ENSign in
MLB · Final

Reds Edge Guardians in Thrilling Finish at Progressive Field

Friday, May 15, 2026, 7:10 PM ET · Progressive Field

Cincinnati Reds 7, Cleveland Guardians 6, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

Next free pick (not the main pick)

The next free pick, for your email

Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.

Unlock today's pick in Telegram →

or by email

Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick

One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.

Get the daily free pick · See plans

Quick answers

Who won Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians?

Cincinnati Reds beat Cleveland Guardians 7-6 at Progressive Field on May 15, 2026.

Who was favored in Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians?

Cleveland Guardians were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -142 (about 59% implied). The underdog won.

In a dramatic contest at Progressive Field, the Cincinnati Reds triumphed over the Cleveland Guardians with a final score of 7-6, marking a significant victory in the ongoing series. This game was particularly noteworthy as it allowed the Reds to claim the series 2-1 against the Guardians, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.

Both teams entered the game with similar records, the Guardians at 24-22 and the Reds at 24-21. The Guardians had been performing well at home, boasting a record of 4-2 in their last six home games, while the Reds struggled on the road with an away record of 0-4 in their last four games. The Guardians had a recent record of 6-4 over their last ten games, with an average of 4.1 runs scored and 3.4 runs allowed. In contrast, the Reds had a record of 3-7 in their last ten, averaging 4.9 runs scored but allowing 5.3 runs per game.

The game unfolded with both teams showcasing their offensive capabilities, but it was the Reds who took the lead in the eighth inning. Spencer Steer started the scoring for Cincinnati with a single that brought home Bleday. Following this, McLain hit a two-run homer, extending the Reds' lead to 6-1. The Guardians, however, fought back in their half of the eighth inning, scoring four runs and narrowing the gap to 6-5. The momentum shifted again in the ninth inning when the Reds added an insurance run, making it 7-5. The Guardians managed to score one more run before the game concluded, but it wasn't enough to secure a win.

In terms of injuries, the Guardians were missing several key players, including Slade Cecconi (15-Day IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day IL, calf). The Reds also faced challenges with Graham Ashcraft on the 60-Day IL due to an elbow issue, while Eugenio Suarez was listed as day-to-day for personal reasons. Additionally, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia were all on the 10-Day IL with various injuries.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Guardians favored at -142 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 7.5 runs. The odds for the over were -111.0, while the under was priced at -108.0. This indicates that the Guardians were expected to perform well at home, but the Reds' victory defied those expectations.

The game conditions were conducive to scoring, with both teams capitalizing on opportunities. Fans watching the game were treated to a showcase of hitting prowess, particularly in the late innings, where the intensity ramped up significantly. The Reds' ability to maintain composure during high-pressure situations was evident, especially in their eighth-inning surge.

This matchup not only highlighted the competitive nature of the MLB but also set the stage for future encounters between these two teams. With the Reds now having won the series, they will look to build on this momentum, while the Guardians will need to regroup and address their injury concerns as they move forward in the season.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsCLE -142 7.5 o -111 / u -108 Cincinnati Reds +118 · Cleveland Guardians -142

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
  • Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
  • Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
  • Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds

Recent form

Cleveland Guardians

Last 10: 6-4Streak W34.1 scored · 3.4 allowed per game4-2 at home

  • W4-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 13
  • W3-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 12
  • W7-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 11
  • L4-5vs Minnesota TwinsMay 10
  • L1-2vs Minnesota TwinsMay 9
  • W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsMay 8
  • W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 7
  • W3-1at Kansas City RoyalsMay 6
  • L3-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 5
  • L2-6at Kansas City RoyalsMay 4

Cincinnati Reds

Last 10: 3-7Streak W14.9 scored · 5.3 allowed per game0-4 away

  • W15-1vs Washington NationalsMay 14
  • L7-8vs Washington NationalsMay 13
  • L4-10vs Washington NationalsMay 12
  • W5-0vs Houston AstrosMay 10
  • W3-1vs Houston AstrosMay 9
  • L0-10vs Houston AstrosMay 8
  • L3-8at Chicago CubsMay 7
  • L6-7at Chicago CubsMay 6
  • L2-3at Chicago CubsMay 5
  • L4-5at Chicago CubsMay 4

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Milwaukee-53W2.62187
Chicago962L2.55778
St. Louis1770W2.50070
Pittsburgh1972L1.48668
Cincinnati2073W2.47967
Chicago-66L1.52573
Cleveland369L1.50470
Minnesota6.573L1.47967
Detroit975W1.46064
Kansas City11.578L3.44362

How the scoring went

  1. 2nd Inning1-0McLain walked, Bleday scored, Lowe to second, Steer to third.
  2. 2nd Inning2-0Stephenson hit sacrifice fly to right, Steer scored, Lowe to third.
  3. 5th Inning3-0De La Cruz doubled to right, Hayes scored.
  4. 6th Inning3-1Hoskins homered to left (382 feet).
  5. 8th Inning4-1Steer singled to left, Bleday scored.
  6. 8th Inning6-1McLain homered to left center (377 feet), Steer scored.
  7. 8th Inning6-2Bazzana singled to right, Hoskins scored, Martínez to second, Manzardo to third.
  8. 8th Inning6-3Rocchio walked, Manzardo scored, Bazzana to second, Martínez to third.
  9. 8th Inning6-4Kwan walked, Martínez scored, Rocchio to second, Bazzana to third.
  10. 8th Inning6-5Ramírez hit sacrifice fly to center, Bazzana scored.
  11. 9th Inning7-5Bleday grounded into fielder's choice to second, Myers scored, Stewart out at second.
  12. 9th Inning7-6Martínez grounded out to first, Manzardo scored.

Win probability

Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Cincinnati Reds.

Venue

  • Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
  • Attendance27903
  • OfficialsJames Hoye, Tyler Jones, David Rackley, John Libka

Elsewhere

Picks for MLB

MLB rules and settlement

These two, other days

Every meeting

Most days: one sealed pick, free, before kick-off. Your first day of the main pick is free any day: code FIRSTDAY, no card.

A short email on days we have a pick. One click to stop, any time. 21+.

Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.