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MLS · FT

Toronto FC edges FC Cincinnati in tight contest

Sunday, March 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · TQL Stadium

Toronto FC 1, FC Cincinnati 0, final. Our MLS picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Toronto FC beat FC Cincinnati 1-0 at TQL Stadium on March 8, 2026.

Who was favored in Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?

FC Cincinnati were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -140 (about 58% implied). The underdog won.

In a closely contested match at TQL Stadium, Toronto FC secured a narrow 1-0 victory over FC Cincinnati, marking a significant achievement for the visitors. This win adds to Toronto's positive history against Cincinnati, as they now hold a 4-0-1 advantage in the series.

Both teams entered the match with identical records of 1-0-2, reflecting a challenging start to the season. FC Cincinnati had recently experienced mixed results, with their last five matches yielding two wins and three losses. Their most recent game ended in a disappointing 0-1 loss to Minnesota United FC, a result that extended their current losing streak to one. In contrast, Toronto FC's recent form has been equally inconsistent, with only one win in their last five matches, including two losses and two draws. Their last outing resulted in a 0-3 defeat against the Vancouver Whitecaps, contributing to a streak of two consecutive losses.

At home, FC Cincinnati has struggled, recording a home record of 1-0-2 in their last three matches. Their overall home performance in the last ten games stands at 4-1, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 allowed per game. This contrasts sharply with Toronto FC's away struggles, as they have managed only one win in their last ten away games, with a record of 0-3 in their last three. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 allowed per game during this stretch.

In their previous meetings, FC Cincinnati had shown dominance over Toronto FC, winning both encounters last season with scores of 2-0 and 1-0. However, this match saw a shift in momentum, with Toronto FC managing to secure the win despite their recent form.

The market had priced FC Cincinnati as favorites, with odds of -140 from DraftKings, while Toronto FC was listed at +340. The spread was set at -0.5 for Cincinnati, with a total of 2.5 goals for the match. The odds for the over were -155, while the under was at +120, indicating expectations of a low-scoring affair.

The conditions at TQL Stadium were conducive to soccer, with no adverse weather reported, allowing both teams to execute their strategies effectively. Viewers were treated to a tactical battle, with both sides looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

In terms of injuries, the match featured both teams at relatively full strength, allowing them to field their best lineups. This factor contributed to the intensity of the match, as both coaches utilized their available resources to secure a crucial three points.

The match concluded with Toronto FC celebrating a hard-fought victory, while FC Cincinnati was left to reflect on their performance and seek improvements in the upcoming fixtures.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCIN -140 2.5 o -155 / u +120 Toronto FC +340 · FC Cincinnati -140

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Total ShotsPavel Bucha2FC Cincinnati
  • Accurate PassesMiles Robinson55FC Cincinnati
  • SavesRoman Celentano4FC Cincinnati
  • Total ShotsDeandre Kerr3Toronto FC
  • Accurate PassesJonathan Osorio32Toronto FC
  • SavesLuka Gavran2Toronto FC

Recent form

FC Cincinnati

Last 10: 6-3-1Streak L11.3 scored · 1.3 allowed per game4-1 at home

  • L4-0vs Inter Miami CFNov 23
  • W4-0vs Universidad O&MFeb 18
  • W2-0vs Atlanta United FCFeb 21
  • W9-0vs Universidad O&MFeb 25
  • L1-0vs Minnesota United FCFeb 28

Toronto FC

Last 10: 1-3-6Streak L21.2 scored · 1.6 allowed per game0-3 away

  • D2-2vs Chicago Fire FCOct 4
  • L2-0vs LAFCOct 8
  • W4-2vs Orlando City SCOct 18
  • L3-2vs FC DallasFeb 21
  • L3-0vs Vancouver WhitecapsFeb 28

Standings

TeamGames playedLostPoint differentialPointsTiedWonRankOverall
Nashville SC222+3052416116-4-2
Inter Miami CF224+1542612212-6-4
Chicago Fire FC216+1137411311-4-6
New England Revolution227+937411411-4-7
Charlotte FC227+835510510-5-7
FC Cincinnati227-2317868-7-7
New York City FC228+5287777-7-8
Red Bull New York2210-14265787-5-10
Orlando City SC2211-17254797-4-11
Toronto FC227-625105105-10-7
D.C. United227-825105115-10-7
Philadelphia Union2210-52466126-6-10
Atlanta United FC2213-132136136-3-13
CF Montréal2211-162165145-6-11
Columbus Crew2212-82055155-5-12

Box score

StatFC CincinnatiToronto FC
Fouls committed1411
Yellow cards22
Red cards00
Offsides10
Won corners88
Saves42
Possession pct57.142.9
Total shots1411
Shots on target25
Shot pct0.10.5
Penalty kick goals00
Penalty kick shots00
Accurate passes389263
Total passes449341
Pass pct0.90.8
Accurate crosses66
Total crosses2621
Cross pct0.20.3
Total long balls4153
Accurate long balls2616
Longball pct0.60.3
Blocked shots62
Effective tackles616
Total tackles924
Tackle pct0.70.7
Interceptions thrown811
Effective clearance3133
Total clearance3133

Venue

  • TQL StadiumCincinnati, Ohio
  • Attendance25513
  • OfficialsAlexis Da Silva

Elsewhere

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.