Cincinnati Bearcats Triumph Over Iowa State Cyclones 38-30
Saturday, October 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET · Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati Bearcats 38, Iowa State Cyclones 30, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Iowa State Cyclones vs Cincinnati Bearcats?
Cincinnati Bearcats beat Iowa State Cyclones 38-30 at Nippert Stadium on October 4, 2025.
In a thrilling encounter at Nippert Stadium, the Cincinnati Bearcats secured a hard-fought victory against the Iowa State Cyclones, finishing the game with a score of 38-30. This match was particularly significant as it marked a reversal of fortunes for Cincinnati, who had lost to Iowa State in their previous meeting last season. The Bearcats now hold a record of 5-1, while the Cyclones drop to 5-2.
Cincinnati entered the game with a home record of 4-1 and was riding a three-game winning streak, having averaged 34.2 points over their last five games while allowing just 18.8 points. Their recent form had seen them defeat Kansas Jayhawks, Northwestern State Demons, and Bowling Green Falcons, showcasing a potent offense that had scored an impressive 70 points against Northwestern State. In contrast, Iowa State came into the match with a strong away record of 3-2 and had won their last five games, averaging 31.6 points and allowing only 14.2 points in that stretch. This included victories against teams like Arizona Wildcats and Arkansas State Red Wolves.
The Bearcats' performance at home has been solid, with a home record of 3-3 in their last ten games, while they struggled on the road with a 1-3 record. Iowa State, on the other hand, has been formidable at home, boasting a perfect 5-0 record this season. The two teams had previously met on November 17, 2024, where Iowa State emerged victorious with a score of 34-17, making this game a crucial opportunity for Cincinnati to assert themselves against a familiar foe.
In terms of injuries, the block does not specify any key players missing from either team, allowing both squads to field their strongest lineups. The weather conditions for the game were not detailed, but typically, October in Cincinnati can present variable weather, which may have played a role in the game's dynamics.
The betting market had Cincinnati as the favorite, with a home win probability of 1.0 according to the latest odds. This reflects the confidence in the Bearcats' ability to perform well at home, especially given their recent winning streak.
As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a competitive matchup that showcased the strengths of both teams. Cincinnati's offense was highlighted by their ability to score effectively, while Iowa State fought hard to keep pace. The final score of 38-30 not only signifies a critical win for Cincinnati but also adds another chapter to the rivalry between these two programs.
Leaders
- Passing yardsBrendan Sorsby13/25, 214 YDS, 2 TDCincinnati Bearcats
- Rushing yardsEvan Pryor10 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TDCincinnati Bearcats
- Receiving yardsCaleb Goodie Sr.2 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TDCincinnati Bearcats
- Passing yardsRocco Becht30/48, 314 YDS, 2 TDIowa State Cyclones
- Rushing yardsAbu Sama III18 CAR, 96 YDSIowa State Cyclones
- Receiving yardsBrett Eskildsen8 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TDIowa State Cyclones
Recent form
Cincinnati Bearcats
Last 10: 4-6Streak W327.4 scored · 24.8 allowed per game3-3 at home
- W37-34at Kansas JayhawksSep 27
- W70-0vs Northwestern State DemonsSep 13
- W34-20vs Bowling Green FalconsSep 6
- L17-20vs Nebraska CornhuskersAug 29
- L13-20vs TCU Horned FrogsNov 30
- L15-41at Kansas State WildcatsNov 24
- L17-34at Iowa State CyclonesNov 17
- L24-31vs West Virginia MountaineersNov 9
- L23-34at Colorado BuffaloesOct 27
- W24-14vs Arizona State Sun DevilsOct 19
Iowa State Cyclones
Last 10: 8-2Streak W530.7 scored · 22.7 allowed per game3-2 away
- W39-14vs Arizona WildcatsSep 27
- W24-16at Arkansas State Red WolvesSep 13
- W16-13vs Iowa HawkeyesSep 6
- W55-7vs South Dakota CoyotesAug 30
- W24-21at Kansas State WildcatsAug 23
- L19-45at Arizona State Sun DevilsDec 7
- W29-21vs Kansas State WildcatsDec 1
- W31-28at Utah UtesNov 24
- W34-17vs Cincinnati BearcatsNov 17
- L36-45at Kansas JayhawksNov 9
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Arizona | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| BYU | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Baylor | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cincinnati | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colorado | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Houston | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Iowa State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kansas | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kansas State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oklahoma State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Texas Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| UCF | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Utah | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| West Virginia | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| TCU | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Iowa State Cyclones | Cincinnati Bearcats |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 29 | 20 |
| Third downs | 4-16 | 4-11 |
| Fourth downs | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Total yards | 470 | 474 |
| Net passing yards | 314 | 214 |
| Completions | 30/48 | 13/25 |
| Yards per pass | 6.5 | 8.6 |
| Rushing yards | 156 | 260 |
| Rushing attempts | 37 | 34 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 7.6 |
| Penalties | 8-60 | 13-128 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 34:56 | 25:04 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Cincinnati Bearcats, below favours Iowa State Cyclones.
Venue
- Nippert StadiumCincinnati, OH
- Attendance38007
Elsewhere
- No. 18 Penn State begins the Matt Campbell era when it hosts Marshall in the season opener
- Michigan State and Toledo meet in opener, marking debut of coaches Pat Fitzgerald and Mike Jacobs
- DJ Lagway to make Baylor debut vs Auburn in Week 1 neutral-site showdown in Atlanta
- No. 12 Texas Tech opens against Abilene Christian after winning 1st Big 12 title last season
- Arizona State kicks off coach Kenny Dillingham's fourth season at home against Morgan State
- Florida opens the Jon Sumrall era in the Swamp against Florida Atlantic
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football