UNLV Rebels Edge Air Force Falcons in Thrilling Finale
Saturday, October 11, 2025, 3:30 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium
UNLV Rebels 51, Air Force Falcons 48, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels?
UNLV Rebels beat Air Force Falcons 51-48 at Allegiant Stadium on October 11, 2025.
In a nail-biting encounter at Allegiant Stadium, the UNLV Rebels triumphed over the Air Force Falcons with a final score of 51-48. This victory marked the Rebels' impressive home record, improving it to 7-0 for the season, while the Falcons continued to struggle, falling to 1-6 overall. The match showcased the contrasting fortunes of both teams, with UNLV on a five-game winning streak and Air Force mired in a four-game losing streak.
The Rebels have been in formidable form, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games and averaging 32.0 points scored per game while allowing 22.8 points. Their recent performances have been particularly strong, as evidenced by their last five games, where they averaged 35.6 points and allowed 26.0 points. In their most recent outing, UNLV defeated the Wyoming Cowboys 31-17, further solidifying their position as a dominant force at home, where they have maintained a perfect 4-0 record this season.
Conversely, the Air Force Falcons have struggled significantly this season, with a record of 1-5. Over their last ten games, they have managed to win only five, but their recent form has been concerning, with their last five games yielding a mere 1-4 record. They have averaged 30.2 points scored but have allowed 27.6 points, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Their last game ended in a narrow loss to the Navy Midshipmen, where they fell 31-34.
Historically, the Rebels and Falcons have faced each other multiple times, but this matchup was particularly significant given the stakes for both teams. The Rebels have been on an upward trajectory, while the Falcons have struggled to find their footing. The injury picture for both teams was not detailed in the block, but it is often a critical factor in such high-stakes games.
The betting market reflected the Rebels' dominance, with a home win probability of 1.0 attributed to the market provider, indicating a strong belief in UNLV's ability to secure the win. This confidence was evident in their performance on the field, as they managed to outscore the Falcons in a high-octane game that kept fans on the edge of their seats.
Conditions at Allegiant Stadium were conducive to an exciting game, likely contributing to the high scoreline. Fans could expect to see a fast-paced contest, with both teams showcasing their offensive capabilities. The Rebels' ability to score 51 points speaks to their offensive prowess, while the Falcons' 48 points indicate that they also had their moments in the game.
Overall, this matchup between the UNLV Rebels and Air Force Falcons was a thrilling display of college football, highlighting the Rebels' continued success at home and the Falcons' ongoing struggles. The final score of 51-48 not only underscores the competitiveness of the game but also sets the stage for both teams as they navigate the remainder of the season.
Leaders
- Passing yardsAnthony Colandrea20/32, 361 YDS, 1 TDUNLV Rebels
- Rushing yardsJai'Den Thomas11 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TDUNLV Rebels
- Receiving yardsDaejon Reynolds4 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TDUNLV Rebels
- Passing yardsLiam Szarka10/17, 175 YDS, 1 TDAir Force Falcons
- Rushing yardsOwen Allen17 CAR, 192 YDS, 2 TDAir Force Falcons
- Receiving yardsJonah Dawson3 REC, 79 YDSAir Force Falcons
Recent form
UNLV Rebels
Last 10: 9-1Streak W532 scored · 22.8 allowed per game4-0 at home
- W31-17at Wyoming CowboysOct 4
- W41-38at Miami (OH) RedHawksSep 20
- W30-23vs UCLA BruinsSep 7
- W38-21at Sam Houston BearkatsAug 30
- W38-31vs Idaho State BengalsAug 23
- L7-21at Boise State BroncosDec 7
- W38-14vs Nevada Wolf PackDec 1
- W27-16at San José State SpartansNov 23
- W41-20vs San Diego State AztecsNov 17
- W29-27at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsNov 10
Air Force Falcons
Last 10: 5-5Streak L430.2 scored · 27.6 allowed per game2-3 away
- L31-34at Navy MidshipmenOct 4
- L35-44vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsSep 27
- L37-49vs Boise State BroncosSep 20
- L30-49at Utah State AggiesSep 14
- W49-13vs Bucknell BisonAug 30
- W31-20at San Diego State AztecsDec 1
- W22-19at Nevada Wolf PackNov 24
- W28-0vs Oregon State BeaversNov 16
- W36-28vs Fresno State BulldogsNov 10
- L3-20at Army Black KnightsNov 2
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Air Force | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nevada | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| New Mexico | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Northern Illinois | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UTEP | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wyoming | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hawai'i | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| San José State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| UNLV | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 32 | 24 |
| Third downs | 4-10 | 5-11 |
| Fourth downs | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Total yards | 603 | 597 |
| Net passing yards | 175 | 377 |
| Completions | 10/17 | 21/33 |
| Yards per pass | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| Rushing yards | 428 | 220 |
| Rushing attempts | 66 | 27 |
| Yards per rush | 6.5 | 8.1 |
| Penalties | 7-71 | 9-79 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 36:51 | 23:09 |
Win probability
Above the line favours UNLV Rebels, below favours Air Force Falcons.
Venue
- Allegiant StadiumLas Vegas, NV
- Attendance32932
Elsewhere
- NCAA clears Cincinnati in Brendan Sorsby sports betting probe
- Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith hoping to leave legacy in final season
- Georgia AG to SEC: 'Take all measures available' if LSU plays pros
- Ex-Alabama NIL content director pleads guilty to solicitation
- Minnesota opens the season at home against FCS foe Eastern Illinois
- Judge upholds eligibility for Missouri's Sterling Webb
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football
These two, other days
- UNLV Dominates Air Force in 91-66 VictoryFeb 21, 2026
- UNLV Rebels Dominate Air Force Falcons 67-39Jan 3, 2026