Guardians Edge Reds in Close Contest
Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 1:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Cleveland Guardians 6, Cincinnati Reds 5, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds?
Cleveland Guardians beat Cincinnati Reds 6-5 at Great American Ball Park on July 28, 2026.
Who was favored in Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds?
Cincinnati Reds were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -164 (about 62% implied). The underdog won.
In a thrilling finish at Great American Ball Park, the Cleveland Guardians narrowly defeated the Cincinnati Reds with a final score of 6-5. This victory allowed the Guardians to clinch the series 2-1 against the Reds. The match showcased a dramatic back-and-forth battle, particularly highlighted by a four-run first inning from the Guardians, which set the tone for the game.
The Guardians took an early lead when Manzardo homered to right, bringing in Ramírez, DeLauter, and Bazzana for a total of four runs in the first inning. The Reds responded in the third inning with a home run from Stewart, cutting the deficit to 4-1. The momentum shifted further in the fourth inning, as the Reds scored two more runs with a double from Stephenson followed by a single from Arroyo, bringing the score to 4-3. The Reds then took a brief lead in the same inning when Stewart's single allowed Arroyo and De La Cruz to score, making it 5-4.
However, the Guardians were not to be outdone. In the fifth inning, DeLauter hit a sacrifice fly that allowed Ramírez to score, tying the game at 5-5. The decisive moment came in the eighth inning when Rocchio executed a sacrifice bunt that allowed DeLauter to score, giving the Guardians a 6-5 lead that they would not relinquish.
In terms of recent form, the Reds had a record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games, averaging 4.0 runs scored and allowing 3.6 runs. However, they were unable to capitalize on their home advantage, finishing the series with a home record of 1-2. The Guardians, on the other hand, struggled in their last ten games with a record of 2-7-1, averaging just 3.0 runs scored while allowing 4.8 runs. Their away record was particularly poor, at 0-3, indicating a tough stretch on the road leading into this matchup.
In terms of injuries, the Reds were missing several key players, including Graham Ashcraft, who is on the 60-Day Injured List due to an elbow issue, and Eugenio Suarez, who was listed as day-to-day for personal reasons. Other Reds on the injured list included Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia, all of whom were sidelined for various injuries. The Guardians also faced injury challenges, with Slade Cecconi on the 15-Day Injured List due to an arm issue, Rhys Hoskins on the 10-Day Injured List with a back problem, and Shawn Armstrong on the 60-Day Injured List due to a calf injury.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Reds as the favorites at -164, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 9.0. The odds for the over were -108 and for the under were -112. The Guardians were listed at +136 on the money line, reflecting their underdog status going into the game.
The conditions at Great American Ball Park were conducive to a competitive game, with both teams showcasing their offensive capabilities. Viewers were treated to a display of resilience from the Guardians, who managed to overcome an early deficit and capitalize on the Reds' inability to maintain their lead. The game exemplified the unpredictable nature of baseball, where momentum can shift dramatically within the span of a few innings.
Overall, this matchup served as a reminder of the competitiveness of the MLB, with the Guardians showcasing their ability to fight back and secure a crucial win, while the Reds will look to regroup and address their recent struggles as they move forward in the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | CIN -164 | 9 o -108 / u -112 | Cleveland Guardians +136 · Cincinnati Reds -164 |
Injury report
- Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
- Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
- Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
- Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
- Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
- Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
Recent form
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 6-3-1Streak D14 scored · 3.6 allowed per game1-2 at home
- D0-0vs Cleveland GuardiansJul 27
- W5-3at St. Louis CardinalsJul 26
- W4-2at St. Louis CardinalsJul 25
- W4-2at Seattle MarinersJul 22
- L0-8at Seattle MarinersJul 21
- W9-6at Colorado RockiesJul 19
- W7-2at Colorado RockiesJul 18
- L4-8vs Chicago CubsJul 12
- L3-5vs Chicago CubsJul 11
- W4-0vs Chicago CubsJul 10
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 2-7-1Streak D13 scored · 4.8 allowed per game0-3 away
- D0-0at Cincinnati RedsJul 27
- L0-1at Tampa Bay RaysJul 26
- L0-3at Tampa Bay RaysJul 25
- L3-11at Tampa Bay RaysJul 24
- L1-3vs Minnesota TwinsJul 23
- L6-10vs Minnesota TwinsJul 22
- W5-2vs Minnesota TwinsJul 21
- W13-4vs Minnesota TwinsJul 20
- L1-7vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 19
- L1-7vs Pittsburgh PiratesJul 18
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
| Milwaukee | - | 53 | W2 | .621 | 87 |
| Chicago | 9 | 62 | L2 | .557 | 78 |
| St. Louis | 17 | 70 | W2 | .500 | 70 |
| Pittsburgh | 19 | 72 | L1 | .486 | 68 |
| Cincinnati | 20 | 73 | W2 | .479 | 67 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning4-0Manzardo homered to right (369 feet), Ramírez scored, DeLauter scored and Bazzana scored.
- 3rd Inning4-1Stewart homered to center (416 feet).
- 4th Inning4-2Stephenson doubled to left, Lowe scored.
- 4th Inning4-3Arroyo singled to center, Stephenson scored.
- 4th Inning4-5Stewart singled to left, Arroyo scored and De La Cruz scored.
- 5th Inning5-5DeLauter hit sacrifice fly to left, Ramírez scored.
- 8th Inning6-5Rocchio hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, DeLauter scored, Bazzana to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours Cincinnati Reds, below favours Cleveland Guardians.
Venue
- Great American Ball ParkCincinnati, Ohio
- Attendance16866
- OfficialsAlfonso Marquez, Steven Jaschinski, Lance Barrett, Malachi Moore
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Cincinnati Reds 6-1Jul 29, 2026
- Reds Shut Out Guardians in 2-0 VictoryJul 28, 2026
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Game PostponedJul 27, 2026
- Guardians Defeat Reds 10-3 in Series FinaleMay 17, 2026
- Guardians Secure Series Win Over Reds 7-4May 16, 2026