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NCAAF · Final

Navy Midshipmen Edge Air Force Falcons in Thrilling Finish

Saturday, October 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Navy Midshipmen 34, Air Force Falcons 31, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen?

Navy Midshipmen beat Air Force Falcons 34-31 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on October 4, 2025.

In a closely contested matchup, the Navy Midshipmen triumphed over the Air Force Falcons with a final score of 34-31 at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. This victory marked a continuation of Navy's impressive home record, bringing their overall home performance to 6-0 this season. The Midshipmen have shown remarkable form, winning their last six games, and they have maintained an average of 36.8 points scored in their last five outings, while allowing just 16.0 points.

Navy's recent performance has been characterized by a strong offensive display, highlighted by their ability to score effectively at home. In their last ten games, they have a record of 7-3, averaging 27.0 points scored and 21.7 points allowed. Their latest victory against the Rice Owls, where they won 21-13, further solidified their momentum. The Midshipmen's home record stands at 3-2, and they have consistently delivered strong performances in front of their home crowd.

On the other hand, the Air Force Falcons have struggled this season, holding a record of 1-4 in away games. Their recent form has been concerning, with a current losing streak of three games. In their last ten games, the Falcons have managed a record of 5-5, averaging 28.4 points scored while conceding 26.3 points. Their last game against the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors ended in a 35-44 loss, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Air Force's away record is 2-2, indicating that they have faced challenges when playing outside their home venue.

The two teams met previously in the 2024 season, where Navy emerged victorious with a commanding 34-7 win over Air Force. This history added an extra layer of intensity to their latest encounter, with Navy looking to assert their dominance once again.

In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details affecting either team, but the overall health of the rosters can significantly influence game dynamics. The absence of key players could impact performance, especially in a high-stakes game such as this.

The betting market reflected Navy's strong position heading into the game, with a final home win probability set at 1.0, indicating confidence in their ability to secure the victory. The conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were conducive to a competitive matchup, though specifics on weather or field conditions were not provided.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a showcase of resilience from both teams. Navy's ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities contrasted with Air Force's struggle to maintain defensive integrity. The Midshipmen's strong home performance was evident, as they managed to hold off a determined Falcons side, who fought hard until the final whistle.

In summary, the Navy Midshipmen's victory over the Air Force Falcons not only adds to their impressive home record but also highlights the contrasting fortunes of the two teams this season. Navy's current form and home advantage played a crucial role in their success, while Air Force will need to regroup and address their defensive issues moving forward.

Leaders

  • Passing yardsBlake Horvath20/26, 339 YDS, 3 TDNavy Midshipmen
  • Rushing yardsBlake Horvath17 CAR, 130 YDS, 1 TDNavy Midshipmen
  • Receiving yardsEli Heidenreich8 REC, 243 YDS, 3 TDNavy Midshipmen
  • Passing yardsLiam Szarka11/19, 212 YDS, 2 TDAir Force Falcons
  • Rushing yardsLiam Szarka25 CAR, 152 YDS, 2 TDAir Force Falcons
  • Receiving yardsBruin Fleischmann6 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TDAir Force Falcons

Recent form

Navy Midshipmen

Last 10: 7-3Streak W627 scored · 21.7 allowed per game3-2 at home

  • W21-13vs Rice OwlsSep 27
  • W42-23at Tulsa Golden HurricaneSep 14
  • W38-24vs UAB BlazersSep 6
  • W52-7vs VMI KeydetsAug 30
  • W31-13at Army Black KnightsDec 14
  • W34-20at East Carolina PiratesNov 29
  • L0-35vs Tulane Green WaveNov 16
  • W28-7at South Florida BullsNov 9
  • L10-24at Rice OwlsNov 2
  • L14-51vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishOct 26

Air Force Falcons

Last 10: 5-5Streak L328.4 scored · 26.3 allowed per game2-2 away

  • L35-44vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsSep 27
  • L37-49vs Boise State BroncosSep 20
  • L30-49at Utah State AggiesSep 14
  • W49-13vs Bucknell BisonAug 30
  • W31-20at San Diego State AztecsDec 1
  • W22-19at Nevada Wolf PackNov 24
  • W28-0vs Oregon State BeaversNov 16
  • W36-28vs Fresno State BulldogsNov 10
  • L3-20at Army Black KnightsNov 2
  • L13-21vs Colorado State RamsOct 20

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
North Dakota State1-00-0
Air Force0-00-0
Nevada0-00-0
New Mexico0-00-0
Northern Illinois0-00-0
UTEP0-00-0
Wyoming0-00-0
Hawai'i0-10-0
San José State0-10-0
UNLV0-10-0
Memphis1-00-0
Army0-00-0
Charlotte0-00-0
East Carolina0-00-0
Florida Atlantic0-00-0
Navy0-00-0
North Texas0-00-0
Rice0-00-0
South Florida0-00-0
Temple0-00-0
Tulane0-00-0
Tulsa0-00-0
UAB0-00-0
UTSA0-00-0

Box score

StatAir Force FalconsNavy Midshipmen
First downs2318
Third downs7-135-11
Fourth downs1-12-2
Total yards460517
Net passing yards249339
Completions12/2020/26
Yards per pass12.513.0
Rushing yards211178
Rushing attempts4529
Yards per rush4.76.1
Penalties3-358-49
Turnovers11
Fumbles lost11
Interceptions thrown00
Time of possession32:2827:32

Win probability

Above the line favours Navy Midshipmen, below favours Air Force Falcons.

Venue

  • Navy-Marine Corps Memorial StadiumAnnapolis, MD
  • Attendance37517

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.