Maple Leafs Edge Avalanche in Overtime Thriller
Monday, January 12, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · Ball Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?
Toronto Maple Leafs beat Colorado Avalanche 4-3 at Ball Arena on January 12, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?
Colorado Avalanche were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -238 (about 70% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling encounter at Ball Arena, the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, marking a significant victory as they lead the season series 1-0. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as it showcased two teams in strong form, with the Avalanche boasting an impressive home record of 33-4-8, while the Maple Leafs held a respectable away record of 23-15-7.
The Avalanche entered this game with a recent home record of 8-2 over their last ten games, currently riding a two-game winning streak. They averaged 4.3 goals scored per game while allowing just 2.0 goals against during this stretch. Their last five games reflected a record of 3-2, with an average of 4.0 goals scored and 2.2 goals allowed. In contrast, the Maple Leafs were also in fine form, winning seven of their last ten games, including a three-game winning streak leading into this contest. They averaged 4.0 goals scored and 2.7 goals allowed in their last ten games, with a record of 4-1 in their last five.
Home advantage has been a strong factor for the Avalanche, who maintained a perfect 5-0 home record in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs struggled on the road, with a 1-3 record in their last four away games, though they had recently secured a decisive 5-0 victory against the Vancouver Canucks.
In terms of previous meetings, the two teams had faced off twice in the 2025 season, with the Avalanche winning one game and losing the other. Their most recent encounter prior to this match resulted in a 7-4 victory for the Avalanche on March 9, 2025, while the Maple Leafs had previously defeated them 2-1 on March 19, 2025.
Injuries played a significant role in this matchup, particularly for the Maple Leafs. They were missing several key players, including Zack MacEwen (Injured Reserve, knee), Max Domi (Out, back), Dakota Joshua (Out, upper body), Auston Matthews (Out, knee), and Chris Tanev (Injured Reserve, abdomen). The absence of these players, especially Matthews, who has been a crucial offensive contributor, put additional pressure on the remaining roster.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, indicated the Avalanche as the favorites with a moneyline of -238, while the Maple Leafs were at +195. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Avalanche, with a total of 6.5 goals for the game, reflecting expectations of a competitive scoring affair.
The game conditions were typical for mid-January, with players needing to adapt to the potential for a fast-paced and physical contest. Fans were treated to a display of skill and determination, with the first period seeing Easton Cowan score early for the Maple Leafs, followed by a response from Cale Makar and Brock Nelson, giving the Avalanche a brief lead.
As the game progressed, Bobby McMann equalized for the Maple Leafs in the second period, setting the stage for a tense third period. Auston Matthews, despite being sidelined, was still a notable presence as he contributed to the team's energy from the bench. The Avalanche managed to tie the game again with a goal from Martin Necas, but it was William Nylander who ultimately sealed the game for the Maple Leafs with a decisive goal in overtime.
This match not only highlighted the competitive spirit of both teams but also showcased the resilience of the Maple Leafs in overcoming their injury challenges. Viewers were treated to an intense game filled with strategic plays, showcasing the depth and talent of both rosters.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | COL -238 | 6.5 o -122 / u +102 | Toronto Maple Leafs +195 · Colorado Avalanche -238 |
Injury report
- Zack MacEwenInjured ReserveKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiOutBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota JoshuaOutUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- Auston MatthewsOutKneeToronto Maple Leafs
- Chris TanevInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
Leaders
- GoalsMartin Necas1Colorado Avalanche
- AssistsNathan MacKinnon3Colorado Avalanche
- PointsNathan MacKinnon3Colorado Avalanche
- GoalsWilliam Nylander1Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsOliver Ekman-Larsson2Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsWilliam Nylander2Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent form
Colorado Avalanche
Last 10: 8-2Streak W24.3 scored · 2 allowed per game5-0 at home
- W4-0vs Columbus Blue JacketsJan 10
- W8-2vs Ottawa SenatorsJan 9
- L2-4at Tampa Bay LightningJan 7
- L1-2at Florida PanthersJan 4
- W5-3at Carolina HurricanesJan 4
- W6-1vs St. Louis BluesJan 1
- W5-2vs Los Angeles KingsDec 30
- W6-5at Vegas Golden KnightsDec 28
- W1-0vs Utah MammothDec 24
- W5-1at Minnesota WildDec 21
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 7-3Streak W34 scored · 2.7 allowed per game1-3 away
- W5-0vs Vancouver CanucksJan 11
- W2-1at Philadelphia FlyersJan 9
- W4-1vs Florida PanthersJan 7
- L3-4at New York IslandersJan 4
- W6-5vs Winnipeg JetsJan 2
- W4-0vs New Jersey DevilsDec 31
- L2-3at Detroit Red WingsDec 29
- W7-5vs Ottawa SenatorsDec 28
- W6-3vs Pittsburgh PenguinsDec 23
- L1-5at Dallas StarsDec 22
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 9 | 23 | 109 | 50 |
| Tampa Bay | 6 | 26 | 106 | 50 |
| Montreal | 10 | 24 | 106 | 48 |
| Boston | 10 | 27 | 100 | 45 |
| Ottawa | 11 | 27 | 99 | 44 |
| Detroit | 10 | 31 | 92 | 41 |
| Florida | 4 | 38 | 84 | 40 |
| Toronto | 14 | 36 | 78 | 32 |
| Colorado | 11 | 16 | 121 | 55 |
| Dallas | 12 | 20 | 112 | 50 |
| Minnesota | 12 | 24 | 104 | 46 |
| Utah | 6 | 33 | 92 | 43 |
| St. Louis | 12 | 33 | 86 | 37 |
| Nashville | 10 | 34 | 86 | 38 |
| Winnipeg | 12 | 35 | 82 | 35 |
| Chicago | 14 | 39 | 72 | 29 |
Box score
| Stat | Toronto Maple Leafs | Colorado Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 22 | 12 |
| Hits | 13 | 14 |
| Takeaways | 8 | 3 |
| Shots total | 31 | 34 |
| Power play goals | 0 | 1 |
| Power play opportunities | 2 | 3 |
| Power play pct | 0.0 | 33.3 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 28 | 27 |
| Faceoff percent | 50.9 | 49.1 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 22 |
| Penalties | 4 | 3 |
| Penalty minutes | 8 | 6 |
How the scoring went
- 1st1-0Easton Cowan Goal (7) , assists: none
- 1st1-1Cale Makar Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Martin Necas (36), Nathan MacKinnon (43)
- 1st1-2Brock Nelson Goal (22) Slap Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (44), Cale Makar (39)
- 2nd2-2Bobby McMann Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: none
- 3rd3-2Auston Matthews Goal (22) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (30), Oliver Ekman-Larsson (19)
- 3rd3-3Martin Necas Goal (21) Tip-In, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (45)
- OT4-3William Nylander Goal (16) Wrist Shot, assists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson (20), Auston Matthews (15)
Venue
- Ball ArenaDenver, CO
- Attendance18084
- OfficialsKyle Rehman, Kiel Murchison, TJ Luxmore, Brandon Gawryletz
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