SMU Dominates Louisville with 38-6 Victory
Saturday, November 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
SMU Mustangs 38, Louisville Cardinals 6, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs?
SMU Mustangs beat Louisville Cardinals 38-6 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on November 22, 2025.
In a commanding performance, the SMU Mustangs triumphed over the Louisville Cardinals with a final score of 38-6 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. This victory not only showcased SMU's strong home advantage but also marked a continuation of their impressive form as they extended their winning streak to three games.
The Mustangs entered the game with an overall record of 8-3, bolstered by a recent run of success that included a 7-3 record over their last ten games. They averaged 32.2 points scored per game while allowing just 20.4 points, demonstrating a solid offensive and defensive balance. In their last five outings, SMU averaged 30.4 points and allowed only 16.0, reflecting a particularly strong defensive effort.
Louisville, on the other hand, came into the game with a 7-4 record and had struggled in recent weeks, losing their last two games. The Cardinals also posted a 7-3 record over their last ten games but averaged 31.5 points scored and 21.5 allowed. In their last five games, they managed to score an average of 27.0 points while allowing 22.0, indicating some vulnerabilities on defense.
At home, SMU had a record of 4-1, while Louisville's away record stood at 3-0 prior to this game. The Mustangs had previously faced the Cardinals in 2024, where they secured a 34-27 victory, giving them a 1-0 edge in their all-time series against Louisville.
In terms of injuries, the block did not provide specific details regarding player availability for either team, which could have impacted their performance. However, the conditions for the game were not mentioned, leaving the field conditions and weather factors unknown.
The betting market had favored SMU, with a home win probability of 1.0, reflecting strong confidence in their ability to secure the victory. This was evident in their performance, as they dominated the game from start to finish, limiting Louisville to just six points.
Overall, the game highlighted SMU's offensive prowess and defensive strength, making them a formidable opponent as they look to build on this momentum moving forward.
Leaders
- Passing yardsKevin Jennings29/37, 303 YDS, 3 TDSMU Mustangs
- Rushing yardsTJ Harden18 CAR, 90 YDSSMU Mustangs
- Receiving yardsJordan Hudson8 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TDSMU Mustangs
- Passing yardsDeuce Adams12/17, 94 YDSLouisville Cardinals
- Rushing yardsShaun Boykins Jr.8 CAR, 52 YDSLouisville Cardinals
- Receiving yardsChris Bell5 REC, 46 YDSLouisville Cardinals
Recent form
SMU Mustangs
Last 10: 7-3Streak W232.2 scored · 20.4 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W45-13at Boston College EaglesNov 8
- W26-20vs Miami HurricanesNov 1
- L12-13at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsOct 25
- W35-24at Clemson TigersOct 18
- W34-10vs Stanford CardinalOct 11
- W31-18vs Syracuse OrangeOct 4
- L24-35at TCU Horned FrogsSep 20
- W28-10at Missouri State BearsSep 13
- L45-48vs Baylor BearsSep 6
- W42-13vs East Texas A&M LionsAug 31
Louisville Cardinals
Last 10: 7-3Streak L231.5 scored · 21.5 allowed per game3-0 away
- L19-20vs Clemson TigersNov 15
- L26-29vs California Golden BearsNov 9
- W28-16at Virginia Tech HokiesNov 1
- W38-24vs Boston College EaglesOct 25
- W24-21at Miami HurricanesOct 17
- L27-30vs Virginia CavaliersOct 4
- W34-27at Pittsburgh PanthersSep 27
- W40-17vs Bowling Green FalconsSep 20
- W28-14vs James Madison DukesSep 5
- W51-17vs Eastern Kentucky ColonelsAug 30
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Florida State | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| North Carolina | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Stanford | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Boston College | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| California | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Clemson | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Duke | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louisville | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miami | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| SMU | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Syracuse | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wake Forest | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| NC State | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Box score
| Stat | Louisville Cardinals | SMU Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 12 | 28 |
| Third downs | 3-12 | 9-13 |
| Fourth downs | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Total yards | 228 | 485 |
| Net passing yards | 100 | 307 |
| Completions | 14/20 | 30/38 |
| Yards per pass | 5.0 | 8.1 |
| Rushing yards | 128 | 178 |
| Rushing attempts | 29 | 36 |
| Yards per rush | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Penalties | 6-47 | 7-70 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 24:04 | 35:56 |
Win probability
Above the line favours SMU Mustangs, below favours Louisville Cardinals.
Venue
- Gerald J. Ford StadiumDallas, TX
- Attendance32713
Elsewhere
- NCAA clears Cincinnati in Brendan Sorsby sports betting probe
- Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith hoping to leave legacy in final season
- Georgia AG to SEC: 'Take all measures available' if LSU plays pros
- Ex-Alabama NIL content director pleads guilty to solicitation
- Minnesota opens the season at home against FCS foe Eastern Illinois
- Judge upholds eligibility for Missouri's Sterling Webb
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football