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NHL · Final

Maple Leafs Outlast Senators in High-Scoring Affair

Saturday, December 27, 2025, 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Ottawa Senators 5, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 7-5 at Scotiabank Arena on December 27, 2025.

Who was favored in Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Ottawa Senators were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -125 (about 56% implied). The underdog won.

In a thrilling encounter at Scotiabank Arena, the Toronto Maple Leafs triumphed over the Ottawa Senators with a final score of 7-5. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as it marked the second meeting of the season between these two rivals, with Toronto now leading the series 2-0.

The game showcased a dynamic offensive display, with both teams trading goals throughout the contest. The Maple Leafs, despite their recent struggles, managed to capitalize on their scoring opportunities effectively. Toronto's scoring was spearheaded by Bobby McMann, Auston Matthews, Nicholas Robertson, Matthew Knies, and John Tavares, each contributing crucial goals. Matthews and Domi were instrumental in the buildup, providing key assists that helped secure the victory.

Recent form for both teams highlights contrasting performances leading up to this game. The Maple Leafs entered the match with a record of 4-6 over their last ten games, currently on a one-game winning streak after defeating the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3 in their previous outing. Despite this win, they averaged 2.6 goals scored and 3.1 goals allowed during this stretch. Conversely, the Senators had a more balanced record of 5-5 in their last ten games but were coming off a loss to the Buffalo Sabres, where they fell 2-3. Ottawa's recent scoring average was higher at 3.5 goals per game, while they allowed an average of 2.7 goals.

Home and away performances also tell a compelling story. The Maple Leafs have struggled at home with a record of 3-3 in their last six games, while the Senators have been more effective on the road, boasting a 3-1 record in their last four away games. This contest was crucial for both teams as they aimed to improve their standings in the league.

In terms of injuries, the Maple Leafs faced significant challenges with several key players sidelined. Zack MacEwen, Chris Tanev, and Auston Matthews were all on injured reserve, while Max Domi and Dakota Joshua were also out due to injuries. The Senators were not without their own issues, as Ridly Greig was serving a suspension, and Artem Zub and Jake Sanderson were also out with injuries. These absences undoubtedly impacted the strategies employed by both teams.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of the matchup, with DraftKings listing the Senators as slight favorites at -125, while the Maple Leafs were priced at +105. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair.

The conditions for the game were ideal for hockey, with both teams taking advantage of the home ice for the Maple Leafs. Fans witnessed a fast-paced game filled with skillful plays and strategic battles. Key moments included a flurry of goals in the second and third periods, showcasing the offensive prowess of both teams.

Viewers were treated to a showcase of talent, with players like John Tavares and Drake Batherson making significant contributions. The game was characterized by its intensity and the back-and-forth nature of the scoring, making it a memorable encounter for fans of both teams. As the Maple Leafs continue to navigate their injury challenges, this victory could serve as a much-needed boost in confidence moving forward.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsOTT -125 6.5 o +114 / u -135 Ottawa Senators -125 · Toronto Maple Leafs +105

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
  • Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
  • Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
  • Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
  • Ridly GreigSuspensionSuspensionOttawa Senators
  • Artem ZubOutLower BodyOttawa Senators
  • Jake SandersonOutConcussionOttawa Senators

Leaders

  • GoalsMatthew Knies2Toronto Maple Leafs
  • AssistsMax Domi3Toronto Maple Leafs
  • PointsMatthew Knies3Toronto Maple Leafs
  • GoalsJordan Spence1Ottawa Senators
  • AssistsStephen Halliday2Ottawa Senators
  • PointsJordan Spence2Ottawa Senators

Recent form

Toronto Maple Leafs

Last 10: 4-6Streak W12.6 scored · 3.1 allowed per game3-3 at home

  • W6-3vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 23
  • L1-5at Dallas StarsDec 22
  • L3-5at Nashville PredatorsDec 21
  • L0-4at Washington CapitalsDec 19
  • W3-2vs Chicago BlackhawksDec 17
  • L3-6vs Edmonton OilersDec 14
  • L2-3vs San Jose SharksDec 12
  • W2-0vs Tampa Bay LightningDec 9
  • L1-2vs Montreal CanadiensDec 7
  • W5-1at Carolina HurricanesDec 5

Ottawa Senators

Last 10: 5-5Streak L13.5 scored · 2.7 allowed per game3-1 away

  • L2-3vs Buffalo SabresDec 24
  • W6-2at Boston BruinsDec 22
  • W6-4vs Chicago BlackhawksDec 20
  • W4-0vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 19
  • W3-2at Winnipeg JetsDec 16
  • L2-3at Minnesota WildDec 13
  • W6-3at Columbus Blue JacketsDec 12
  • L3-4vs New Jersey DevilsDec 10
  • L1-2vs St. Louis BluesDec 7
  • L2-4vs New York RangersDec 5

Standings

TeamOt lossesLostPointsWon
Buffalo92310950
Tampa Bay62610650
Montreal102410648
Boston102710045
Ottawa11279944
Detroit10319241
Florida4388440
Toronto14367832

Box score

StatOttawa SenatorsToronto Maple Leafs
Blocked shots67
Hits3032
Takeaways46
Shots total3133
Power play goals02
Power play opportunities13
Power play pct0.066.7
Short handed goals00
Shootout goals00
Faceoffs won3124
Faceoff percent56.443.6
Giveaways1817
Penalties42
Penalty minutes84

How the scoring went

  1. 1st0-1William Nylander Goal (14) Backhand, assists: Auston Matthews (10), Matias Maccelli (7)
  2. 1st0-2Matthew Knies Goal (8) Snap Shot, assists: Max Domi (11), Nicholas Robertson (9)
  3. 1st1-2Nick Cousins Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Jordan Spence (11), Stephen Halliday (4)
  4. 2nd2-2Ridly Greig Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Claude Giroux (19)
  5. 2nd2-3Bobby McMann Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (11), Max Domi (12)
  6. 2nd2-4Auston Matthews Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Max Domi (13), Jake McCabe (13)
  7. 2nd2-5Nicholas Robertson Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Matthew Knies (24), Nicolas Roy (9)
  8. 3rd3-5Drake Batherson Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Dylan Cozens (18), Brady Tkachuk (11)
  9. 3rd4-5Tim Stützle Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: Fabian Zetterlund (8)
  10. 3rd4-6Matthew Knies Goal (9) Backhand, assists: Matias Maccelli (8), Morgan Rielly (20)
  11. 3rd5-6Jordan Spence Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Claude Giroux (20), Stephen Halliday (5)
  12. 3rd5-7John Tavares Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: none

Venue

  • Scotiabank ArenaToronto
  • Attendance18859
  • OfficialsBrian Pochmara, Brandon Schrader, Jonathan Deschamps, CJ Murray

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.