NBA · Final

Miami Heat Triumph Over Indiana Pacers 145-125

125

145

Friday, October 30, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Miami Heat 145, Indiana Pacers 125, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat beat Indiana Pacers 145-125 at Kaseya Center on October 30, 2026.

Who was favored in Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -325 (about 76% implied). The favorite won.

The Miami Heat secured a decisive victory against the Indiana Pacers, finishing the game with a score of 145 to 125 at the Kaseya Center. This win improves Miami's record to 3-4, while the Pacers fall to 2-5. The Heat's performance was highlighted by a strong offensive display, scoring an average of 120.9 points over their last ten games, while the Pacers have averaged 112.5 points in the same span.

In terms of recent form, the Heat entered the game with a record of 4-6 over their last ten, riding a one-game winning streak after defeating the Atlanta Hawks 129-117. Their home record stood at 2-3 prior to this matchup. The Pacers, on the other hand, have struggled lately, with a 3-7 record over their last ten games and currently on a two-game losing streak after losing to the Philadelphia 76ers and the Milwaukee Bucks. Their away record was 3-2 before facing Miami.

Historically, the series between these two teams has been competitive, with Miami leading the series 1-0 this season. In their previous meetings this year, Miami won decisively at home, 142-116, but lost both away games, 99-123 and 118-135, indicating a potential advantage when playing on their home court.

Injury issues have impacted the Pacers significantly, with Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Ivica Zubac, and Ben Sheppard all listed as out for the game. This absence of key players likely contributed to their struggles on the court. The Heat, however, did not report any significant injuries, allowing them to field a full-strength squad.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Heat favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 236.5 for the game. The odds reflected the Heat's stronger home performance and the Pacers' ongoing struggles. The over/under was priced at -115 for the over and -105 for the under, indicating a balanced expectation for scoring.

Conditions for the game were standard for a basketball matchup, with no notable weather factors affecting play. Fans were treated to an exciting game, with Miami showcasing their scoring prowess, particularly in the fourth quarter. Key scoring plays included a series of three-pointers and layups that helped extend the Heat's lead.

As the game progressed, Miami's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on the Pacers' defensive lapses was evident. The Heat's final scoring plays included a series of successful shots from both inside and beyond the arc, culminating in a free throw by Ryan Conwell that sealed the victory. The Heat's win probability was recorded at 1.0, indicating a dominant performance throughout the game.

Overall, the Miami Heat's victory against the Indiana Pacers not only highlights their offensive capabilities but also underscores the challenges faced by the Pacers due to injuries and recent form.

What we said beforehand

The Miami Heat will take on the Indiana Pacers at the Kaseya Center on October 31, 2026, in a matchup that promises to be compelling given both teams' recent performances. The Heat enter this game with a record of 1-4, while the Pacers stand at 2-3. The Heat are looking to build on their recent victory against the Atlanta Hawks, where they won 129-117, while the Pacers are coming off a loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, falling 114-109.

In their last five games, the Heat have struggled, recording four losses against one win. Their only victory came against the Hawks, while they lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves (131-106), Detroit Pistons (128-111), Charlotte Hornets (115-110), and Dallas Mavericks (113-109). The Heat's scoring average in these games has been 113.0 points per game, while they have allowed an average of 120.8 points.

On the other hand, the Pacers have also faced challenges recently, winning two of their last five games. They secured victories against the New Orleans Pelicans (123-120) and the Brooklyn Nets (136-109) but lost to the Dallas Mavericks (121-105), Milwaukee Bucks (110-102), and the aforementioned 76ers. Their scoring average during this stretch is 115.0 points per game, with an average of 114.8 points allowed.

The Heat's recent home record stands at 2-3, while the Pacers have a slightly better away record of 3-2. Historically, the Heat have faced the Pacers three times in the current season, winning one game and losing two. Their last encounter was on March 29, 2026, where the Heat lost 135-118. Earlier in the season, they also fell to the Pacers on January 11, 2026, with a score of 123-99, but they did manage to win their first meeting on December 28, 2025, with a dominant score of 142-116.

In terms of injuries, the Pacers will be missing several key players: Obi Toppin (back), T.J. McConnell (hamstring), Johnny Furphy (knee), Ivica Zubac (ankle), and Ben Sheppard (knee) are all listed as out. This could significantly impact the Pacers' performance and depth as they face the Heat.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has the Heat favored by 8.5 points, with a total set at 237.5. The over odds are at -105.0, while the under odds are at -115.0. The moneyline shows the Heat at -325.0 and the Pacers at 260.0.

As the game approaches, viewers should keep an eye on the performances of key players. For the Heat, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads in points with an average of 27.6 and rebounds with 11.2, while Davion Mitchell leads in assists with 7.6. For the Pacers, Pascal Siakam is their points leader at 24.0, and Tyrese Haliburton leads in assists with 9.5. The matchup between these stars could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this contest.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	MIA -8.5	236.5 o -115 / u -105	Indiana Pacers +260 · Miami Heat -325

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Obi ToppinOutBackIndiana Pacers
T.J. McConnellOutHamstringIndiana Pacers
Johnny FurphyOutKneeIndiana Pacers
Ivica ZubacOutAnkleIndiana Pacers
Ben SheppardOutKneeIndiana Pacers

Leaders

PointsGiannis Antetokounmpo31Miami Heat
AssistsDavion Mitchell11Miami Heat
ReboundsGiannis Antetokounmpo17Miami Heat
PointsQuenton Jackson24Indiana Pacers
AssistsAndrew Nembhard9Indiana Pacers
ReboundsJarace Walker6Indiana Pacers

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 4-6Streak W1120.9 scored · 122.3 allowed per game2-3 at home

W129-117at Atlanta HawksOct 28
L109-113vs Dallas MavericksOct 26
L110-115at Charlotte HornetsOct 24
L111-128vs Detroit PistonsOct 24
L106-131vs Minnesota TimberwolvesOct 21
W143-117vs Atlanta HawksApr 12
W140-117at Washington WizardsApr 10
L114-128at Toronto RaptorsApr 9
L95-121at Toronto RaptorsApr 7
W152-136vs Washington WizardsApr 4

Indiana Pacers

Last 10: 3-7Streak L2112.5 scored · 114.7 allowed per game3-2 away

L109-114vs Philadelphia 76ersOct 28
L102-110at Milwaukee BucksOct 27
W136-109at Brooklyn NetsOct 25
L105-121vs Dallas MavericksOct 23
W123-120at New Orleans PelicansOct 22
L121-133vs Detroit PistonsApr 12
L94-105vs Philadelphia 76ersApr 10
W123-94at Brooklyn NetsApr 9
L104-124vs Minnesota TimberwolvesApr 7
L108-117at Cleveland CavaliersApr 5

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Detroit	-	1	W2	.833	5
Cleveland	1.5	2	L1	.600	3
Indiana	3	4	L3	.333	2
Milwaukee	3.5	4	L1	.200	1
Chicago	4	5	L4	.167	1
Atlanta	-	3	W1	.500	3
Washington	-	3	W1	.500	3
Charlotte	-	3	L2	.500	3
Orlando	0.5	3	W1	.400	2
Miami	1	4	W2	.333	2

Box score

Stat	Indiana Pacers	Miami Heat
Field goals	44-91	54-92
Field goal %	48	59
Three-pointers	17-37	18-40
Three-point %	46	45
Free throws	20-27	19-23
Free throw %	74	83
Rebounds	37	47
Offensive rebounds	14	14
Defensive rebounds	23	33
Assists	28	38
Steals	11	8
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers	13	16
Team turnovers	2	0
Technical fouls	0	1
Technical fouls, total	0	1
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	21	26
Fast-break points	18	15
Points in the paint	50	64
Fouls	21	20
Largest lead	8	25
Lead changes	8	8
Time in front	23	75

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter88-103Braden Smith makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter88-105Bobby Portis makes 22-foot jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter90-106Jarace Walker makes tip shot
4th Quarter90-107Pelle Larsson makes 4-foot layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter91-107Kobe Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter91-110Bobby Portis makes 24-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter91-113Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
4th Quarter91-115Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter93-115Andrew Nembhard makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter93-118Davion Mitchell makes 24-foot three pointer (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter95-118Pascal Siakam makes 10-foot driving floating jump shot
4th Quarter96-118Pascal Siakam makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter99-118Aaron Nesmith makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)
4th Quarter99-120Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter99-123Davion Mitchell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter101-123Andrew Nembhard makes driving layup
4th Quarter104-123Kelly Oubre Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Andrew Nembhard assists)
4th Quarter104-125Pelle Larsson makes 4-foot driving dunk (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter105-125Andrew Nembhard makes technical free throw
4th Quarter107-125Pascal Siakam makes driving layup (Jarace Walker assists)
4th Quarter107-128Pelle Larsson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter108-128Pascal Siakam makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter108-130Davion Mitchell makes driving layup
4th Quarter111-130Jarace Walker makes 25-foot three point jumper (Andrew Nembhard assists)
4th Quarter111-132Bam Adebayo makes layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
4th Quarter111-134Bam Adebayo makes layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter112-134Jarace Walker makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter112-136Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter113-136Kobe Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter114-136Kobe Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter114-138Bam Adebayo makes 13-foot pullup jump shot
4th Quarter116-138Quenton Jackson makes running layup (Kobe Brown assists)
4th Quarter118-138Quenton Jackson makes running layup (Jarace Walker assists)
4th Quarter118-141Ryan Conwell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Myron Gardner assists)
4th Quarter121-141Quenton Jackson makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jalen Slawson assists)
4th Quarter123-141Jalen Slawson makes 3-foot two point shot (Braden Smith assists)
4th Quarter124-141Jalen Slawson makes free throw 1 of 3
4th Quarter125-141Jalen Slawson makes free throw 2 of 3
4th Quarter125-144Simone Fontecchio makes 26-foot three point jumper (Nikola Jovic assists)
4th Quarter125-145Ryan Conwell makes free throw 2 of 2