Maple Leafs Defeat Avalanche 6-3 in Thrilling Matchup
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Ball Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 3, final. Our NHL picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?
Toronto Maple Leafs beat Colorado Avalanche 6-3 at Ball Arena on October 10, 2026.
Who was favored in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche?
Colorado Avalanche were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -225 (about 69% implied). The underdog won.
The Toronto Maple Leafs secured a decisive 6-3 victory over the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena, marking their second consecutive win in the NHL. This game was particularly notable as it extended Toronto's lead in the season series against Colorado to 2-0, having previously won a matchup on January 25, 2026, with a score of 4-1. The Avalanche, despite a strong start to the season, fell to a 3-2-0 record, while the Maple Leafs improved to 3-2-1.
In terms of recent form, the Avalanche had been performing well overall, boasting a record of 8-2 in their last 10 games, with an average of 3.8 goals scored and only 1.8 allowed. They entered the game on a one-game winning streak, having defeated the Calgary Flames 7-3 in their last outing. However, their home record stood at 4-1, indicating a solid performance at Ball Arena. The Avalanche's scoring prowess was evident, but they faced challenges with injuries to key players, including Logan O'Connor and Georgii Merkulov, both on injured reserve.
Conversely, the Maple Leafs had struggled recently, with a record of 2-8 in their last 10 games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 3.9 allowed. Their away record was particularly concerning at 0-3, but they managed to secure a win against the Nashville Predators prior to facing the Avalanche. The team was also dealing with injuries, notably missing John Tavares due to personal reasons, while Chris Tanev was day-to-day with an upper body injury. Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, and Cade Webber were also on injured reserve, impacting the team's depth.
The game began with a competitive first period, featuring Nathan MacKinnon scoring twice for Colorado, both on wrist shots, giving the Avalanche a brief lead. However, William Nylander responded with a goal for Toronto, leveling the score at 1-1. The first period ended with Colorado leading 2-1 after MacKinnon's second goal. The second period saw a flurry of scoring, with Brock Nelson restoring Colorado's lead before Nylander struck again to tie the game at 3-3. Easton Cowan then put Toronto ahead 4-3, showcasing the Maple Leafs' resilience.
In the third period, Auston Matthews scored twice for Toronto, solidifying their lead and ultimately sealing the game with a final score of 6-3. Matthews' performance was particularly noteworthy, as he not only scored but also assisted on Nylander's goals, demonstrating his playmaking ability.
The betting market reflected the competitive nature of the matchup, with DraftKings pricing Colorado as the favorite at -225 on the money line, while Toronto was set at +185. The total for the game was set at 6.5, with odds of -125 for the over and +105 for the under. The spread was -1.5 in favor of Colorado, indicating expectations of a close contest.
Conditions at Ball Arena were typical for a hockey game, with both teams needing to adapt to the environment and the pace of play. Fans witnessed a high-energy matchup, with both teams showcasing their offensive talents and strategic plays. The Avalanche, known for their scoring ability, faced a Maple Leafs team that has been under pressure to improve their away performance.
As the game concluded, viewers were left with a clear picture of the contrasting trajectories of the two teams. Colorado, despite their strong home record and recent form, could not overcome the Maple Leafs' offensive onslaught. Toronto's ability to capitalize on opportunities and their depth in scoring proved decisive in the outcome of the game. The victory not only boosts the Maple Leafs' confidence but also highlights the challenges that lie ahead for the Avalanche as they navigate their injury concerns and strive to maintain their competitive edge in the league.
What we said beforehand
The Colorado Avalanche will face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Ball Arena on October 10, 2026. This matchup is particularly intriguing as both teams look to establish themselves early in the season, with Colorado currently holding a home record of 3-1-0 and Toronto at 2-2-1 on the road. The Avalanche have shown a strong scoring ability, averaging 5.0 goals in their last five games, while the Maple Leafs have struggled, averaging 2.8 goals over the same span.
In their last five games, the Avalanche have recorded three wins and two losses, with notable victories against the St. Louis Blues (6-1) and the Calgary Flames (7-3). Their most recent game resulted in a win against Calgary, showcasing their offensive prowess. Nathan MacKinnon has been a standout player for Colorado, leading the team with 3 goals and 5 assists, totaling 8 points this season.
On the other hand, the Maple Leafs have experienced a mixed bag of results, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Their last game ended in a narrow loss to the Vegas Golden Knights (4-3) after a shootout. William Nylander leads Toronto with 3 goals and 6 points, while Auston Matthews has contributed 4 assists.
When examining home and away performances, the Avalanche have been particularly strong at home, boasting an 8-2 record in their last ten games, with an average of 3.8 goals scored and only 1.8 allowed. Conversely, the Maple Leafs have struggled away from home, with a record of 0-3 in their last three road games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 3.9 allowed.
In terms of previous meetings, the teams are evenly matched with a head-to-head record of 1-1 this season. The last encounter saw the Avalanche lose to the Maple Leafs 4-3 at home, while they previously secured a 4-1 victory in Toronto.
Injury concerns could also play a significant role in the matchup. The Avalanche will be without Logan O'Connor and Georgii Merkulov, both on injured reserve. The Maple Leafs will miss John Tavares, who is out for personal reasons, and Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, and Cade Webber, who are also on injured reserve. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is day-to-day, adding uncertainty to Toronto's lineup.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the odds with Colorado favored at -218 on the moneyline, with a spread of -1.5. The total for the game is set at 6.5, with over odds at -125.0 and under odds at 105.0.
As the teams prepare for this matchup, viewers should keep an eye on the performance of Nathan MacKinnon for Colorado, who has been instrumental in their scoring. For Toronto, the absence of Tavares could shift the dynamics of their offense, making the contributions of Nylander and Matthews even more crucial. The game promises to be a compelling contest as both teams seek to improve their early-season records.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | COL -225 | 6.5 o -125 / u +105 | Toronto Maple Leafs +185 · Colorado Avalanche -225 |
Injury report
- Logan O'ConnorInjured ReserveLower BodyColorado Avalanche
- Georgii MerkulovInjured ReserveUndisclosedColorado Avalanche
- Chris TanevDay-To-DayUpper BodyToronto Maple Leafs
- John TavaresOutPersonalToronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota JoshuaInjured ReserveAbdomenToronto Maple Leafs
- Max DomiInjured ReserveBackToronto Maple Leafs
- Cade WebberInjured ReserveElbowToronto Maple Leafs
Leaders
- GoalsNathan MacKinnon2Colorado Avalanche
- AssistsDevon Toews1Colorado Avalanche
- PointsNathan MacKinnon2Colorado Avalanche
- GoalsWilliam Nylander2Toronto Maple Leafs
- AssistsWilliam Nylander3Toronto Maple Leafs
- PointsWilliam Nylander5Toronto Maple Leafs
Recent form
Colorado Avalanche
Last 10: 8-2Streak W13.8 scored · 1.8 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W7-3at Calgary FlamesOct 9
- L2-3at Winnipeg JetsOct 7
- W6-1vs St. Louis BluesOct 4
- W8-4vs Los Angeles KingsOct 1
- W2-0vs Seattle KrakenApr 17
- W3-1at Calgary FlamesApr 15
- W2-1at Edmonton OilersApr 14
- L2-3vs Vegas Golden KnightsApr 12
- W3-1vs Calgary FlamesApr 10
- W3-1at St. Louis BluesApr 8
Toronto Maple Leafs
Last 10: 2-8Streak L12.5 scored · 3.9 allowed per game0-3 away
- L3-4at Vegas Golden KnightsOct 9
- W5-4vs Nashville PredatorsOct 6
- L2-3vs Ottawa SenatorsOct 3
- W2-1vs New York IslandersSep 30
- L2-3vs Montreal CanadiensSep 29
- L1-3at Ottawa SenatorsApr 15
- L5-6vs Dallas StarsApr 13
- L2-6vs Florida PanthersApr 11
- L3-5at New York IslandersApr 9
- L0-4vs Washington CapitalsApr 8
Standings
| Team | Ot losses | Lost | Points | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| Toronto | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Ottawa | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Tampa Bay | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Florida | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Buffalo | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Montreal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Detroit | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Utah | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| Minnesota | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Winnipeg | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Colorado | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Nashville | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Dallas | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| St. Louis | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Chicago | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Box score
| Stat | Toronto Maple Leafs | Colorado Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 22 | 10 |
| Hits | 22 | 16 |
| Takeaways | 5 | 6 |
| Shots total | 23 | 33 |
| Power play goals | 2 | 0 |
| Power play opportunities | 4 | 5 |
| Power play pct | 50.0 | 0.0 |
| Short handed goals | 0 | 0 |
| Shootout goals | 0 | 0 |
| Faceoffs won | 30 | 34 |
| Faceoff percent | 46.9 | 53.1 |
| Giveaways | 10 | 15 |
| Penalties | 6 | 5 |
| Penalty minutes | 12 | 10 |
How the scoring went
- 1st1-0Nick Blankenburg Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (4), Nick Paul (2)
- 1st1-1Nathan MacKinnon Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Brett Kulak (4), Devon Toews (3)
- 1st1-2Nathan MacKinnon Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Cale Makar (4), Martin Necas (3)
- 2nd2-2William Nylander Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Gavin McKenna (3), Auston Matthews (5)
- 2nd2-3Brock Nelson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: none
- 2nd3-3William Nylander Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (6), Nick Paul (3)
- 2nd4-3Easton Cowan Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Morgan Rielly (4), William Nylander (5)
- 3rd5-3Auston Matthews Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (6), Kirill Marchenko (4)
- 3rd6-3Auston Matthews Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: none
Venue
- Ball ArenaDenver, CO
- Attendance18091
- OfficialsTravis Gawryletz, Gord Dwyer, Libor Suchanek, Liam Maaskant
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