Blazers Edge Warriors in Close Contest
Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 10:00 PM ET · Moda Center
Portland Trail Blazers 123, Golden State Warriors 118, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
Portland Trail Blazers beat Golden State Warriors 123-118 at Moda Center on October 7, 2026.
Who was favored in Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
Portland Trail Blazers were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -535 (about 84% implied). The favorite won.
In a thrilling matchup at the Moda Center, the Portland Trail Blazers emerged victorious against the Golden State Warriors with a final score of 123-118. This win marks the Blazers' second consecutive victory, pushing their record to 2-0 in the early NBA season. The Warriors, on the other hand, continue to struggle, now sitting at 1-3 overall.
The Blazers have shown strong form recently, boasting a record of 7-3 over their last ten games. They have averaged 118.3 points scored while allowing just 105.2 points during this stretch. Their home record stands at 6-1, demonstrating their effectiveness on their own court. In contrast, the Warriors have struggled significantly, recording only 2 wins and 8 losses in their last ten games, with an average of 109.9 points scored and 114.3 points allowed. Their away record is particularly concerning, as they have yet to secure a win on the road, currently at 0-4.
The matchup was notable not only for the teams' current standings but also for their recent head-to-head history. The Blazers have won three of their last four meetings against the Warriors, including a close victory earlier this season on December 15, where they triumphed 136-131. This trend continued as they managed to hold off the Warriors in this latest encounter.
In terms of injuries, the Blazers were without Shaedon Sharpe due to a knee issue. The Warriors had several players listed as day-to-day, including Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, and Georges Niang, all of whom were resting. Their absence may have impacted the Warriors' performance as they sought to find a rhythm against a well-prepared Blazers squad.
The market had set the odds with DraftKings, favoring the Blazers significantly at -14.5 on the spread, with a total set at 218.5. The moneyline reflected a strong belief in a Blazers victory, priced at -535 for Portland and +400 for Golden State.
Conditions during the game were typical for early October, with both teams adjusting to the new season's pace. Fans witnessed a competitive atmosphere as both teams battled for control. The fourth quarter saw several key scoring plays that kept the game exciting, including a driving layup by Graham Ike and a crucial three-pointer by Micah Potter, which pushed the Blazers' lead to 118-109.
As the game progressed, the Warriors attempted to mount a comeback, with Will Richard and Yang Hansen contributing to the scoring. However, the Blazers maintained their composure, with Dalen Terry and Chris Youngblood making critical shots to secure the win. The final moments were tense, but the Blazers' strong performance in crunch time ultimately led them to victory.
Overall, this game highlighted the Blazers' offensive capabilities and their ability to perform under pressure, while the Warriors will need to reassess their strategies moving forward to improve their season.
What we said beforehand
The Portland Trail Blazers will face off against the Golden State Warriors at the Moda Center on October 8, 2026. This matchup is particularly intriguing as it marks the beginning of the series between these two teams, which is set to continue through the season. The Trail Blazers come into this game with a home record of 0-0, while the Warriors hold an away record of 1-1.
The Trail Blazers have had a challenging end to their recent season, losing four of their last five games. Their last five results include a loss to the San Antonio Spurs with a score of 114-95, a loss again to the Spurs at 114-93, and two additional losses to the Spurs, 120-108 and 111-98. They managed to secure one win against the Spurs, finishing 106-103. In these games, the Trail Blazers averaged 108.2 points scored per game while allowing 112.6 points.
In contrast, the Golden State Warriors have had a mixed bag of results in their last five games, winning two and losing three. They recently secured a significant victory against the Los Angeles Lakers, winning 124-98, after previously losing to the LA Clippers 104-101 and the Phoenix Suns 111-96. Their other loss came against the LA Clippers on April 13, where the score was 115-110. The Warriors averaged 111.6 points scored in their last five games while allowing 110.4 points.
When it comes to home versus away performance, the Trail Blazers have a strong home record of 7-3 in their last ten games, with an average of 118.3 points scored and 105.2 points allowed. Their last five home games resulted in a record of 3-2, with an average of 117.8 points scored and 112.4 points allowed. Meanwhile, the Warriors have struggled away, with a record of 2-8 in their last ten games, averaging 109.9 points scored and 114.3 points allowed. Their away record in the last five games is 1-4, with an average of 111.2 points scored and 112.0 points allowed.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Trail Blazers have a slight edge, holding a 3-1 record against the Warriors in their last four meetings. The most recent encounter on January 14, 2026, saw the Trail Blazers lose 97-119 to the Warriors. However, they had previously won three consecutive games against the Warriors, including a close 136-131 victory on December 15, 2025.
Injury updates are also crucial as the game approaches. The Trail Blazers will be without Shaedon Sharpe due to a knee injury. On the other hand, the Warriors have several players listed as day-to-day, including Al Horford, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, and Georges Niang, all resting.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the spread at POR -14.5, with a total of 216.5 points. The moneyline for the Trail Blazers is -535.0, while the Warriors sit at 400.0.
As the game approaches, viewers should keep an eye on how the Trail Blazers perform at home, especially with their strong scoring average. Additionally, the Warriors' ability to bounce back from their recent struggles will be critical, particularly if they can field a full roster. The matchup promises to be an exciting start to the series between these two teams.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | POR -14.5 | 218.5 o -112 / u -108 | Golden State Warriors +400 · Portland Trail Blazers -535 |
Injury report
- Shaedon SharpeOutKneePortland Trail Blazers
- Al HorfordDay-To-DayRestGolden State Warriors
- Gui SantosDay-To-DayRestGolden State Warriors
- Brandin PodziemskiDay-To-DayRestGolden State Warriors
- Gary Payton IIDay-To-DayRestGolden State Warriors
- Georges NiangDay-To-DayRestGolden State Warriors
Leaders
- PointsDeni Avdija23Portland Trail Blazers
- AssistsJa Morant5Portland Trail Blazers
- ReboundsDonovan Clingan10Portland Trail Blazers
- PointsMiles Kelly24Golden State Warriors
- AssistsDalen Terry9Golden State Warriors
- ReboundsDalen Terry8Golden State Warriors
Recent form
Portland Trail Blazers
Last 10: 7-3Streak W2118.3 scored · 105.2 allowed per game6-1 at home
- W122-110vs Sacramento KingsApr 13
- W116-97vs LA ClippersApr 11
- L101-112at San Antonio SpursApr 9
- L132-137at Denver NuggetsApr 7
- W118-106vs New Orleans PelicansApr 3
- W114-104at LA ClippersApr 1
- W123-88vs Washington WizardsMar 29
- L93-100vs Dallas MavericksMar 28
- W130-99vs Milwaukee BucksMar 26
- W134-99vs Brooklyn NetsMar 24
Golden State Warriors
Last 10: 2-8Streak W1109.9 scored · 114.3 allowed per game0-4 away
- W124-98vs Los Angeles LakersOct 7
- L101-104at LA ClippersOct 4
- L110-115at LA ClippersApr 13
- L118-124at Sacramento KingsApr 11
- L103-119vs Los Angeles LakersApr 10
- W110-105vs Sacramento KingsApr 8
- L116-117vs Houston RocketsApr 6
- L111-118vs Cleveland CavaliersApr 3
- L113-127vs San Antonio SpursApr 2
- L93-116at Denver NuggetsMar 30
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers | - | 0 | W1 | 1.000 | 1 |
| LA Lakers | 0.5 | 1 | L1 | .500 | 1 |
| Golden State | 1 | 2 | L1 | .333 | 1 |
| Sacramento | 1 | 1 | L1 | .000 | 0 |
| Phoenix | 1.5 | 2 | L2 | .000 | 0 |
| Portland | - | 0 | W1 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Minnesota | 0.5 | 1 | L1 | .500 | 1 |
| Utah | 0.5 | 1 | L1 | .500 | 1 |
| Denver | 0.5 | 1 | W1 | .500 | 1 |
| Oklahoma City | 1.5 | 2 | L2 | .000 | 0 |
Box score
| Stat | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 42-87 | 45-95 |
| Field goal % | 48 | 47 |
| Three-pointers | 19-34 | 17-44 |
| Three-point % | 56 | 39 |
| Free throws | 15-24 | 16-21 |
| Free throw % | 63 | 76 |
| Rebounds | 40 | 50 |
| Offensive rebounds | 12 | 18 |
| Defensive rebounds | 28 | 32 |
| Assists | 26 | 34 |
| Steals | 11 | 13 |
| Blocks | 7 | 9 |
| Turnovers | 19 | 21 |
| Team turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 0 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 22 | 23 |
| Fast-break points | 18 | 25 |
| Points in the paint | 36 | 54 |
| Fouls | 24 | 20 |
| Largest lead | 3 | 12 |
| Lead changes | 10 | 10 |
| Time in front | 7 | 82 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Quarter79-84Dalen Terry makes two point shot
- 3rd Quarter81-84Charles Bassey makes 14-foot floating jump shot (Dalen Terry assists)
- 3rd Quarter84-84Miles Kelly makes 29-foot running pullup jump shot
- 3rd Quarter85-84Will Richard makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter86-84Will Richard makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter86-85Micah Potter makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter86-86Micah Potter makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter88-86LJ Cryer makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Dalen Terry assists)
- 4th Quarter88-88Chris Youngblood makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Yang Hansen assists)
- 4th Quarter89-88Miles Kelly makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter90-88Miles Kelly makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter90-90Jeremy Sochan makes 12-foot pullup jump shot (Yang Hansen assists)
- 4th Quarter91-90LJ Cryer makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter91-92Branden Carlson makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter91-93Yang Hansen makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter91-94Yang Hansen makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter91-97Chris Youngblood makes 26-foot running jump shot (Yang Hansen assists)
- 4th Quarter91-99Branden Carlson makes tip shot
- 4th Quarter93-99Charles Bassey makes tip shot
- 4th Quarter93-102Jeremy Sochan makes 23-foot three point jumper (Vit Krejci assists)
- 4th Quarter94-102Alex Toohey makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter95-102Alex Toohey makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter93-105Jeremy Sochan makes 25-foot three point jumper (Chris Youngblood assists)
- 4th Quarter94-105Dalen Terry makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter94-107Jeremy Sochan makes 7-foot running dunk (Chris Youngblood assists)
- 4th Quarter97-107Miles Kelly makes 23-foot three pointer
- 4th Quarter97-109Yang Hansen makes 3-foot two point shot (Micah Potter assists)
- 4th Quarter100-109Will Richard makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dalen Terry assists)
- 4th Quarter100-111Micah Potter makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot (Yang Hansen assists)
- 4th Quarter100-112Micah Potter makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter104-112Miles Kelly makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot
- 4th Quarter104-115Jayson Kent makes 23-foot three point jumper (John Tonje assists)
- 4th Quarter106-115Graham Ike makes driving layup (Dalen Terry assists)
- 4th Quarter106-118Micah Potter makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jayson Kent assists)
- 4th Quarter109-118Will Richard makes 24-foot three point jumper (Miles Kelly assists)
- 4th Quarter109-120Yang Hansen makes 1-foot two point shot (Chris Youngblood assists)
- 4th Quarter112-120Dalen Terry makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot (Miles Kelly assists)
- 4th Quarter112-123Chris Youngblood makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 4th Quarter115-123Alex Toohey makes 23-foot jump bank shot (Miles Kelly assists)
- 4th Quarter118-123Dalen Terry makes 25-foot running jump shot (Will Richard assists)
Win probability
Above the line favours Portland Trail Blazers, below favours Golden State Warriors.
Venue
- Moda CenterPortland, OR
- OfficialsJosh Tiven, Nate Cearley, Chelisa Painter, Courtney Kirkland, Kevin Cutler, Agon Abazi
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- Trail Blazers Edge Warriors in Close ContestNov 21, 2025
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