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MLB · Final

Phillies Edge Reds in Low-Scoring Battle

Thursday, July 9, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Philadelphia Phillies 1, Cincinnati Reds 0, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds?

Philadelphia Phillies beat Cincinnati Reds 1-0 at Great American Ball Park on July 9, 2026.

Who was favored in Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds?

Philadelphia Phillies were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -180 (about 64% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested game at Great American Ball Park, the Philadelphia Phillies secured a narrow 1-0 victory over the Cincinnati Reds, concluding the series with a 2-1 win for the Phillies. The game was marked by a single run scored in the eighth inning, when Crawford singled to right, bringing Hill home. This victory is particularly significant as it reflects the Phillies' ability to capitalize on limited scoring opportunities, a trait that has been vital for them throughout the season.

The Reds entered this matchup with a home record of 42-50 and had been struggling recently, holding a 3-7 record over their last ten games. Despite their recent struggles, they managed to secure a win against the Phillies just the day before, with a decisive score of 11-5. However, their overall performance has been inconsistent, averaging 4.0 runs scored while allowing 5.4 runs in their last ten games. Their home performance has been slightly better, with a record of 2-3 in their last five games, but they have faced challenges in both scoring and pitching.

On the other hand, the Phillies, who boast an away record of 52-42, have been more balanced recently, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games. However, they are currently on a one-game losing streak after their loss to the Reds on July 8. The Phillies have averaged 4.9 runs scored while allowing 6.1 runs in their last ten games, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form shows a mixed bag, with a 2-2 record at home and a 3-3 record away in their last five games.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Reds and Phillies have faced off 11 times in the 2025 and 2026 seasons, with the Reds holding a slight edge at 6-5 in those meetings. The most recent games have seen both teams trading victories, with the Reds winning on July 8 and the Phillies taking the previous game on July 7.

Injury concerns have also played a role in both teams' performance. The Reds are dealing with several key injuries, including Graham Ashcraft on the 60-Day Injured List due to an elbow issue, and Eugenio Suarez, who is day-to-day for personal reasons. Other notable injuries for the Reds include Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia, all on the 10-Day Injured List. The Phillies are not without their own injury woes, with Tanner Banks and Felix Reyes both on the 60-Day Injured List, alongside Caleb Kilian on the 15-Day Injured List and Johan Rojas also out due to an elbow injury.

The betting market reflected the competitive nature of this matchup, with DraftKings listing the Phillies at -180 and the Reds at +148 on the money line. The spread was set at 1.5, and the total runs were projected at 9.5, with over odds at 101.0 and under odds at -121. These figures indicate a belief in a close game, which ultimately played out as expected with a low-scoring affair.

Weather conditions during the game were not detailed in the block, but typically, games at Great American Ball Park can be influenced by the summer heat and humidity, which can affect player performance and game dynamics.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a showcase of pitching prowess and defensive strategies, with both teams struggling to find offensive rhythm. The Reds' inability to score against the Phillies' pitching staff was a critical factor in their loss, while the Phillies' lone run proved to be enough to secure the win. This game serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of baseball, where a single play can determine the outcome in a tightly contested matchup.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsPHI -180 9.5 o +101 / u -121 Philadelphia Phillies -180 · Cincinnati Reds +148

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
  • Tanner Banks60-Day-ILForearmPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Caleb Kilian15-Day-ILObliquePhiladelphia Phillies
  • Felix Reyes60-Day-ILWristPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Johan Rojas60-Day-ILElbowPhiladelphia Phillies
  • Adolis Garcia60-Day-ILLatPhiladelphia Phillies

Recent form

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 3-7Streak W14 scored · 5.4 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • W11-5vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 8
  • L1-4vs Philadelphia PhilliesJul 7
  • W3-2vs Baltimore OriolesJul 5
  • L5-8vs Baltimore OriolesJul 4
  • L0-3vs Baltimore OriolesJul 3
  • L2-4at Milwaukee BrewersJul 2
  • L2-7at Milwaukee BrewersJun 30
  • L3-5at Milwaukee BrewersJun 29
  • L4-9at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 28
  • W9-7at Pittsburgh PiratesJun 27

Philadelphia Phillies

Last 10: 5-5Streak L14.9 scored · 6.1 allowed per game3-3 away

  • L5-11at Cincinnati RedsJul 8
  • W4-1at Cincinnati RedsJul 7
  • L1-15at Kansas City RoyalsJul 6
  • W6-1at Kansas City RoyalsJul 5
  • L1-6vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 2
  • W10-6vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 1
  • W8-0vs Pittsburgh PiratesJun 30
  • L7-11vs Pittsburgh PiratesJun 29
  • W5-4at New York MetsJun 28
  • L2-6at New York MetsJun 27

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Atlanta-57W1.59383
Philadelphia461L1.56479
Miami1269W2.50771
Washington1775L1.47267
New York2077W1.45063
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967

How the scoring went

  1. 8th Inning1-0Crawford singled to right, Hill scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Philadelphia Phillies.

Venue

  • Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance19777
  • OfficialsMike Estabrook, Lance Barrett, Malachi Moore, Alfonso Marquez

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.