 2026
- Atlanta Dream Defeats New York Liberty 83-65Sep 23, 2026