Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat prediction & odds

The Miami Heat will face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Kaseya Center on November 14, 2026. Both teams enter this matchup with similar records, with Miami at 5-6 and Cleveland at 6-6, making this a crucial game for both sides as they aim to improve their standings early in the season. The Heat have shown resilience recently, winning three of their last five games, while the Cavaliers have also experienced a mixed bag of results, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings.

In their last five games, the Miami Heat have secured victories against the LA Clippers (117-116 OT), Sacramento Kings (114-108), and Utah Jazz (115-109). However, they also suffered defeats against the Los Angeles Lakers (138-117) and Golden State Warriors (120-100). This gives them a scoring average of 112.6 points per game over this stretch, while allowing an average of 118.2 points. In contrast, the Cleveland Cavaliers have won against the Philadelphia 76ers (119-95) and the New York Knicks (115-107), but lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder (124-116), New York Knicks (109-97), and Charlotte Hornets (124-112). Their recent performance has seen them average 111.8 points while allowing the same number of points per game.

They have averaged 116.7 points scored and 118.9 points allowed in their home games. They have scored an average of 116.6 points and allowed 113.7 points in their away games.

In their most recent meeting on March 27, 2026, the Heat lost to the Cavaliers with a score of 128-149, while they won the previous game on March 25, 2026, by a score of 120-103. The last two games played at the Kaseya Center saw the Heat winning 140-138 and losing 116-130.

Injury concerns may play a significant role in this matchup. The Miami Heat have three players listed as day-to-day: Klay Thompson (ankle), Giannis Antetokounmpo (wrist), and Pelle Larsson (illness). The Cavaliers will be without Evan Mobley (toe) and Sam Merrill (elbow), both of whom are out for this game. The absence of key players could impact the strategies and performances of both teams.

The betting market, as reported by DraftKings, has the Heat favored by 2.5 points with a total set at 235.5. The odds for the Heat to win outright are -135, while the Cavaliers are listed at +114.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how Miami's scoring leaders, particularly Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averages 27.7 points and 12.6 rebounds, perform, especially given his injury status. For Cleveland, Donovan Mitchell leads the team with an average of 22.8 points per game, and his performance will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game. With both teams looking to secure a vital win, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest.