Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction & odds

The New Orleans Pelicans will host the Denver Nuggets at the Smoothie King Center on November 15, 2026. This matchup is particularly intriguing as the Nuggets lead the series 2-0 this season, having won both previous encounters. The Pelicans are struggling with a record of 4-9, while the Nuggets sit at a more favorable 6-4.

Recent form shows the Pelicans on a five-game losing streak, with their most recent defeat coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, where they lost 142-111. In their last five games, the Pelicans have averaged 108.2 points scored while allowing an average of 135.8 points. This stark contrast highlights their defensive struggles, which have been a recurring theme this season. They have a home record of 3-4, but their recent form at home has been particularly poor, with an average of 114.0 points scored and 124.9 points allowed over their last ten home games.

On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets are coming off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies, with a score of 123-118. Their last five games have been more balanced, with an average of 115.0 points scored and 111.4 points allowed. The Nuggets have a solid away record of 4-2, showcasing their ability to perform outside of their home arena.

In terms of injuries, the Pelicans will be missing several key players, including Bennedict Mathurin (foot), Trendon Watford (ankle), Bryce McGowens (elbow), Trey Murphy III (knee), and Dejounte Murray (ankle). The absence of these players could significantly impact the Pelicans' performance. The Nuggets will also be without Julian Strawther (knee), but their roster remains largely intact.

The betting market reflects the disparity between the two teams, with DraftKings listing the Nuggets as 12.5-point favorites. The total for the game is set at 235.5, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair.

Fans should watch for the performance of key players in this matchup. For the Pelicans, Zion Williamson leads the team with an average of 21.8 points per game, while Jeremiah Fears contributes 5.1 assists. On the Nuggets' side, Jamal Murray is the leading scorer with an average of 26.2 points, and Nikola Jokic is a dual threat with 9.0 assists and 10.8 rebounds per game.

With the Pelicans struggling and the Nuggets showing more consistency, this game will be a test for New Orleans as they aim to break their losing streak and find a way to compete against a formidable opponent.