Guardians Secure Series Win Over Reds 7-4
Saturday, May 16, 2026, 6:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Cleveland Guardians 7, Cincinnati Reds 4, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians beat Cincinnati Reds 7-4 at Progressive Field on May 16, 2026.
Who was favored in Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -151 (about 60% implied). The favorite won.
The Cleveland Guardians triumphed over the Cincinnati Reds with a final score of 7-4 at Progressive Field, clinching the series 2-1. This victory is notable as it showcases the Guardians' ability to bounce back after their previous loss to the Reds just a day prior, where they fell 6-7. The Guardians' home record now stands at 25-22, while the Reds hold a record of 24-22 on the road.
In terms of recent form, the Guardians have shown a mixed performance over their last ten games, posting a record of 6-4 but currently on a one-game losing streak. They have averaged 4.5 runs scored and allowed 3.5 runs per game during this stretch. In their last five games, they have a record of 3-2, with an average of 4.8 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed. Conversely, the Reds have struggled a bit more, with a record of 4-6 in their last ten games, but they are on a two-game winning streak. Their scoring averages in this period are 5.2 runs scored and 5.4 runs allowed. In their last five games, the Reds have also recorded a 3-2 record, with a significant average of 7.6 runs scored and 5.0 runs allowed.
When considering home and away performances, the Guardians have a home record of 4-3 in their last ten games, while the Reds have a 1-3 record in their away games during the same span. This highlights the Guardians' advantage when playing at Progressive Field.
Looking at previous meetings, the Guardians had lost six of their last seven encounters against the Reds before this game. The most recent match before this victory was a close contest on May 15, 2026, where the Guardians fell short with a score of 6-7. The Guardians' only win against the Reds in their last seven meetings came on June 11, 2025, when they won decisively 11-2.
Injury-wise, the Guardians are dealing with several key players on the injured list, including Slade Cecconi (15-Day-IL, arm), Rhys Hoskins (10-Day-IL, back), and Shawn Armstrong (60-Day-IL, calf). The Reds are also facing challenges with injuries, having Graham Ashcraft on the 60-Day-IL due to an elbow issue, while Eugenio Suarez is day-to-day for personal reasons. Additionally, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Michael Toglia are all on the 10-Day-IL with various injuries.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Guardians favored at -151 on the money line, with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 8.5. The odds for the over were -108, while the under was at -112. This indicates a competitive matchup, reflecting the close nature of the teams' recent performances.
The game conditions were typical for a late spring evening in Cleveland, with fans treated to an exciting matchup that showcased both teams' strengths and weaknesses. Viewers were able to witness a variety of scoring plays, including a notable home run by Martínez in the seventh inning, which contributed significantly to the Guardians' lead. The scoring plays included a homer by Myers for the Reds and a series of runs driven in by both teams that kept the game competitive until the final innings.
Overall, the Guardians' victory not only secured the series win but also highlighted their resilience as they continue to navigate the season amidst injuries and competition. The Reds, while showing flashes of offensive power, will need to regroup as they head into their next matchups.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | CLE -151 | 8.5 o -108 / u -112 | Cincinnati Reds +125 · Cleveland Guardians -151 |
Injury report
- Slade Cecconi15-Day-ILArmCleveland Guardians
- Rhys Hoskins10-Day-ILBackCleveland Guardians
- Shawn Armstrong60-Day-ILCalfCleveland Guardians
- Graham Ashcraft60-Day-ILElbowCincinnati Reds
- Eugenio SuarezDay-To-DayPersonalCincinnati Reds
- Ke'Bryan Hayes10-Day-ILGroinCincinnati Reds
- Spencer Steer10-Day-ILWristCincinnati Reds
- Michael Toglia10-Day-ILShoulderCincinnati Reds
Recent form
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 6-4Streak L14.5 scored · 3.5 allowed per game4-3 at home
- L6-7vs Cincinnati RedsMay 15
- W4-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 13
- W3-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 12
- W7-2vs Los Angeles AngelsMay 11
- L4-5vs Minnesota TwinsMay 10
- L1-2vs Minnesota TwinsMay 9
- W6-4vs Minnesota TwinsMay 8
- W8-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 7
- W3-1at Kansas City RoyalsMay 6
- L3-5at Kansas City RoyalsMay 5
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 4-6Streak W25.2 scored · 5.4 allowed per game1-3 away
- W7-6at Cleveland GuardiansMay 15
- W15-1vs Washington NationalsMay 14
- L7-8vs Washington NationalsMay 13
- L4-10vs Washington NationalsMay 12
- W5-0vs Houston AstrosMay 10
- W3-1vs Houston AstrosMay 9
- L0-10vs Houston AstrosMay 8
- L3-8at Chicago CubsMay 7
- L6-7at Chicago CubsMay 6
- L2-3at Chicago CubsMay 5
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | - | 53 | W2 | .621 | 87 |
| Chicago | 9 | 62 | L2 | .557 | 78 |
| St. Louis | 17 | 70 | W2 | .500 | 70 |
| Pittsburgh | 19 | 72 | L1 | .486 | 68 |
| Cincinnati | 20 | 73 | W2 | .479 | 67 |
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 2nd Inning0-2Rocchio singled to left, Kwan scored and Martínez scored, Hedges to second.
- 3rd Inning1-2Myers homered to right (354 feet).
- 5th Inning2-2Stewart walked, Dunn scored, De La Cruz to second, Hayes to third.
- 5th Inning4-2Steer doubled to center, Hayes scored and De La Cruz scored, Stewart thrown out at home.
- 6th Inning4-3Kwan scored on Mey wild pitch, Martínez to third on wild pitch by Mey.
- 6th Inning4-3Kwan scored on Mey wild pitch, Martínez to third on wild pitch by Mey.
- 6th Inning4-4Hoskins hit sacrifice fly to left, Martínez scored.
- 7th Inning4-6Martínez homered to right center (395 feet), Manzardo scored.
- 8th Inning4-7Ramírez scored on error, Bazzana safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Phillips, DeLauter to second.
Win probability
Above the line favours Cleveland Guardians, below favours Cincinnati Reds.
Venue
- Progressive FieldCleveland, Ohio
- Attendance33331
- OfficialsTyler Jones, David Rackley, John Libka, James Hoye
Elsewhere
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These two, other days
- Cleveland Guardians Defeat Cincinnati Reds 6-1Jul 29, 2026
- Reds Shut Out Guardians in 2-0 VictoryJul 28, 2026
- Guardians Edge Reds in Close ContestJul 28, 2026
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Game PostponedJul 27, 2026
- Guardians Defeat Reds 10-3 in Series FinaleMay 17, 2026