Oregon Ducks Edge Boise State Broncos in Thrilling Contest
Saturday, September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM ET · Autzen Stadium
Oregon Ducks 34, Boise State Broncos 27, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks?
Oregon Ducks beat Boise State Broncos 34-27 at Autzen Stadium on September 5, 2026.
Who was favored in Boise State Broncos vs Oregon Ducks?
Oregon Ducks were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -2800 (about 97% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling matchup at Autzen Stadium, the Oregon Ducks secured a hard-fought 34-27 victory over the Boise State Broncos. This game showcased the competitive spirit of both teams, with Oregon improving its record to 2-0 while Boise State fell to 0-2 on the season.
The Ducks entered the game with a strong recent form, boasting a 9-1 record over their last ten games, including a six-game winning streak. They averaged 33.0 points per game while allowing only 16.2 points, demonstrating a solid balance between offense and defense. Their last five games reflected a similar trend, with an average of 29.8 points scored and just 15.4 points allowed. In contrast, the Broncos had a 7-3 record in their last ten, with an average of 30.1 points scored and 21.4 points allowed. However, they were on a three-game winning streak leading into this game, indicating a resurgence in form despite their overall record.
At home, the Ducks had a record of 4-1, while the Broncos struggled with a 2-2 record in away games. This home advantage played a crucial role in the outcome of the match, as the Autzen Stadium crowd provided a significant boost to the Ducks.
In terms of previous meetings, this matchup was highly anticipated, but the block does not provide specific details on past encounters between the two teams. However, the current season's context added to the intrigue, with both teams looking to establish their identities early in the season.
Injuries were not detailed in the block, which leaves the impact of player availability unclear. However, both teams would have been keen to field their strongest lineups for this significant early-season contest.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Ducks favored by 24.5 points, with a total set at 53.5. The moneyline reflected Oregon's dominance, priced at -2800, while Boise State was listed at +1300, suggesting a strong belief in the Ducks' ability to win.
The conditions at Autzen Stadium were likely favorable for both teams, contributing to an exciting atmosphere for the players and fans alike. Viewers were treated to a display of skill and determination, with both teams fighting hard for every yard.
As the game unfolded, it was clear that the Ducks' offensive prowess and defensive resilience were key factors in their victory. The final score of 34-27 not only highlights the competitiveness of the matchup but also sets the stage for both teams as they move forward in the season.
What we said beforehand
The Oregon Ducks will open their season against the Boise State Broncos at Autzen Stadium on September 5, 2026. Both teams are entering the matchup with a record of 0-0, making this an intriguing season opener for fans and analysts alike. The Ducks have a strong recent track record, winning six consecutive games, while the Broncos are looking to build on their three-game winning streak.
In their last five games, the Oregon Ducks have achieved a record of 4-1, with their only loss coming against the Indiana Hoosiers, where they fell 56-22. Notably, the Ducks have averaged 33.0 points scored per game and allowed only 16.2 points. Their most recent victory was a solid 42-27 win against the USC Trojans on November 22, 2025. They also secured wins against the Washington Huskies (26-14), James Madison Dukes (51-34), and Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-0), showcasing their offensive prowess and defensive strength.
On the other hand, the Boise State Broncos have a record of 3-2 in their last five games, with their most recent win being a 38-21 victory against the UNLV Rebels on December 6, 2025. They have averaged 30.1 points scored and allowed 21.4 points over their last ten games. The Broncos’ other recent victories include a close 25-24 win against the Utah State Aggies and a more decisive 49-21 win against the Colorado State Rams. However, they also suffered losses to the San Diego State Aztecs (17-7) and the Washington Huskies (38-10), indicating some inconsistency in their performance.
When it comes to home and away records, the Ducks have been particularly strong at home, boasting a 4-1 record, while they are undefeated in their last five away games with a record of 5-0. The Broncos, meanwhile, have a home record of 5-1 and an away record of 2-2, suggesting they may be more comfortable playing in familiar surroundings.
The historical context of previous meetings between these two teams is not provided in the block, but it adds an element of intrigue as fans look forward to seeing how they match up this time around.
In terms of injuries, the block does not provide specific details on player availability, which could impact the strategies employed by both teams. Keeping an eye on any late-breaking news regarding injuries will be crucial as the game approaches.
The betting market has set the odds with DraftKings, placing the Ducks as 24.5-point favorites. The total points line is set at 52.5, with over odds at -112.0 and under odds at -108.0. The money line reflects a significant favorite status for the Ducks at -2400.0, while the Broncos are positioned at +1200.0.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 63°F and a 47% chance of precipitation. Wind gusts are anticipated to reach 7 mph, which could play a role in the passing game and overall gameplay.
As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the Ducks' offensive strategy, particularly how they leverage their scoring average of 33.0 points per game against the Broncos' defense, which has allowed an average of 21.4 points. Additionally, the effectiveness of the Broncos' offense, which has shown the ability to score 30.1 points per game, will be critical in determining the outcome of this matchup. Overall, this season opener promises to be an exciting clash between two teams eager to make a strong start.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ORE -24.5 | 53.5 o -105 / u -115 | Boise State Broncos +1300 · Oregon Ducks -2800 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsDante Moore28/37, 378 YDS, 3 TDOregon Ducks
- Rushing yardsJordon Davison12 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TDOregon Ducks
- Receiving yardsJeremiah McClellan6 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TDOregon Ducks
- Passing yardsMaddux Madsen15/29, 181 YDS, 3 TDBoise State Broncos
- Rushing yardsDylan Riley17 CAR, 50 YDSBoise State Broncos
- Receiving yardsRasean Jones4 REC, 76 YDSBoise State Broncos
Recent form
Oregon Ducks
Last 10: 9-1Streak W633 scored · 16.2 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W26-14at Washington HuskiesNov 29
- W42-27vs USC TrojansNov 22
- W42-13vs Minnesota Golden GophersNov 15
- W18-16at Iowa HawkeyesNov 8
- W21-7vs Wisconsin BadgersOct 25
- W56-10at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsOct 18
- L20-30vs Indiana HoosiersOct 11
- W30-24at Penn State Nittany LionsSep 27
- W41-7vs Oregon State BeaversSep 20
- W34-14at Northwestern WildcatsSep 13
Boise State Broncos
Last 10: 7-3Streak W330.1 scored · 21.4 allowed per game2-2 away
- W38-21vs UNLV RebelsDec 6
- W25-24at Utah State AggiesNov 28
- W49-21vs Colorado State RamsNov 23
- L7-17at San Diego State AztecsNov 16
- L7-30vs Fresno State BulldogsNov 1
- W24-3at Nevada Wolf PackOct 25
- W56-31vs UNLV RebelsOct 18
- W41-25vs New Mexico LobosOct 12
- L7-28at Notre Dame Fighting IrishOct 4
- W47-14vs App State MountaineersSep 27
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| San Diego State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Utah State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Washington State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Boise State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Fresno State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Oregon State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Texas State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| USC | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Illinois | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Indiana | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Iowa | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Michigan State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Minnesota | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Nebraska | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Ohio State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Oregon | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Penn State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Purdue | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Maryland | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michigan | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Northwestern | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UCLA | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Washington | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wisconsin | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rutgers | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Boise State Broncos | Oregon Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 18 | 18 |
| Third downs | 4-15 | 4-12 |
| Fourth downs | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Total yards | 274 | 497 |
| Net passing yards | 181 | 378 |
| Completions | 15/29 | 28/38 |
| Yards per pass | 6.2 | 9.9 |
| Rushing yards | 93 | 119 |
| Rushing attempts | 36 | 25 |
| Yards per rush | 2.6 | 4.8 |
| Penalties | 3-25 | 10-90 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 30:54 | 25:06 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Oregon Ducks, below favours Boise State Broncos.
Venue
- Autzen StadiumEugene, OR
Elsewhere
- Vols' Faizon Brandon explains what he was most proud in debut
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Texas Longhorns: Full Highlights
- Singleton throws for 3 TDs in 1st half as App State opens season by beating FCS-program Maine 55-3
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs: Full Highlights
- Freshman QB Brandon accounts for 5 TDs to lead No. 20 Tennessee over Furman 56-9
- Gilman accounts for 4 touchdowns to break and tie Montana records in 45-10 victory over Drake
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football