NBA · Final

Mavericks Edge Heat in Close Contest

113

109

Monday, October 26, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Dallas Mavericks 113, Miami Heat 109, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat?

Dallas Mavericks beat Miami Heat 113-109 at Kaseya Center on October 26, 2026.

Who was favored in Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -270 (about 73% implied). The underdog won.

In a tightly contested matchup at the Kaseya Center, the Dallas Mavericks defeated the Miami Heat with a final score of 113-109. This victory marked Dallas's second win of the season, bringing their record to 2-2, while Miami fell to 0-4, continuing their struggle early in the season. The Mavericks now lead the season series against the Heat 1-0.

The game was characterized by a series of lead changes and clutch scoring in the fourth quarter. With the score tied at 106, Bam Adebayo made a running dunk to level the game, but the Mavericks quickly responded with a tip shot from Morez Johnson Jr. and a driving layup from Cooper Flagg, which ultimately sealed their victory. The Mavericks' ability to execute in critical moments proved decisive.

Both teams entered the game with differing recent forms. The Heat had lost their last three games, with their last ten games showing a record of 4-6, averaging 121.9 points scored while allowing 124.9 points. Their home record stood at 3-3, while they struggled on the road with a 1-3 record. In contrast, the Mavericks had a record of 3-7 in their last ten games, averaging 117.6 points scored and allowing 123.9 points. Their away record was particularly poor at 1-5, but they managed to secure a crucial win against the Heat.

In terms of injuries, the Mavericks were missing Santi Aldama and Caleb Martin, both ruled out due to knee and thumb injuries, respectively. Additionally, Naji Marshall and Sergio de Larrea were listed as day-to-day with illness and knee issues. The Heat's injury report was not detailed in the block, but the absence of key players for the Mavericks could have impacted their performance.

The betting market reflected the Heat as favorites, with DraftKings setting the spread at -7.5 for Miami, indicating expectations of a Heat victory. The total points for the game were set at 240.5, with odds of -108 for the over and -112 for the under. The moneyline showed Miami at -270 and Dallas at +220, suggesting that Miami was heavily favored to win.

The conditions at the Kaseya Center were typical for a late October evening, contributing to the competitive atmosphere of the game. Fans were treated to a thrilling performance, with both teams showcasing their offensive capabilities, particularly in the fourth quarter.

Viewers should have noted the late-game execution from the Mavericks, particularly the contributions from Cooper Flagg and Giannis Antetokounmpo, who made crucial shots down the stretch. The ability of Dallas to maintain composure in the final moments of the game was a key takeaway, demonstrating their resilience despite the challenges faced in the early part of the season.

What we said beforehand

The Miami Heat will host the Dallas Mavericks at the Kaseya Center on October 26, 2026, in a matchup that marks the beginning of their series this season. Both teams are looking to improve their early-season records, with the Heat currently at 0-3 and the Mavericks at 1-2. This game is significant as it could set the tone for their respective seasons, especially for Miami, who is seeking their first win.

The Heat's recent form has been challenging, as they have lost all three of their games this season. Their last five games include a victory against the Brooklyn Nets (144-128) on October 14, followed by four consecutive losses: 136-115 to the Orlando Magic, 131-106 to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 128-111 to the Detroit Pistons, and 115-110 to the Charlotte Hornets. Over these games, Miami has averaged 121.9 points scored and allowed 124.9 points, indicating a defensive struggle.

In contrast, the Mavericks have managed to secure one win in their last three outings. Their recent results include a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans (101-97), a loss to the Atlanta Hawks (135-111), and a win against the Indiana Pacers (121-105). However, they fell again to the San Antonio Spurs (122-106) in their most recent game. Dallas has averaged 117.6 points scored and allowed 123.9 points in their last ten games, reflecting a similar trend of defensive issues.

When considering home and away performances, the Heat have a home record of 0-3 this season, while the Mavericks have a 1-2 record on the road. Historically, Miami has a home record of 3-3 in their last ten games, while the Mavericks have struggled with a 1-5 away record in the same span.

In terms of previous meetings, the two teams have split their last two encounters this season. Miami won the first matchup 106-102 on November 25, 2025, while Dallas took the second game 118-108 on December 4, 2025. This series history adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming game, as both teams will be eager to gain an edge.

Injury concerns could also play a significant role in the outcome of the game. The Mavericks will be without Caleb Martin (thumb), Naji Marshall (illness), Tarik Biberovic (heel), and Santi Aldama (knee), all of whom are listed as out. Additionally, Cooper Flagg is considered day-to-day with a shoulder injury. The Heat's injury status was not mentioned, suggesting they may have a full roster to choose from.

The market has set the odds for this matchup, with DraftKings listing the Heat as 7.5-point favorites. The total for the game is set at 240.5, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. Miami's moneyline is -285, while Dallas's is +230, indicating a strong expectation for the Heat to secure a win at home.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for the performance of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who leads the Heat in scoring with an average of 28.3 points per game, as well as assists and rebounds. For the Mavericks, Cooper Flagg has been a key player, averaging 23.0 points per game. The matchup will likely hinge on how well each team can execute offensively while addressing their defensive vulnerabilities.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	MIA -7.5	240.5 o -108 / u -112	Dallas Mavericks +220 · Miami Heat -270

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Santi AldamaOutKneeDallas Mavericks
Naji MarshallDay-To-DayIllnessDallas Mavericks
Sergio de LarreaDay-To-DayKneeDallas Mavericks
Caleb MartinOutThumbDallas Mavericks
Tarik BiberovicOutHeelDallas Mavericks

Leaders

PointsGiannis Antetokounmpo29Miami Heat
AssistsGiannis Antetokounmpo11Miami Heat
ReboundsGiannis Antetokounmpo14Miami Heat
PointsCooper Flagg29Dallas Mavericks
AssistsCooper Flagg11Dallas Mavericks
ReboundsP.J. Washington9Dallas Mavericks

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 4-6Streak L3121.9 scored · 124.9 allowed per game3-3 at home

L110-115at Charlotte HornetsOct 24
L111-128vs Detroit PistonsOct 24
L106-131vs Minnesota TimberwolvesOct 21
W143-117vs Atlanta HawksApr 12
W140-117at Washington WizardsApr 10
L114-128at Toronto RaptorsApr 9
L95-121at Toronto RaptorsApr 7
W152-136vs Washington WizardsApr 4
L129-147vs Boston CelticsApr 1
W119-109vs Philadelphia 76ersMar 30

Dallas Mavericks

Last 10: 3-7Streak L1117.6 scored · 123.9 allowed per game1-5 away

L106-122vs San Antonio SpursOct 25
W121-105at Indiana PacersOct 23
L110-128at Houston RocketsOct 22
W149-128vs Chicago BullsApr 13
L120-139at San Antonio SpursApr 11
L107-112at Phoenix SunsApr 9
L103-116at LA ClippersApr 8
W134-128vs Los Angeles LakersApr 5
L127-138vs Orlando MagicApr 4
L99-123at Milwaukee BucksApr 1

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Houston	-	0	W4	1.000	4
Memphis	-	0	W4	1.000	4
Dallas	2	2	W1	.500	2
San Antonio	2.5	2	W1	.333	1
New Orleans	3.5	3	L3	.000	0
Charlotte	-	1	W2	.750	3
Atlanta	1	2	L2	.500	2
Washington	1	2	L1	.500	2
Orlando	1.5	2	W1	.333	1
Miami	3	4	L4	.000	0

Box score

Stat	Dallas Mavericks	Miami Heat
Field goals	43-94	41-92
Field goal %	46	45
Three-pointers	14-46	13-41
Three-point %	30	32
Free throws	13-14	14-25
Free throw %	93	56
Rebounds	51	42
Offensive rebounds	13	10
Defensive rebounds	38	32
Assists	31	26
Steals	11	9
Blocks	10	5
Turnovers	16	14
Team turnovers	1	0
Technical fouls	1	1
Technical fouls, total	1	1
Flagrant fouls	1	0
Points off turnovers	16	15
Fast-break points	11	7
Points in the paint	44	48
Fouls	23	14
Largest lead	8	12
Lead changes	6	6
Time in front	35	58

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter72-79Walter Clayton Jr. makes 25-foot running jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
3rd Quarter74-79P.J. Washington makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
3rd Quarter74-83Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter74-84Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter75-84Max Christie makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter76-84Max Christie makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter76-86Pelle Larsson makes driving layup
3rd Quarter78-86Zaccharie Risacher makes 11-foot floating jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)
3rd Quarter81-86P.J. Washington makes 24-foot three point jumper (Max Christie assists)
3rd Quarter81-87Tim Hardaway Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter83-87Kyrie Irving makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
4th Quarter83-90Dru Smith makes 24-foot three point jumper (Bobby Portis assists)
4th Quarter86-90Max Christie makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kyrie Irving assists)
4th Quarter86-91Tim Hardaway Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter86-93Giannis Antetokounmpo makes tip shot
4th Quarter89-93Zaccharie Risacher makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kyrie Irving assists)
4th Quarter90-93Zaccharie Risacher makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter90-96Pelle Larsson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter92-96Walter Clayton Jr. makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter94-96Walter Clayton Jr. makes driving layup
4th Quarter95-96Walter Clayton Jr. makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter95-98Davion Mitchell makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter95-99Davion Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter97-99Daniel Gafford makes two point shot
4th Quarter99-99Cooper Flagg makes 1-foot two point shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
4th Quarter99-100Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter101-100Walter Clayton Jr. makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
4th Quarter103-100Cooper Flagg makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot
4th Quarter104-100Cooper Flagg makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter104-102Andrew Wiggins makes 1-foot layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter106-102Cooper Flagg makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)
4th Quarter106-103Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter106-104Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter106-106Bam Adebayo makes running dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter108-106Morez Johnson Jr. makes tip shot
4th Quarter108-108Davion Mitchell makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter111-108Cooper Flagg makes 24-foot three pointer (Kyrie Irving assists)
4th Quarter111-110Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter111-112Bam Adebayo makes tip shot
4th Quarter113-112Cooper Flagg makes driving layup