Miami Hurricanes Edge Florida State in Thrilling OT Clash
Saturday, October 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Hurricanes 43, Florida State Seminoles 35, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
Miami Hurricanes beat Florida State Seminoles 43-35 at Hard Rock Stadium on October 17, 2026.
Who was favored in Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
Miami Hurricanes were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -1600 (about 94% implied). The favorite won.
In a gripping encounter that went into double overtime, the Miami Hurricanes triumphed over the Florida State Seminoles with a final score of 43-35. This matchup was particularly noteworthy as it pitted the undefeated Hurricanes against a Seminoles team struggling with a 3-4 record. The game took place at Hard Rock Stadium, where Miami has maintained a strong home advantage this season.
Miami entered the game with an impressive home record of 6-0 and a recent form that showcased their dominance, having won their last nine games. The Hurricanes averaged an astonishing 41.9 points per game while allowing only 11.6 points, underscoring their effectiveness on both sides of the ball. Their last five games had seen them score an average of 49.6 points while conceding just 9.8, highlighting their offensive prowess and defensive solidity.
In contrast, Florida State had struggled with consistency, holding a record of 3-4 prior to this game. They had lost their last match against the Louisville Cardinals, suffering a heavy defeat with a score of 20-44. Over their last ten games, the Seminoles had a record of 4-6, averaging 26.2 points scored and 25.1 points allowed. Their away record was particularly concerning, standing at 0-5, which illustrated their difficulties when playing on the road.
The previous meeting between these two teams in the 2025 season had seen Miami secure a victory with a score of 28-22, giving them a 1-0 record against Florida State in recent matchups. This history added an extra layer of intrigue to the fixture, as Miami looked to extend their winning streak against their rivals.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details on player availability, but both teams were likely impacted by the usual wear and tear of a long season. The absence of key players can often sway the outcome of tightly contested games such as this.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had Miami as strong favorites with a spread of -20.5 and a moneyline of -1600. Florida State, on the other hand, was listed at +900 on the moneyline, reflecting their underdog status. The total points line was set at 57.5, indicating expectations for a relatively high-scoring affair.
Conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were conducive for football, and the atmosphere was electric as fans filled the stands to witness this rivalry clash. Viewers were treated to a showcase of talent, with both teams displaying their offensive capabilities and resilience.
As the game unfolded, it became clear that Miami's offensive strategy was effective, but Florida State's ability to respond and push the game into overtime showcased their fighting spirit. The thrilling finish, culminating in double overtime, kept fans on the edge of their seats, highlighting the unpredictability and excitement that college football often brings.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Miami Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles is set to take place at Hard Rock Stadium on October 17, 2026, and it promises to be an exciting contest. Miami enters the game with an impressive home record of 5-0 this season and a remarkable overall record of 9-1 in their last ten games, riding a nine-game winning streak. In contrast, Florida State has struggled, holding a 3-3 record overall and a disappointing 0-5 mark in away games.
Miami's recent form has been dominant, with an average of 49.6 points scored in their last five games while allowing just 9.8 points. Their latest victories include a decisive 41-13 win against the Clemson Tigers, a 52-3 thrashing of Central Michigan, and a 77-7 rout of Florida A&M. The Hurricanes' offense is led by quarterback Darian Mensah, who has thrown for 1,438 yards and 15 touchdowns this season. Running back Mark Fletcher Jr. has also been a key contributor, accumulating 307 rushing yards and five touchdowns.
On the other hand, Florida State's recent performances have been inconsistent, with an average of 30.4 points scored and 27.0 points allowed in their last five outings. Their most recent game ended in a 44-20 defeat to the Louisville Cardinals, following a 38-7 victory over Virginia. Quarterback Ashton Daniels has thrown for 1,320 yards this season but has struggled with seven interceptions. Running back Ousmane Kromah has been a bright spot for the Seminoles, rushing for 565 yards and five touchdowns.
Historically, Miami has had the upper hand in their recent meetings, winning the last encounter 28-22 in 2025. The Hurricanes will look to extend their winning streak against their rivals in this matchup. The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, favors Miami significantly, with a spread of -19.5 and a moneyline of -1600 for the Hurricanes, while Florida State is listed at +900.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be warm, with a temperature around 79°F and an 83% chance of precipitation, along with wind gusts reaching 9 mph. These factors could play a role in the game, particularly in terms of the passing game and ball security.
Fans should keep an eye on Miami's explosive offense, which has been averaging 41.9 points per game at home, and how Florida State's defense responds to the challenge. Additionally, the performance of both quarterbacks will be crucial, as Mensah looks to continue his strong play while Daniels aims to limit turnovers and lead his team to victory.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MIA -20.5 | 57.5 o -108 / u -112 | Florida State Seminoles +900 · Miami Hurricanes -1600 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsDarian Mensah23/34, 326 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INTMiami Hurricanes
- Rushing yardsJavian Mallory13 CAR, 108 YDS, 2 TDMiami Hurricanes
- Receiving yardsMalachi Toney11 REC, 154 YDS, 2 TDMiami Hurricanes
- Passing yardsAshton Daniels15/28, 298 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INTFlorida State Seminoles
- Rushing yardsQuintrevion Wisner9 CAR, 63 YDSFlorida State Seminoles
- Receiving yardsDuce Robinson5 REC, 113 YDS, 2 TDFlorida State Seminoles
Recent form
Miami Hurricanes
Last 10: 9-1Streak W941.9 scored · 11.6 allowed per game4-0 at home
- W41-13at Clemson TigersOct 3
- W52-3vs Central Michigan ChippewasSep 26
- W33-20at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsSep 18
- W77-7vs Florida A&M RattlersSep 11
- W45-6at Stanford CardinalSep 5
- W38-7at Pittsburgh PanthersNov 29
- W34-17at Virginia Tech HokiesNov 22
- W41-7vs NC State WolfpackNov 15
- W38-10vs Syracuse OrangeNov 8
- L20-26at SMU MustangsNov 1
Florida State Seminoles
Last 10: 4-6Streak L126.2 scored · 25.1 allowed per game0-5 away
- L20-44at Louisville CardinalsOct 9
- W38-7vs Virginia CavaliersOct 3
- W34-7vs Central Arkansas BearsSep 26
- L36-50at Alabama Crimson TideSep 19
- L24-27vs SMU MustangsSep 7
- W34-17vs New Mexico State AggiesAug 29
- L21-40at Florida GatorsNov 29
- L11-21at NC State WolfpackNov 22
- W34-14vs Virginia Tech HokiesNov 16
- L10-24at Clemson TigersNov 9
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Miami | 6-0 | 4-0 |
| SMU | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Wake Forest | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Clemson | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| North Carolina | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| California | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Louisville | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Virginia Tech | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Virginia | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Duke | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Boston College | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| NC State | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Florida State | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Stanford | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Syracuse | 2-4 | 0-4 |
Box score
| Stat | Florida State Seminoles | Miami Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 19 | 26 |
| Third downs | 5-12 | 8-15 |
| Fourth downs | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Total yards | 443 | 583 |
| Net passing yards | 305 | 326 |
| Completions | 16/30 | 23/34 |
| Yards per pass | 10.2 | 9.6 |
| Rushing yards | 138 | 257 |
| Rushing attempts | 34 | 44 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 5.8 |
| Penalties | 5-35 | 6-68 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 22:40 | 37:20 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Miami Hurricanes, below favours Florida State Seminoles.
Venue
- Hard Rock StadiumMiami Gardens, FL
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