Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction & odds

The upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC at Subaru Park on November 7, 2026, is particularly intriguing as both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league. The series between these two teams is tightly contested, currently tied at 1-1-3 in their last five meetings. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they navigate the final stretch of the season.

Philadelphia Union enters this fixture with a home record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with their last five matches yielding 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Notably, they recently defeated Chicago Fire FC 3-1 but fell to FC Cincinnati 1-0 in their last outing. On average, they have scored 1.2 goals and allowed 1.2 goals in their last five matches, which highlights a need for improvement in both offense and defense.

In contrast, Toronto FC has a record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses for the season. Their recent form is slightly better, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. They managed to secure a 2-0 win against Red Bull New York and a 2-1 victory over D.C. United, but they also suffered a 3-1 defeat to Atlanta United FC in their latest match. Toronto's average scoring in their last five matches stands at 2.0 goals, while they have allowed an average of 2.2 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

When considering home and away performances, Philadelphia has been strong at home, with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10 home matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals allowed. Conversely, Toronto has struggled on the road, with a record of 1 win, 5 losses in their last 6 away matches, which could be a significant factor in this matchup.

In terms of individual performances, Philadelphia's Milan Iloski leads the team with 19 goals in 31 matches, while Cavan Sullivan has contributed 11 assists. For Toronto, Dániel Sallói has scored 9 goals and provided 7 assists in 33 matches, making him a key player to watch.

The betting market reflects Philadelphia Union as the favorites, with DraftKings pricing them at -230 on the money line, while Toronto FC is listed at +450. The spread is set at -1.5 for Philadelphia, with the total goals over/under at 3.5, indicating expectations for a potentially high-scoring affair.

As for injuries, the block does not provide specific details on player availability, which could impact both teams' lineups and strategies.

Fans should watch for Philadelphia's attacking prowess, particularly through Iloski, as they look to capitalize on their home advantage. Meanwhile, Toronto will need to tighten their defense to avoid conceding goals, especially given their recent struggles away from home. This match promises to be a critical encounter as both teams aim to gain momentum heading into the final matches of the season.