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NCAAF · Final

Duke Edges Arizona State in Thrilling Showdown

Wednesday, December 31, 2025, 2:00 PM ET · Sun Bowl

Duke Blue Devils 42, Arizona State Sun Devils 39, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Arizona State Sun Devils vs Duke Blue Devils?

Duke Blue Devils beat Arizona State Sun Devils 42-39 at Sun Bowl on December 31, 2025.

Who was favored in Arizona State Sun Devils vs Duke Blue Devils?

Duke Blue Devils were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -180 (about 64% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup at the Sun Bowl, the Duke Blue Devils triumphed over the Arizona State Sun Devils with a final score of 42-39. This game showcased the resilience and offensive prowess of both teams, making it a notable fixture in the NCAAF season. Duke entered the game with a home record of 9-5 and had been performing well, boasting a 7-3 record over their last ten games, including a three-game winning streak. The Blue Devils averaged 35.1 points scored per game during this stretch, while allowing 27.7 points. Their recent victories included wins over Virginia Cavaliers, Wake Forest Demon Deacons, and North Carolina Tar Heels, indicating a strong offensive capability that they carried into this matchup.

On the other side, Arizona State came into the game with a record of 8-5 and a similar 7-3 record in their last ten games, but they were on a one-game losing streak. The Sun Devils averaged 23.8 points scored and allowed 23.3 points per game during this period. Their recent form included a loss to the Arizona Wildcats, alongside wins against Colorado Buffaloes and West Virginia Mountaineers. This inconsistency in their recent performances may have played a role in their inability to secure a win against Duke.

Duke's performance at home this season saw them with a 2-2 record, while they excelled on the road with a 5-1 record. Conversely, Arizona State had a 4-2 record at home and a 3-1 record in away games, showcasing their ability to perform well outside of their home venue. This game was particularly significant as it marked a critical point for both teams in the season, with Duke looking to solidify their standing and Arizona State aiming to bounce back from their recent loss.

In terms of previous meetings, this game was a fresh encounter, with no recent history between the two teams noted in the block. The absence of prior matchups added an element of unpredictability to the contest. The injury picture was not detailed in the provided facts, leaving the status of key players for both teams unclear, which could have influenced the game's outcome.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, favored Duke with a spread of -4.0, indicating that they were expected to win by at least four points. The total for the game was set at 49.5, reflecting the anticipated offensive output from both teams. Duke's moneyline was listed at -180.0, while Arizona State's was at 150.0, further emphasizing the expectation of a Duke victory.

Conditions during the game were not specified, but typically, the Sun Bowl offers a neutral venue that can influence gameplay. Viewers were likely to watch for Duke's high-scoring offense, which had been averaging 35.1 points in their last ten games, and their ability to capitalize on Arizona State's defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Arizona State's recent struggles on offense, particularly in their last game where they only scored 7 points against Arizona, would have been a focal point for fans hoping to see a turnaround.

In conclusion, Duke's narrow victory over Arizona State not only highlighted their offensive strength but also demonstrated the competitive nature of college football. Both teams showed flashes of brilliance, but it was Duke who emerged victorious in this thrilling encounter.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsDUKE -4 49.5 o -108 / u -112 Arizona State Sun Devils +150 · Duke Blue Devils -180

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Passing yardsDarian Mensah29/51, 327 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INTDuke Blue Devils
  • Rushing yardsNate Sheppard22 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TDDuke Blue Devils
  • Receiving yardsQue'Sean Brown10 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TDDuke Blue Devils
  • Passing yardsJeff Sims27/38, 375 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INTArizona State Sun Devils
  • Rushing yardsJason Brown Jr.13 CAR, 134 YDSArizona State Sun Devils
  • Receiving yardsJalen Moss5 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TDArizona State Sun Devils

Recent form

Duke Blue Devils

Last 10: 7-3Streak W335.1 scored · 27.7 allowed per game2-2 at home

  • W27-20at Virginia CavaliersDec 7
  • W49-32vs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsNov 29
  • W32-25at North Carolina Tar HeelsNov 22
  • L17-34vs Virginia CavaliersNov 15
  • L34-37at UConn HuskiesNov 8
  • W46-45at Clemson TigersNov 1
  • L18-27vs Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsOct 18
  • W45-21at California Golden BearsOct 5
  • W38-3at Syracuse OrangeSep 27
  • W45-33vs NC State WolfpackSep 20

Arizona State Sun Devils

Last 10: 7-3Streak L123.8 scored · 23.3 allowed per game3-1 away

  • L7-23vs Arizona WildcatsNov 29
  • W42-17at Colorado BuffaloesNov 23
  • W25-23vs West Virginia MountaineersNov 15
  • W24-19at Iowa State CyclonesNov 1
  • L16-24vs Houston CougarsOct 26
  • W26-22vs Texas Tech Red RaidersOct 18
  • L10-42at Utah UtesOct 12
  • W27-24vs TCU Horned FrogsSep 27
  • W27-24at Baylor BearsSep 20
  • W34-15vs Texas State BobcatsSep 14

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Arizona State0-00-0
Arizona0-00-0
BYU0-00-0
Baylor0-00-0
Cincinnati0-00-0
Colorado0-00-0
Houston0-00-0
Iowa State0-00-0
Kansas0-00-0
Kansas State0-00-0
Oklahoma State0-00-0
Texas Tech0-00-0
UCF0-00-0
Utah0-00-0
West Virginia0-00-0
TCU0-10-0
Virginia1-01-0
Florida State1-00-0
North Carolina1-00-0
Stanford1-00-0
Boston College0-00-0
California0-00-0
Clemson0-00-0
Duke0-00-0
Georgia Tech0-00-0
Louisville0-00-0
Miami0-00-0
Pittsburgh0-00-0
SMU0-00-0
Syracuse0-00-0
Virginia Tech0-00-0
Wake Forest0-00-0
NC State0-10-1

Box score

StatArizona State Sun DevilsDuke Blue Devils
First downs2224
Third downs3-106-17
Fourth downs1-43-5
Total yards619539
Net passing yards375327
Completions27/3829/51
Yards per pass9.96.4
Rushing yards244212
Rushing attempts3736
Yards per rush6.65.9
Penalties3-336-60
Turnovers31
Fumbles lost20
Interceptions thrown11
Time of possession26:3333:27

Win probability

Above the line favours Duke Blue Devils, below favours Arizona State Sun Devils.

Venue

  • Sun BowlEl Paso, TX
  • Attendance44975

Elsewhere

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.