Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction & odds

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face off against the Ottawa Senators at PPG Paints Arena on November 15, 2026. The Penguins are looking to improve their standing, having won only four of their last ten games, while the Senators are aiming to build on their recent success after a mixed bag of results.

In their last five games, the Penguins have recorded two wins and three losses. They lost to the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 and the Boston Bruins 6-2, but managed to secure victories against the Los Angeles Kings 5-2 and the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in a shootout. Their most recent game ended in a win, which could provide a much-needed boost in confidence. The Penguins have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings, while allowing an average of 3.6 goals.

Conversely, the Senators have shown more resilience, winning three out of their last five games. After a loss to the Anaheim Ducks 6-3, they bounced back with a 2-1 victory over the Buffalo Sabres and a 4-2 win against the Utah Mammoth. They recently defeated the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure. The Senators have averaged 3.0 goals scored per game in their last five, with an equal average of 3.0 goals allowed, indicating a balanced offensive and defensive performance.

Historically, the Penguins and Senators have met three times in the 2026 season, with the Penguins holding a 1-2 record against the Senators. Their last meeting resulted in a Penguins win on March 26, 2026, with a score of 4-3. However, the Senators previously defeated the Penguins 3-2 on February 3, 2026, and 4-0 on December 19, 2025, suggesting a competitive rivalry.

In terms of injuries, the Penguins will be missing several key players, including Elmer Soderblom (upper body), Bryan Rust (lower body), Trevor van Riemsdyk (lower body), and Ryan Graves (knee), all of whom are on injured reserve. The Senators will also be without Nick Cousins (upper body), Andre Burakovsky (lower body), Warren Foegele (knee), and William Eklund (ankle), which could impact their lineup.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has priced the Senators as the favorites at -135, while the Penguins are at +114 on the money line. The spread is set at 1.5, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game. The odds for the over are at +105, while the under is at -125, indicating a slight expectation for fewer goals.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the performance of key players. For the Penguins, Tommy Novak leads the team with 7 goals, while Erik Karlsson has been a significant contributor with 16 assists and 19 points overall. For the Senators, Tim Stutzle stands out with 10 goals and 14 assists, totaling 24 points, making him a player to watch in this matchup.

Overall, the game promises to be an intriguing contest as the Penguins look to capitalize on home ice while the Senators aim to maintain their strong away form. With both teams dealing with injuries and the stakes high, fans can expect an exciting game filled with competitive spirit.