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MLB · Final

Reds Triumph Over Phillies in High-Scoring Affair

Wednesday, July 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds 11, Philadelphia Phillies 5, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds beat Philadelphia Phillies 11-5 at Great American Ball Park on July 8, 2026.

Who was favored in Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds?

Cincinnati Reds were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -144 (about 59% implied). The favorite won.

The Cincinnati Reds secured a thrilling victory against the Philadelphia Phillies, winning 11-5 in a game that showcased a series of impressive offensive performances. This match was significant not only for the Reds, who aimed to improve their standing, but also for the Phillies, who were looking to maintain their momentum in the league.

The Reds entered the game with a record of 42-49, having struggled recently with a 3-7 record over their last ten games. They had averaged 3.5 runs scored per game while allowing 5.3 runs, indicating a need for improvement on both sides of the ball. Their recent form included a loss to the Phillies just a day prior, where they fell 1-4 at home. In contrast, the Phillies, boasting a record of 51-42, had been performing well, going 6-4 in their last ten games with an average of 4.6 runs scored and 5.1 runs allowed. They were riding a one-game winning streak, having defeated the Reds the previous night.

At Great American Ball Park, the Reds aimed to leverage their home advantage, although their recent home record was less than stellar at 1-3 in their last four home games. The Phillies, on the other hand, had a balanced away record of 4-2 in their last six games on the road. The matchup also featured a history of closely contested games, with the teams having split their last ten meetings evenly at 5-5 over the 2025 and 2026 seasons.

In terms of injuries, the Reds were dealing with several key players on the injured list, including Graham Ashcraft, who was on the 60-Day IL due to an elbow issue, and Eugenio Suarez, who was day-to-day for personal reasons. Additionally, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia were also on the 10-Day IL with various injuries. The Phillies had their own injury concerns, with Tanner Banks and Felix Reyes on the 60-Day IL, among others.

The betting odds from DraftKings indicated that Cincinnati was favored at -144, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 9.0. The over was listed at odds of 101.0, while the under was at -121. This reflected a market expectation of a competitive game, which ultimately delivered on that promise.

As the game unfolded, the Reds took control in the fourth inning with a series of home runs that energized the crowd. Elly De La Cruz started the scoring spree with a homer to right center, bringing Arroyo home. Stewart followed suit with another homer, extending the lead further. Bleday added to the excitement with yet another home run, marking a significant turning point in the inning. The Reds had built a commanding 7-2 lead by the end of the fourth.

The Phillies attempted to rally back in the fifth inning, with Stott hitting a sacrifice fly that allowed Harper to score, narrowing the gap to 7-3. However, the Reds responded in the sixth inning with a single from Bleday that brought Friedl home, and a double from Marte that scored three more runs, pushing the Reds' lead to 11-4.

In the ninth inning, Schwarber managed to hit a homer for the Phillies, but it was too little, too late as the Reds held on for the 11-5 victory. The game highlighted the Reds' offensive capabilities and their potential to compete effectively, despite their recent struggles.

Overall, this match was a testament to the unpredictable nature of baseball, where momentum can shift rapidly. The Reds' ability to capitalize on their opportunities and deliver powerful hits was crucial in securing this win, while the Phillies will need to regroup and address their defensive issues as they continue their season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCIN -144 9 o +101 / u -121 Philadelphia Phillies +119 · Cincinnati Reds -144

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Tanner Banks60-Day-ILForearmPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Caleb Kilian15-Day-ILObliquePhiladelphia Phillies
  • Felix Reyes60-Day-ILWristPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Johan Rojas60-Day-ILElbowPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Adolis Garcia60-Day-ILLatPhiladelphia Phillies

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 3-7Streak L13.5 scored · 5.3 allowed per game1-3 at home

  • L1-4vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 7
  • W3-2vs Baltimore OriolesJul 5
  • L5-8vs Baltimore OriolesJul 4
  • L0-3vs Baltimore OriolesJul 3
  • L2-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 2
  • L2-7at Milwaukee BrewersJun 30
  • L3-5at Milwaukee BrewersJun 29
  • L4-9at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 28
  • W9-7at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 27
  • W6-4at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 26

Philadelphia Phillies

Last 10: 6-4Streak W14.6 scored · 5.1 allowed per game4-2 away

  • W4-1at Cincinnati RedsJul 7
  • L1-15at Kansas City RoyalsJul 6
  • W6-1at Kansas City RoyalsJul 5
  • L1-6vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 2
  • W10-6vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 1
  • W8-0vs Pittsburgh PiratesJun 30
  • L7-11vs Pittsburgh PiratesJun 29
  • W5-4at New York MetsJun 28
  • L2-6at New York MetsJun 27
  • W2-1at New York MetsJun 26

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Inning1-0Crawford tripled to right, Rincones Jr. scored.
  2. 2nd Inning2-0Crawford scored on Burns wild pitch.
  3. 2nd Inning2-0Crawford scored on Burns wild pitch.
  4. 3rd Inning2-2Stewart homered to right (356 feet), De La Cruz scored.
  5. 4th Inning2-3Marte homered to left center (371 feet).
  6. 4th Inning2-5De La Cruz homered to right center (387 feet), Arroyo scored.
  7. 4th Inning2-6Stewart homered to right (358 feet).
  8. 4th Inning2-7Bleday homered to right center (384 feet).
  9. 5th Inning3-7Stott hit sacrifice fly to left, Harper scored.
  10. 6th Inning4-7Realmuto homered to left (354 feet).
  11. 6th Inning4-8Bleday singled to center, Friedl scored, De La Cruz to third.
  12. 6th Inning4-11Marte doubled to left, De La Cruz scored, Steer scored and Bleday scored.
  13. 9th Inning5-11Schwarber homered to right (387 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Philadelphia Phillies.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance33089
  • OfficialsAlfonso Marquez, Mike Estabrook, Lance Barrett, Malachi Moore

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.