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NBA · Final

Warriors Edge Timberwolves in Close Contest

Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Target Center

Golden State Warriors 119, Minnesota Timberwolves 114, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Golden State Warriors beat Minnesota Timberwolves 119-114 at Target Center on October 28, 2026.

Who was favored in Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Minnesota Timberwolves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -155 (about 61% implied). The underdog won.

The Golden State Warriors secured a narrow victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves, winning 119-114 at Target Center. This matchup was notable as it marked the first meeting of the season between these two teams, with Golden State now leading the series 1-0. The Timberwolves came into the game with a home record of 3-2, while the Warriors held an away record of 2-3.

In the lead-up to the game, the Timberwolves had a mixed recent form, going 6-4 in their last ten games, but they were on a one-game losing streak after falling to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 125-127. They had averaged 121.1 points scored and allowed 115.1 points during that stretch. At home, they had a record of 2-1, with their last five games showing a strong performance of 4-1, averaging 124.0 points scored and 109.2 points allowed.

On the other hand, the Warriors had struggled recently, with a record of 2-8 in their last ten games before this matchup, although they managed to snap a losing streak with a win against the Denver Nuggets, 134-114. Their scoring average during that stretch was 113.7 points, while they allowed 118.1 points per game. They had a home record of 1-4 and an away record of 1-4, with their last five games reflecting a record of 1-4, averaging 115.8 points scored and 119.6 points allowed.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Timberwolves had historically performed well against the Warriors, with a record of 3-1-1 in their last five meetings. Their previous encounters included a win for Minnesota, 108-83, in January 2026, and another victory for Golden State, 127-117, in March 2026.

Injuries played a significant role in this game, as both teams were missing key players. The Timberwolves were without Anthony Edwards (knee) and Donte DiVincenzo (Achilles), while the Warriors were missing Gui Santos (knee), Kristaps Porzingis (illness), Moses Moody (knee), and Jimmy Butler III (knee).

The betting market, provided by DraftKings, had Minnesota favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 227.5. The odds for the Timberwolves' moneyline were -155.0, while the Warriors were at +130.0. The conditions for the game were typical for a late October evening, with both teams looking to establish momentum early in the season.

As the game progressed, the Warriors took control in the fourth quarter, outscoring the Timberwolves and sealing the victory with free throws from Stephen Curry. The scoring plays highlighted the competitive nature of the match, with Ayo Dosunmu making key contributions for the Timberwolves, including a running layup and a three-pointer.

Overall, the game showcased the resilience of the Warriors despite their recent struggles, while the Timberwolves will look to bounce back in their next matchup.

What we said beforehand

The upcoming matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Golden State Warriors promises to be an intriguing contest as both teams navigate early-season challenges. The Timberwolves enter the game with a home record of 3-1, while the Warriors have struggled on the road, posting a record of 1-3. The game will take place at the Target Center on October 29, 2026.

Recent form shows the Timberwolves have had a mixed bag of results in their last five games, winning three and losing two. They suffered a close loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers in overtime, with a score of 127-125. Prior to that, they secured victories against the Miami Heat, Orlando Magic, and Toronto Raptors, scoring 131, 115, and 117 points respectively. Their only other loss in this stretch came against the Chicago Bulls, where they fell 133-116. The Timberwolves have averaged 124.0 points in their last five games while allowing 109.2 points.

In contrast, the Warriors have had a rocky start to the season, with a record of 1-4 in their last five games. They achieved their sole victory against the Denver Nuggets, winning 134-114, but lost to the Los Angeles Lakers, Memphis Grizzlies, and Phoenix Suns in their preceding matches. Their scoring has averaged 115.8 points in the last five games, with an average of 119.6 points allowed.

At home, the Timberwolves have a record of 2-1, while the Warriors have struggled with a home record of 1-4. The Timberwolves have shown a strong offensive capability, averaging 121.1 points scored at home. The Warriors, however, have faced challenges on the road, scoring an average of 113.7 points in away games.

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Timberwolves hold a record of 3-1-1 against the Warriors this season. Their last meeting was on March 14, 2026, where the Timberwolves won 127-117. Earlier in the season, they also defeated the Warriors 108-83 at home. The Warriors managed to win one game at home, but the Timberwolves have generally had the upper hand in their recent encounters.

Injuries will play a significant role in this matchup. The Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards, their leading scorer with an average of 33.2 points per game, and Donte DiVincenzo, who is out due to an Achilles injury. The Warriors will also be missing several key players, including Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, and Jimmy Butler III, all out due to various injuries.

The betting lines from DraftKings indicate that the Timberwolves are favored by 4.5 points, with a total set at 227.5. The odds for the Timberwolves to win straight up are -170.0, while the Warriors are listed at +142.0.

As for the conditions, the game is set to take place at the Target Center, where the Timberwolves have shown they can perform well despite their recent overtime loss. Fans can expect a competitive atmosphere as both teams look to establish a rhythm early in the season.

Viewers should watch for how the Timberwolves adapt to the absence of Anthony Edwards, who leads the team in points and is a significant offensive threat. Additionally, the performance of LaMelo Ball, who averages 6.2 assists, will be crucial in facilitating the Timberwolves' offense. For the Warriors, Stephen Curry, their leading scorer with 23.7 points per game, will need to step up in the absence of his teammates to help secure a much-needed victory.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsMIN -3.5 227.5 o -110 / u -110 Golden State Warriors +130 · Minnesota Timberwolves -155

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Anthony EdwardsOutKneeMinnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzoOutAchillesMinnesota Timberwolves
  • Gui SantosOutKneeGolden State Warriors
  • Kristaps PorzingisOutIllnessGolden State Warriors
  • Moses MoodyOutKneeGolden State Warriors
  • Jimmy Butler IIIOutKneeGolden State Warriors

Leaders

  • PointsJonathan Kuminga20Minnesota Timberwolves
  • AssistsLaMelo Ball8Minnesota Timberwolves
  • ReboundsJoan Beringer9Minnesota Timberwolves
  • PointsStephen Curry44Golden State Warriors
  • AssistsStephen Curry6Golden State Warriors
  • ReboundsYaxel Lendeborg9Golden State Warriors

Recent form

Minnesota Timberwolves

Last 10: 6-4Streak L1121.1 scored · 115.1 allowed per game2-1 at home

  • L125-127at Cleveland CavaliersOct 26
  • W117-94vs Toronto RaptorsOct 25
  • W115-93at Orlando MagicOct 23
  • W131-106at Miami HeatOct 21
  • W132-126vs New Orleans PelicansApr 13
  • W136-132at Houston RocketsApr 11
  • L120-132at Orlando MagicApr 8
  • W124-104at Indiana PacersApr 7
  • L108-122vs Charlotte HornetsApr 5
  • L103-115at Philadelphia 76ersApr 3

Golden State Warriors

Last 10: 2-8Streak W1113.7 scored · 118.1 allowed per game1-4 away

  • W134-114at Denver NuggetsOct 27
  • L122-131at Phoenix SunsOct 25
  • L108-111vs Memphis GrizzliesOct 24
  • L105-127at Los Angeles LakersOct 22
  • L110-115at LA ClippersApr 13
  • L118-124at Sacramento KingsApr 11
  • L103-119vs Los Angeles LakersApr 10
  • W110-105vs Sacramento KingsApr 8
  • L116-117vs Houston RocketsApr 6
  • L111-118vs Cleveland CavaliersApr 3

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
LA Lakers-1L1.7503
Golden State1.53W2.4002
Phoenix1.52L1.3331
LA Clippers1.52L2.3331
Sacramento34L4.0000
Oklahoma City-0W41.0004
Portland0.50W31.0003
Minnesota1.52L2.6003
Denver22W1.5002
Utah33L2.2501

Box score

StatGolden State WarriorsMinnesota Timberwolves
Field goals39-8940-90
Field goal %4444
Three-pointers11-3515-45
Three-point %3133
Free throws30-3719-27
Free throw %8170
Rebounds5342
Offensive rebounds137
Defensive rebounds4035
Assists2531
Steals710
Blocks52
Turnovers1715
Team turnovers00
Technical fouls00
Technical fouls, total00
Flagrant fouls00
Points off turnovers1322
Fast-break points1117
Points in the paint5446
Fouls2429
Largest lead245
Lead changes33
Time in front858

How the scoring went

  1. 3rd Quarter91-76Brandon Williams makes 2-foot two point shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
  2. 3rd Quarter91-79Bones Hyland makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Clark assists)
  3. 3rd Quarter91-80Bones Hyland makes free throw 1 of 2
  4. 3rd Quarter91-81Bones Hyland makes free throw 2 of 2
  5. 3rd Quarter92-81Stephen Curry makes free throw 1 of 2
  6. 3rd Quarter93-81Stephen Curry makes free throw 2 of 2
  7. 4th Quarter95-81Gary Payton II makes dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
  8. 4th Quarter96-81Stephen Curry makes free throw 1 of 2
  9. 4th Quarter97-81Stephen Curry makes free throw 2 of 2
  10. 4th Quarter97-84Jaden McDaniels makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
  11. 4th Quarter97-87LaMelo Ball makes 24-foot three pointer
  12. 4th Quarter98-87Stephen Curry makes free throw 1 of 3
  13. 4th Quarter99-87Stephen Curry makes free throw 2 of 3
  14. 4th Quarter100-87Stephen Curry makes free throw 3 of 3
  15. 4th Quarter102-87Brandon Williams makes driving layup
  16. 4th Quarter103-87Brandon Williams makes free throw 1 of 1
  17. 4th Quarter103-89Jaden McDaniels makes running layup (Ayo Dosunmu assists)
  18. 4th Quarter103-91Terrence Shannon Jr. makes running layup (Jaden McDaniels assists)
  19. 4th Quarter105-91Yaxel Lendeborg makes driving layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
  20. 4th Quarter106-91De'Anthony Melton makes free throw 1 of 2
  21. 4th Quarter107-91De'Anthony Melton makes free throw 2 of 2
  22. 4th Quarter107-94Jonathan Kuminga makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ayo Dosunmu assists)
  23. 4th Quarter107-96Trey Lyles makes running layup (LaMelo Ball assists)
  24. 4th Quarter109-96Yaxel Lendeborg makes driving layup
  25. 4th Quarter109-99Ayo Dosunmu makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
  26. 4th Quarter109-101Jaden McDaniels makes 8-foot pullup jump shot
  27. 4th Quarter111-101Georges Niang makes driving layup (Stephen Curry assists)
  28. 4th Quarter111-103Jaden McDaniels makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)
  29. 4th Quarter111-104Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 1 of 1
  30. 4th Quarter113-104Stephen Curry makes 3-foot two point shot
  31. 4th Quarter115-104Yaxel Lendeborg makes 1-foot running dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
  32. 4th Quarter115-106Jonathan Kuminga makes two point shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)
  33. 4th Quarter115-107Jonathan Kuminga makes free throw 1 of 1
  34. 4th Quarter115-109Ayo Dosunmu makes running layup (Terrence Shannon Jr. assists)
  35. 4th Quarter116-109Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 1 of 2
  36. 4th Quarter116-112Ayo Dosunmu makes 24-foot three pointer (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
  37. 4th Quarter117-112Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 2 of 2
  38. 4th Quarter117-114Bones Hyland makes 16-foot jump bank shot
  39. 4th Quarter118-114Stephen Curry makes free throw 1 of 2
  40. 4th Quarter119-114Stephen Curry makes free throw 2 of 2

Win probability

Above the line favours Minnesota Timberwolves, below favours Golden State Warriors.

Venue

  • Target CenterMinneapolis, MN
  • Attendance16588
  • OfficialsCurtis Blair, Andy Nagy, Ashley Moyer-Gleich

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.