Missouri Tigers Dominate Florida Gators at Home
Saturday, October 3, 2026, 3:50 PM ET · Memorial Stadium
Missouri Tigers 45, Florida Gators 17, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?
Missouri Tigers beat Florida Gators 45-17 at Memorial Stadium on October 3, 2026.
Who was favored in Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?
Florida Gators were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -218 (about 69% implied). The underdog won.
In a commanding performance, the Missouri Tigers triumphed over the Florida Gators with a final score of 45-17 at Memorial Stadium. This victory marks a significant moment for the Tigers, who improved their home record to 4-1 this season. The game showcased Missouri's offensive prowess, particularly in the context of their recent form, where they had averaged 34.8 points in their last five games.
Missouri came into this matchup with a record of 4-1, having recently faced a tough loss against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (24-31) on September 26. Prior to that defeat, they had secured victories against the Troy Trojans (27-17), Kansas Jayhawks (38-21), and Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (54-14). The Tigers' home record stood at 3-1, and they had averaged 27.9 points scored while allowing 21.6 points per game over their last ten outings.
On the other side, the Florida Gators also boasted a 4-1 record, riding a five-game winning streak leading into this contest. They had recently defeated the Ole Miss Rebels (52-28), Auburn Tigers (44-39), Campbell Fighting Camels (52-3), and Florida Atlantic Owls (66-21). However, their away record was less impressive at 1-2, and they had averaged 33.9 points scored while allowing 26.0 points per game over their last ten games.
The odds heading into the game were set by DraftKings, with Florida favored by 5.5 points and a total of 57.5 for the game. The moneyline reflected Florida at -218 and Missouri at +180, indicating a strong belief in Florida's chances prior to kickoff. However, the outcome proved to be a surprise as Missouri not only covered the spread but did so emphatically.
In terms of previous meetings, this game added to the narrative of competitive rivalry, although specific past results were not detailed in the block. The conditions at Memorial Stadium were conducive to a high-energy game, and Missouri capitalized on their home-field advantage.
Injuries were not mentioned in the provided block, suggesting that both teams may have been at full strength, which often plays a crucial role in determining the outcome of such fixtures.
Viewers were treated to a display of offensive firepower from Missouri, who not only scored consistently but also managed to limit Florida's scoring opportunities. The Tigers' ability to execute their game plan effectively was evident, as they dominated both in the air and on the ground. With this victory, Missouri solidified their position as a formidable contender in the league, while Florida will need to regroup after this setback.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Missouri Tigers and the Florida Gators promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as the Gators arrive with an impressive 4-0 record on the season, while the Tigers hold a 3-1 mark. This game will take place at Memorial Stadium on October 3, 2026, at 19:50 UTC.
The Florida Gators are currently riding a five-game winning streak, having scored an average of 50.8 points in their last five games, while allowing just 22.4 points. Their recent victories include a dominant 52-28 win over the Ole Miss Rebels and a narrow 44-39 victory against the Auburn Tigers. In contrast, the Missouri Tigers have won four of their last five games, with an average of 34.8 points scored and 20.0 points allowed. Their most recent game ended in a 31-24 loss to the Mississippi State Bulldogs, which snapped a three-game winning streak.
At home, the Tigers have a record of 3-1 this season, while their overall home performance in the last ten games stands at 6-4, with an average of 27.9 points scored and 21.6 points allowed. The Gators, on the other hand, have a solid away record of 1-2 this season, but their recent form is strong, having won their last five games, with an average of 33.9 points scored and 26.0 points allowed over their last ten.
In terms of individual performances, Missouri's Austin Simmons leads the team in passing with 947 yards and 11 touchdowns. Jamal Roberts has been effective on the ground, accumulating 395 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Cayden Lee is the top receiver for the Tigers with 412 receiving yards and four touchdowns. For Florida, Aaron Philo has thrown for 917 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Jadan Baugh has been a standout in the rushing department, amassing 600 yards and 11 touchdowns. Vernell Brown III leads the Gators in receiving with 271 yards and two touchdowns.
The betting market reflects the Gators' strong start to the season, with DraftKings listing Florida as a 5.5-point favorite. The total for the game is set at 57.5, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring affair. The moneyline odds are +180 for Missouri and -218 for Florida.
Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for the game, with a temperature of 71°F and no precipitation forecasted. Wind gusts could reach up to 12 mph, which may play a minor role in the passing game.
As the two teams prepare to face off, viewers should pay attention to the effectiveness of Missouri's passing attack against Florida's defense, as well as how well the Gators' rushing game can exploit the Tigers' defensive front. The outcome of this matchup could have significant implications for both teams as they progress through the season.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | FLA -5.5 | 57.5 o -112 / u -108 | Florida Gators -218 · Missouri Tigers +180 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsAustin Simmons23/30, 340 YDS, 2 TDMissouri Tigers
- Rushing yardsJamal Roberts24 CAR, 211 YDS, 3 TDMissouri Tigers
- Receiving yardsCayden Lee8 REC, 110 YDSMissouri Tigers
- Passing yardsAaron Philo21/34, 197 YDS, 1 TDFlorida Gators
- Rushing yardsLondon Montgomery1 CAR, 17 YDSFlorida Gators
- Receiving yardsDallas Wilson4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TDFlorida Gators
Recent form
Missouri Tigers
Last 10: 6-4Streak L127.9 scored · 21.6 allowed per game3-1 at home
- L24-31at Mississippi State BulldogsSep 26
- W27-17vs Troy TrojansSep 19
- W38-21at Kansas JayhawksSep 12
- W54-14vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsSep 4
- W31-17at Arkansas RazorbacksNov 29
- L6-17at Oklahoma SoonersNov 22
- W49-27vs Mississippi State BulldogsNov 16
- L17-38vs Texas A&M AggiesNov 8
- L10-17at Vanderbilt CommodoresOct 25
- W23-17at Auburn TigersOct 18
Florida Gators
Last 10: 6-4Streak W533.9 scored · 26 allowed per game1-2 away
- W52-28vs Ole Miss RebelsSep 26
- W44-39at Auburn TigersSep 19
- W52-3vs Campbell Fighting CamelsSep 12
- W66-21vs Florida Atlantic OwlsSep 5
- W40-21vs Florida State SeminolesNov 29
- L11-31vs Tennessee VolunteersNov 23
- L24-34at Ole Miss RebelsNov 16
- L7-38at Kentucky WildcatsNov 9
- L20-24vs Georgia BulldogsNov 1
- W23-21vs Mississippi State BulldogsOct 18
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Georgia | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Texas | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| Florida | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Mississippi State | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Ole Miss | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Missouri | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Tennessee | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Kentucky | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| LSU | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Auburn | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Arkansas | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Oklahoma | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| South Carolina | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Texas A&M | 2-2 | 0-2 |
Box score
| Stat | Florida Gators | Missouri Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 19 | 24 |
| Third downs | 6-16 | 7-13 |
| Fourth downs | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Total yards | 325 | 560 |
| Net passing yards | 283 | 340 |
| Completions | 26/39 | 23/30 |
| Yards per pass | 7.3 | 11.3 |
| Rushing yards | 42 | 220 |
| Rushing attempts | 25 | 36 |
| Yards per rush | 1.7 | 6.1 |
| Penalties | 8-80 | 4-50 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 28:20 | 31:40 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Missouri Tigers, below favours Florida Gators.
Venue
- Memorial StadiumColumbia, MO
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