Boise State Tops Fresno State in High-Scoring Affair
Saturday, October 10, 2026, 10:30 PM ET · Valley Children's Stadium
Boise State Broncos 38, Fresno State Bulldogs 31, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
Boise State Broncos beat Fresno State Bulldogs 38-31 at Valley Children's Stadium on October 10, 2026.
Who was favored in Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
Boise State Broncos were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -310 (about 76% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling matchup at Valley Children's Stadium, the Boise State Broncos emerged victorious over the Fresno State Bulldogs with a final score of 38-31. This game showcased the offensive prowess of both teams, with Boise State extending their winning streak to five games while Fresno State's recent form remained impressive despite the loss.
Boise State entered the game with a strong away record of 5-1 and had been on a winning streak, averaging 29.8 points per game while allowing 21.6 points. Their last five games had seen them score an average of 34.4 points, demonstrating their offensive capabilities. In their previous outing, they defeated the Utah State Aggies 37-18, further solidifying their momentum heading into this matchup.
Fresno State, on the other hand, boasted a home record of 4-2 and had also been performing well, winning four consecutive games leading up to this contest. They averaged 25.1 points scored and allowed only 15.7 points per game over their last ten games. Their last game resulted in a convincing 26-6 victory against the Washington State Cougars, showcasing their defensive strength.
The matchup was particularly intriguing given the teams' previous meeting in the 2025 season, where Fresno State had triumphed over Boise State with a score of 30-7. This historical context added an extra layer of excitement as both teams sought to assert their dominance.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details, but such factors often play a significant role in the dynamics of college football games. The absence of key players could have influenced performance, but both teams appeared to be in good shape for this encounter.
The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, had Boise State favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 48.5. This indicated a belief in a high-scoring game, which ultimately proved accurate given the final tally.
Conditions during the game were typical for college football in October, with clear skies and a manageable temperature, allowing both teams to execute their game plans effectively.
Viewers were treated to an exciting display of offensive football, with Boise State's ability to score consistently being a decisive factor in their victory. As the game unfolded, it became clear that the Broncos' offensive line provided ample protection, allowing their quarterback to make critical plays under pressure. Conversely, Fresno State's defense, which had been formidable throughout the season, faced challenges in containing Boise State's dynamic attack.
Overall, this game not only highlighted the competitive nature of the NCAAF but also set the stage for future encounters between these two programs. With both teams demonstrating their capabilities, fans can look forward to more thrilling matchups in the coming weeks.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Boise State Broncos at Valley Children's Stadium promises to be a compelling contest, as both teams enter the game with identical 4-1 records. This fixture is particularly noteworthy given that Fresno State has won their last four games, showcasing a strong offensive and defensive performance during this stretch.
Fresno State's recent form has been impressive. They have recorded victories against the Washington State Cougars (26-6), Rice Owls (38-24), San José State Spartans (26-10), and Sacramento State Hornets (49-3). The Bulldogs' scoring average over their last five games stands at 27.8 points, while they have allowed an average of 16.4 points. Their home record is 3-2, and they have demonstrated resilience with a strong overall record of 7-3 in their last ten games, currently riding a four-game winning streak.
On the other hand, the Boise State Broncos have also been in fine form, winning their last four games against Utah State Aggies (37-18), Western Michigan Broncos (32-7), South Dakota Coyotes (38-24), and Memphis Tigers (38-20). The Broncos have averaged 34.4 points scored in their last five games while allowing 20.6 points. Their away record stands at 2-2, and they have a similar overall record of 7-3 in their last ten games, also on a four-game winning streak.
In terms of individual performances, Fresno State's quarterback Jayden Mandal has thrown for 1,034 yards, with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Rayshon Luke leads the rushing attack with 286 yards and 1 touchdown, while Josiah Freeman has been a key receiving target with 322 yards and 2 touchdowns. For Boise State, quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,058 yards and 11 touchdowns. Dylan Riley leads the rushing game with 685 yards and 5 touchdowns, and Rasean Jones has contributed significantly in the receiving department with 359 yards and 1 touchdown.
The last meeting between these two teams took place on November 1, 2025, where Fresno State emerged victorious with a score of 30-7. This historical context adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming game, as both teams will be looking to assert their dominance in this rivalry.
In terms of betting, DraftKings has set the odds with Boise State favored by 8.5 points. The total for the game is set at 48.5, with both the over and under priced at -110. The money line reflects Boise State at -310, while Fresno State is positioned at +250.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature of 80°F and no precipitation forecasted. Wind gusts could reach up to 12 mph, which might play a minor role in the game dynamics.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the effectiveness of both teams' passing games, particularly how Fresno State's Mandal and Boise State's Madsen perform under pressure. The matchup between the Bulldogs' defense and the Broncos' rushing attack could also be a key factor, as both teams have shown the ability to score efficiently. Overall, this clash between Fresno State and Boise State is set to be a pivotal moment in their respective seasons.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BOIS -8.5 | 48.5 o -110 / u -110 | Boise State Broncos -310 · Fresno State Bulldogs +250 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsJayden Mandal19/33, 218 YDS, 2 TDFresno State Bulldogs
- Rushing yardsBryson Donelson4 CAR, 31 YDSFresno State Bulldogs
- Receiving yardsEzekiel Avit6 REC, 96 YDS, 2 TDFresno State Bulldogs
- Passing yardsMaddux Madsen23/34, 238 YDS, 2 TDBoise State Broncos
- Rushing yardsDylan Riley19 CAR, 150 YDS, 1 TDBoise State Broncos
- Receiving yardsDylan Riley4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TDBoise State Broncos
Recent form
Fresno State Bulldogs
Last 10: 7-3Streak W425.1 scored · 15.7 allowed per game3-2 at home
- W26-6at Washington State CougarsOct 4
- W38-24vs Rice OwlsSep 27
- W26-10at San José State SpartansSep 20
- W49-3vs Sacramento State HornetsSep 13
- L0-39at USC TrojansSep 5
- W41-14at San José State SpartansNov 30
- L17-28vs Utah State AggiesNov 23
- W24-3vs Wyoming CowboysNov 16
- W30-7at Boise State BroncosNov 1
- L0-23vs San Diego State AztecsOct 25
Boise State Broncos
Last 10: 7-3Streak W429.8 scored · 21.6 allowed per game2-2 away
- W37-18vs Utah State AggiesOct 3
- W32-7at Western Michigan BroncosSep 26
- W38-24vs South Dakota CoyotesSep 20
- W38-20vs Memphis TigersSep 12
- L27-34at Oregon DucksSep 5
- W38-21vs UNLV RebelsDec 6
- W25-24at Utah State AggiesNov 28
- W49-21vs Colorado State RamsNov 23
- L7-17at San Diego State AztecsNov 16
- L7-30vs Fresno State BulldogsNov 1
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 5-1 | 2-0 |
| Oregon State | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| Fresno State | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| San Diego State | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Utah State | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Colorado State | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Texas State | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Washington State | 1-5 | 0-2 |
Box score
| Stat | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 29 | 21 |
| Third downs | 5-13 | 3-6 |
| Fourth downs | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Total yards | 512 | 346 |
| Net passing yards | 238 | 277 |
| Completions | 23/34 | 20/35 |
| Yards per pass | 7.0 | 7.9 |
| Rushing yards | 274 | 69 |
| Rushing attempts | 45 | 16 |
| Yards per rush | 6.1 | 4.3 |
| Penalties | 9-83 | 2-16 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 38:56 | 21:04 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Fresno State Bulldogs, below favours Boise State Broncos.
Venue
- Valley Children's StadiumFresno, CA
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