Padres Edge Blue Jays in High-Scoring Affair
Saturday, July 11, 2026, 8:40 PM ET · Petco Park
San Diego Padres 8, Toronto Blue Jays 7, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres beat Toronto Blue Jays 8-7 at Petco Park on July 11, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -111 (about 53% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling contest at Petco Park, the San Diego Padres emerged victorious over the Toronto Blue Jays with a final score of 8-7, clinching the series 2-1. This matchup was notable not only for its nail-biting finish but also for the teams' contrasting recent forms leading into the game.
The Padres entered the game with a home record of 47-48, struggling recently with a record of 2-8 over their last ten games. They were on a two-game losing streak, having lost to the Blue Jays 5-3 the previous day. In those last ten games, the Padres averaged 3.7 runs scored while allowing 5.2 runs, indicating significant defensive challenges. Their home performance had been slightly better than their away record, with a 2-3 mark in their last five games at Petco Park.
Conversely, the Blue Jays had a more balanced recent performance, with a record of 5-5 in their last ten games and a two-game winning streak heading into this contest. They averaged 3.4 runs scored and allowed 3.7 runs during that stretch. Their away record stood at 45-50, but they had shown resilience, winning three of their last five games on the road.
Historically, the Padres have struggled against the Blue Jays, with a head-to-head record of 0-4 in their last four meetings, including two losses earlier in the 2026 season. This backdrop added an extra layer of intrigue to the game, as the Padres aimed to break their losing streak against Toronto.
In terms of injuries, both teams were dealing with significant player absences. The Padres were missing key players such as Jason Adam (shoulder, 60-Day IL), Miguel Andujar (wrist, 10-Day IL), Gavin Sheets (foot, 10-Day IL), Jeremiah Estrada (shoulder, 15-Day IL), and Lucas Giolito (elbow, 60-Day IL). The Blue Jays also had notable injuries, including Patrick Corbin (shoulder, 60-Day IL), Jameson Taillon (forearm, 15-Day IL), Luis Urias (quadriceps, 10-Day IL), Anthony Santander (shoulder, 60-Day IL), and Jonatan Clase (foot, 60-Day IL).
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Padres at -111 on the money line and set the total runs at 8.0, with the over at -102 and the under at -117. This indicated a competitive matchup, with expectations for a close game reflected in the odds.
The game conditions were typical for summer baseball, with warm weather at Petco Park. Fans were treated to a display of offensive fireworks, with both teams exchanging leads throughout the game. The scoring began in the second inning when Alejandro Kirk doubled to right, bringing in Okamoto, followed by a groundout that allowed Varsho to score, putting the Blue Jays ahead 2-0. However, the Padres quickly responded, with Manny Machado's single bringing in two runs to tie the game.
The back-and-forth continued as the Blue Jays regained the lead with a home run from Clase, only for the Padres to answer with a two-run single from Song in the third inning. The Blue Jays tied it again in the sixth with a home run from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., but the Padres took the lead for good with a home run from France later in the same inning.
Ultimately, the Padres' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and their resilience in the face of adversity led them to a hard-fought victory. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see how both teams respond in their upcoming games, especially the Padres as they look to build on this win and improve their standing in the league.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | SD -111 | 8 o -102 / u -117 | Toronto Blue Jays -108 · San Diego Padres -111 |
Injury report
- Jason Adam60-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Miguel Andujar10-Day-ILWristSan Diego Padres
- Gavin Sheets10-Day-ILFootSan Diego Padres
- Jeremiah Estrada15-Day-ILShoulderSan Diego Padres
- Lucas Giolito60-Day-ILElbowSan Diego Padres
- Patrick Corbin60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jameson Taillon15-Day-ILForearmToronto Blue Jays
- Luis Urias10-Day-ILQuadricepsToronto Blue Jays
- Anthony Santander60-Day-ILShoulderToronto Blue Jays
- Jonatan Clase60-Day-ILFootToronto Blue Jays
Recent form
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 2-8Streak L23.7 scored · 5.2 allowed per game2-3 at home
- L3-5vs Toronto Blue JaysJul 11
- L1-3vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 10
- W10-4vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 9
- W4-1vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 8
- L0-8vs Arizona DiamondbacksJul 7
- L0-3at Los Angeles DodgersJul 5
- L3-4at Los Angeles DodgersJul 4
- L7-12at Los Angeles DodgersJul 3
- L7-9at Chicago CubsJul 1
- L2-3at Chicago CubsJun 30
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 5-5Streak W23.4 scored · 3.7 allowed per game3-2 away
- W5-3at San Diego PadresJul 11
- W9-3at San Francisco GiantsJul 8
- L1-10at San Francisco GiantsJul 7
- L0-4at Seattle MarinersJul 5
- W2-0at Seattle MarinersJul 4
- W9-3vs New York MetsJul 1
- L0-3vs New York MetsJun 30
- W2-1vs New York MetsJun 29
- L2-3vs Texas RangersJun 28
- L4-7vs Texas RangersJun 27
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | - | 56 | L1 | .597 | 83 |
| New York | 3.5 | 60 | W2 | .571 | 80 |
| Boston | 8.5 | 65 | L2 | .536 | 75 |
| Toronto | 14.5 | 71 | W1 | .493 | 69 |
| Baltimore | 14.5 | 71 | L2 | .493 | 69 |
| Los Angeles | - | 57 | L2 | .590 | 82 |
| Arizona | 9 | 67 | W1 | .525 | 74 |
| San Diego | 9.5 | 67 | L2 | .521 | 73 |
| San Francisco | 24.5 | 82 | W1 | .414 | 58 |
| Colorado | 28.5 | 86 | W2 | .386 | 54 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning0-1Sheets walked, Tatis Jr. scored, Bogaerts to second, Merrill to third.
- 1st Inning0-2France hit sacrifice fly to right, Merrill scored.
- 2nd Inning1-2Kirk doubled to right, Okamoto scored, Varsho to third.
- 2nd Inning2-2Giménez grounded out to second, Varsho scored.
- 2nd Inning4-2Clase homered to right (375 feet), Kirk scored.
- 2nd Inning4-4Machado singled to center, Merrill scored and Song scored, Bogaerts to third.
- 3rd Inning4-6Song singled to center, France scored and Cronenworth scored.
- 4th Inning4-7Cronenworth singled to center, Sheets scored, France to third.
- 6th Inning7-7Guerrero Jr. homered to left (385 feet), Clase scored and Lukes scored.
- 6th Inning7-8France homered to left (377 feet).
Win probability
Above the line favours San Diego Padres, below favours Toronto Blue Jays.
Venue
- Petco ParkSan Diego, California
- Attendance40561
- OfficialsAdam Hamari, Jen Pawol, Todd Tichenor, Clint Vondrak
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
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- Padres Edge Blue Jays in Close Contest at Petco ParkJul 12, 2026
- Blue Jays Edge Padres in Close ContestJul 10, 2026