Blue Jays Edge Padres in Close Contest
Friday, July 10, 2026, 9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Toronto Blue Jays 5, San Diego Padres 3, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres?
Toronto Blue Jays beat San Diego Padres 5-3 at Petco Park on July 10, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -120 (about 55% implied). The underdog won.
The Toronto Blue Jays secured a narrow victory over the San Diego Padres, winning 5-3 at Petco Park. This game concluded a three-game series in which the Padres managed to win two out of three, ultimately taking the series 2-1. The matchup was particularly notable as both teams have struggled this season, with the Padres holding a record of 46-48 and the Blue Jays at 45-49.
In their last ten games, the Padres have struggled significantly, posting a record of 2-8, and are currently on a one-game losing streak. They have averaged 3.7 runs scored per game while allowing 6.2 runs. Their recent form at home has not been encouraging either, with a home record of 2-3 in the last five games, averaging only 3.0 runs scored and allowing 3.8 runs. In contrast, the Blue Jays have had a slightly better run, going 4-6 in their last ten games, with a one-game winning streak. They have averaged 3.3 runs scored and 3.9 runs allowed during this stretch.
The game featured a series of scoring plays that defined the outcome. In the first inning, Xander Bogaerts homered to left center, bringing in Merrill for an early 2-0 lead for the Padres. However, the Blue Jays responded in the fourth inning when Alejandro Kirk doubled to center, scoring Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and pushing the score to 2-1. The fifth inning saw a pivotal moment as Guerrero Jr. reached on an infield single, allowing Straw to score and leveling the game at 2-2. The Blue Jays then took the lead with a powerful home run from Okamoto, who hit a 377-foot shot to left center, scoring both Clement and Guerrero Jr., making it 5-2.
In the ninth inning, the Padres attempted a comeback when Merrill singled to left, scoring Campusano and bringing the score to 5-3, but it was not enough to overcome the Blue Jays' lead. The final score reflected the competitive nature of the game, but ultimately, the Padres could not capitalize on their early advantage.
In terms of injuries, the Padres are facing several challenges, with Jason Adam, Miguel Andujar, Gavin Sheets, Jeremiah Estrada, and Lucas Giolito all on the injured list. The Blue Jays also have significant injuries affecting their roster, including Patrick Corbin, Jameson Taillon, Luis Urias, Anthony Santander, and Jonatan Clase.
As for the betting market, DraftKings set the odds with the Padres at -120 and the Blue Jays at -101, indicating a closely matched contest. The spread was set at 1.5, with a total of 8.5 runs for the game, with over odds at -111 and under odds at -109.
The conditions at Petco Park were conducive to a competitive game, and fans witnessed a hard-fought battle between two teams striving to improve their standings. With the series concluded, the Padres will look to regroup and address their recent struggles, while the Blue Jays will aim to build on this victory as they continue their season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -120 | 8.5 o -111 / u -109 | Toronto Blue Jays -101 · San Diego Padres -120 |
Injury report
- Jason Adam60-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Gavin Sheets10-Day-ILFootSan Diego Padres
- Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
Recent form
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 2-8Streak L13.7 scored · 6.2 allowed per game2-3 at home
- L1-3vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 10
- W10-4vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 9
- W4-1vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 8
- L0-8vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 7
- L0-3at Los Angeles DodgersJul 5
- L3-4at Los Angeles DodgersJul 4
- L7-12at Los Angeles DodgersJul 3
- L7-9at Chicago CubsJul 1
- L2-3at Chicago CubsJun 30
- L3-15vs Los Angeles DodgersJun 28
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 4-6Streak W13.3 scored · 3.9 allowed per game2-2 away
- W9-3at San Francisco GiantsJul 8
- L1-10at San Francisco GiantsJul 7
- L0-4at Seattle MarinersJul 5
- W2-0at Seattle MarinersJul 4
- W9-3vs New York MetsJul 1
- L0-3vs New York MetsJun 30
- W2-1vs New York MetsJun 29
- L2-3vs Texas RangersJun 28
- L4-7vs Texas RangersJun 27
- L4-5vs Texas RangersJun 26
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | - | 56 | L1 | .597 | 83 |
| New York | 3.5 | 60 | W2 | .571 | 80 |
| Boston | 8.5 | 65 | L2 | .536 | 75 |
| Toronto | 14.5 | 71 | W1 | .493 | 69 |
| Baltimore | 14.5 | 71 | L2 | .493 | 69 |
| Los Angeles | - | 57 | L2 | .590 | 82 |
| Arizona | 9 | 67 | W1 | .525 | 74 |
| San Diego | 9.5 | 67 | L2 | .521 | 73 |
| San Francisco | 24.5 | 82 | W1 | .414 | 58 |
| Colorado | 28.5 | 86 | W2 | .386 | 54 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning0-2Bogaerts homered to left center (401 feet), Merrill scored.
- 4th Inning1-2Kirk doubled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored, Springer to third.
- 5th Inning2-2Guerrero Jr. reached on infield single to third, Straw scored, Clement to second.
- 5th Inning5-2Okamoto homered to left center (377 feet), Clement scored and Guerrero Jr. scored.
- 9th Inning5-3Merrill singled to left, Campusano scored, Tatis Jr. to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours San Diego Padres, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.
Venue
- Petco ParkSan Diego, California
- Attendance41886
- OfficialsClint Vondrak, Adam Hamari, Jen Pawol, Todd Tichenor
Elsewhere
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MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Padres Edge Blue Jays in Close Contest at Petco ParkJul 12, 2026
- Padres Edge Blue Jays in High-Scoring AffairJul 11, 2026