Astros Edge Twins in Close Contest at Target Field
Tuesday, May 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET · Target Field
Houston Astros 2, Minnesota Twins 1, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins?
Houston Astros beat Minnesota Twins 2-1 at Target Field on May 19, 2026.
Who was favored in Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins?
Minnesota Twins were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -138 (about 58% implied). The underdog won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Houston Astros defeated the Minnesota Twins 2-1 at Target Field, marking a significant victory for the Astros in the ongoing series. This game was notable as it concluded a three-game series, with the Twins having previously secured victories in the first two games, thus winning the series 2-1 overall.
The Twins entered the game with a record of 22-27, while the Astros were at 20-30. In their last ten games, the Twins showed a stronger form, posting a record of 6-4 with an average of 4.2 runs scored per game and 3.3 runs allowed. They had recently won two games in a row, including a 6-3 victory over the Astros just a day prior. Conversely, the Astros struggled, recording a 4-6 record in their last ten games, averaging only 2.5 runs scored while allowing 3.9 runs. They were on a two-game losing streak, having lost their previous game against the Texas Rangers 0-8.
At home, the Twins had a record of 4-3 in their last seven games, while the Astros had a poor away record of 1-3 in their last four games on the road. The matchup also had a historical context, as the Twins had won two of the last four meetings against the Astros, including their recent victory on May 18, 2026.
In terms of injuries, the Twins were missing key players including Byron Buxton, who is on the 10-Day Injured List due to a hip issue, and Joe Ryan, who is on the 15-Day IL with a lower body injury. Other injured players for the Twins included Austin Martin, Mike Paredes, and Mick Abel. The Astros were also dealing with injuries, including Brice Matthews on the 60-Day IL with a knee injury, Mike Burrows on the 15-Day IL with an elbow issue, and Carlos Correa, who is on the 60-Day IL due to an ankle injury.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, favored the Twins slightly with a moneyline of -138, while the Astros were at +115. The spread was set at -1.5 for the Twins, with a total of 8.5 runs for the game, indicating expectations of a low-scoring affair.
The game conditions were typical for a late spring evening in Minnesota, which can often influence player performance. Fans watching the game were advised to pay attention to the pitching matchups and defensive plays, as both teams had shown vulnerabilities in their recent outings.
The scoring in the game began in the first inning when Paredes homered to left field, scoring Peña and putting the Astros ahead 2-0. The Twins managed to score in the eighth inning when Buxton crossed home plate due to an error by the Astros' second baseman Shewmake, making the score 2-1. However, the Twins could not muster any further runs, sealing their fate in this close contest.
Overall, the game showcased the Astros' ability to capitalize on opportunities while the Twins struggled to convert their chances, highlighting the competitive nature of this series.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MIN -138 | 8.5 o -114 / u -106 | Houston Astros +115 · Minnesota Twins -138 |
Injury report
- Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
- Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
- Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
- Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
- Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins
- Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
- Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
- Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
- Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
Recent form
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 6-4Streak W24.2 scored · 3.3 allowed per game4-3 at home
- W6-3vs Houston AstrosMay 18
- W5-4vs Milwaukee BrewersMay 17
- L1-2vs Milwaukee BrewersMay 16
- L2-3vs Milwaukee BrewersMay 15
- W9-1vs Miami MarlinsMay 14
- L5-9vs Miami MarlinsMay 13
- W3-0vs Miami MarlinsMay 12
- W5-4at Cleveland GuardiansMay 10
- W2-1at Cleveland GuardiansMay 9
- L4-6at Cleveland GuardiansMay 8
Houston Astros
Last 10: 4-6Streak L22.5 scored · 3.9 allowed per game1-3 away
- L3-6at Minnesota TwinsMay 18
- L0-8vs Texas RangersMay 17
- W2-0vs Texas RangersMay 16
- W4-3vs Seattle MarinersMay 14
- L2-10vs Seattle MarinersMay 13
- L1-3vs Seattle MarinersMay 12
- L0-5at Cincinnati RedsMay 10
- L1-3at Cincinnati RedsMay 9
- W10-0at Cincinnati RedsMay 8
- W2-1vs Los Angeles DodgersMay 6
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | - | 69 | W1 | .507 | 71 |
| Texas | 2 | 71 | L1 | .493 | 69 |
| Seattle | 5 | 74 | W2 | .471 | 66 |
| Athletics | 17 | 86 | W1 | .386 | 54 |
| Los Angeles | 18 | 87 | L2 | .379 | 53 |
| Chicago | - | 66 | L1 | .525 | 73 |
| Cleveland | 3 | 69 | L1 | .504 | 70 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | 73 | L1 | .479 | 67 |
| Detroit | 9 | 75 | W1 | .460 | 64 |
| Kansas City | 11.5 | 78 | L3 | .443 | 62 |
How the scoring went
- 1st Inning2-0Paredes homered to left (382 feet), Peña scored.
- 8th Inning2-1Buxton scored on error, Bell safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Shewmake.
Win probability
Above the line favours Minnesota Twins, below favours Houston Astros.
Venue
- Target FieldMinneapolis, Minnesota
- Attendance13557
- OfficialsDoug Eddings, Gabe Morales, Emil Jimenez, Marvin Hudson
Elsewhere
Picks for MLB
MLB rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Twins Defeat Astros 8-3 in Series FinaleJul 1, 2026
- Astros Secure Victory Over Twins in Thrilling FinishJun 30, 2026
- Twins Edge Astros in Close Contest at Daikin ParkJun 29, 2026
- Twins Secure Series Win Against Astros with 4-1 VictoryMay 20, 2026
- Twins Secure Series Win Over Astros with 6-3 VictoryMay 18, 2026