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MLB · Final

Twins Edge Astros in Close Contest at Daikin Park

Monday, June 29, 2026, 8:10 PM ET · Daikin Park

Minnesota Twins 5, Houston Astros 4, final. Our MLB picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros?

Minnesota Twins beat Houston Astros 5-4 at Daikin Park on June 29, 2026.

Who was favored in Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros?

Houston Astros were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -143 (about 59% implied). The underdog won.

In a thrilling matchup at Daikin Park, the Minnesota Twins edged out the Houston Astros with a final score of 5-4, securing the series win 2-1. This game showcased the competitive spirit of both teams, with the Twins capitalizing on timely hitting and a strong offensive display. The Twins' victory was marked by several home runs, including a notable performance from Lewis, who homered in the fourth inning, and Caratini, who followed suit shortly after.

The Astros entered this game with a home record of 42-45 and had been performing well recently, boasting an 8-2 record in their last ten games, with an average of 4.6 runs scored and 3.8 runs allowed. They were on a two-game winning streak leading into this contest, having recently defeated the Detroit Tigers in consecutive games. In contrast, the Twins, with an away record of 41-45, were also in solid form, recording a 6-4 record in their last ten games and averaging 6.5 runs scored while allowing 5.2 runs.

Both teams faced challenges with injuries, impacting their lineups. The Astros were without Brice Matthews, Mike Burrows, Carlos Correa, and Brandon Walter, all of whom were on the injured list. The Twins were missing key players as well, including Byron Buxton and Joe Ryan, which added an extra layer of difficulty for both squads.

The game unfolded with the Twins taking an early lead in the fourth inning, as Lewis and Caratini hit back-to-back home runs, putting them up 2-0. The Astros responded in the fifth inning with a home run from Smith, narrowing the gap to 2-1. The Twins continued to apply pressure, with Bell hitting a two-run homer in the sixth inning, extending their lead to 4-1. In the seventh, Clemens grounded out, allowing another run to score for the Twins, pushing the score to 5-1.

The Astros showed resilience in the ninth inning, with Trammell hitting a home run that brought the score to 5-3 and Smith following up with another homer, closing the gap to 5-4. However, despite their efforts, they were unable to complete the comeback, and the Twins held on for the victory.

In terms of betting, DraftKings had the Astros favored at -143 with a spread of -1.5 and a total set at 9.0. The odds reflected the competitive nature of the matchup, with the Twins listed at +119 on the money line.

Overall, this game was a testament to the intensity of the series, with the Twins managing to secure the win despite the Astros' strong recent form. The outcome showcased the importance of timely hitting and the ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which ultimately determined the result.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsHOU -143 9 o -101 / u -120 Minnesota Twins +119 · Houston Astros -143

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

  • Brice Matthews60-Day-ILKneeHouston Astros
  • Mike Burrows15-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
  • Carlos Correa60-Day-ILAnkleHouston Astros
  • Brandon Walter60-Day-ILElbowHouston Astros
  • Byron Buxton10-Day-ILHipMinnesota Twins
  • Joe Ryan15-Day-ILLower BodyMinnesota Twins
  • Austin Martin10-Day-ILHamstringMinnesota Twins
  • Mike Paredes60-Day-ILObliqueMinnesota Twins
  • Mick Abel60-Day-ILElbowMinnesota Twins

Recent form

Houston Astros

Last 10: 8-2Streak W24.6 scored · 3.8 allowed per game3-0 at home

  • W7-5at Detroit TigersJun 28
  • W8-6at Detroit TigersJun 27
  • L0-8at Detroit TigersJun 26
  • W2-1at Detroit TigersJun 25
  • W3-1at Toronto Blue JaysJun 24
  • W9-7at Toronto Blue JaysJun 23
  • L2-4at Toronto Blue JaysJun 22
  • W2-1vs Cleveland GuardiansJun 21
  • W9-3vs Cleveland GuardiansJun 20
  • W4-2vs Detroit TigersJun 17

Minnesota Twins

Last 10: 6-4Streak W26.5 scored · 5.2 allowed per game4-1 away

  • W3-2vs Colorado RockiesJun 28
  • W9-8vs Colorado RockiesJun 27
  • L3-4vs Los Angeles DodgersJun 24
  • L3-12vs Los Angeles DodgersJun 23
  • L1-2vs Los Angeles DodgersJun 22
  • W16-8at Arizona DiamondbacksJun 21
  • L5-9at Arizona DiamondbacksJun 20
  • W9-3at Texas RangersJun 18
  • W12-2at Texas RangersJun 17
  • W4-2at Texas RangersJun 16

Standings

TeamGames behindLostStreakWin %Won
Chicago-66L1.52573
Cleveland369L1.50470
Minnesota6.573L1.47967
Detroit975W1.46064
Kansas City11.578L3.44362
Houston-69W1.50771
Texas271L1.49369
Seattle574W2.47166
Athletics1786W1.38654
Los Angeles1887L2.37953

How the scoring went

  1. 4th Inning1-0Lewis homered to left (375 feet).
  2. 4th Inning2-0Caratini homered to center (426 feet).
  3. 5th Inning2-1Smith homered to left (408 feet).
  4. 6th Inning4-1Bell homered to right center (413 feet), Lee scored.
  5. 7th Inning5-1Clemens grounded out to shortstop, Keaschall scored, Lee to second.
  6. 9th Inning5-3Trammell homered to right (412 feet), Paredes scored.
  7. 9th Inning5-4Smith homered to left center (429 feet).

Win probability

Above the line favours Houston Astros, below favours Minnesota Twins.

Venue

  • Daikin ParkHouston, Texas
  • Attendance22969
  • OfficialsBrennan Miller, John Tumpane, Chris Conroy, Willie Traynor

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.