Notre Dame Dominates Michigan State 27-10 at Home
Saturday, September 19, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Notre Dame Stadium
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27, Michigan State Spartans 10, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
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Quick answers
Who won Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?
Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Michigan State Spartans 27-10 at Notre Dame Stadium on September 19, 2026.
Who was favored in Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?
Notre Dame Fighting Irish were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -3600 (about 97% implied). The favorite won.
In a decisive matchup, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish secured a 27-10 victory over the Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Stadium. This result reinforces Notre Dame's impressive home record, now standing at 4-0 for the season and extending their overall winning streak to 11 games. The Fighting Irish have shown remarkable form, averaging 42.1 points scored and only 11.3 points allowed in their last ten games, which includes their last five games where they averaged 49.8 points while allowing just 11.0.
On the other side, Michigan State, despite the loss, had shown some recent improvement with a three-game winning streak prior to this encounter, bringing their record to 2-1 for the season. However, their overall form remains concerning, with a 3-7 record in their last ten games. They have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 27.1 points per game during that stretch, while scoring an average of 22.3.
At home, Notre Dame has been nearly unbeatable, boasting a 7-0 record. In contrast, Michigan State has not found success on the road, with an 0-4 away record this season. This disparity in home and away performance was evident in the game, as Notre Dame took control early and maintained pressure throughout.
The odds from DraftKings reflected Notre Dame's dominance, with the Fighting Irish favored by -28.5 points, and a total set at 51.5. The home team’s moneyline was -3600, while Michigan State was listed at +1500, indicating a substantial expectation of a Notre Dame victory.
In terms of player availability, the block did not specify any injuries affecting either team, suggesting that both sides may have been at full strength for this crucial matchup.
Conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were conducive to football, with clear skies and a favorable temperature for both teams to showcase their abilities. Viewers were treated to a display of Notre Dame's offensive prowess, particularly their ability to score efficiently, which has been a hallmark of their recent performances.
Overall, this game highlighted Notre Dame's strong home advantage and their ability to perform under pressure, while Michigan State will need to regroup and address their away struggles moving forward.
What we said beforehand
The upcoming matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Michigan State Spartans promises to be a compelling clash, as both teams enter the game with identical records of 2-0. Notre Dame will host the game at Notre Dame Stadium, where they have been particularly dominant in recent outings. The Fighting Irish have a perfect home record of 7-0 in their last ten games, showcasing an impressive average of 42.1 points scored per game while allowing only 11.3 points on average. In stark contrast, the Spartans have struggled away from home, holding a record of 0-4 in their last four road games, which contributes to an overall away record of 3-7 in their last ten contests.
Notre Dame's recent form has been nothing short of remarkable. They have won their last ten games, with their most recent victory being a commanding 52-0 win against the Rice Owls on September 12, 2026. Other notable performances include a 70-7 thrashing of the Syracuse Orange and a 49-20 win over the Stanford Cardinal. Their scoring prowess has been led by quarterback CJ Carr, who has thrown for 492 yards and six touchdowns this season, while running back Aneyas Williams has contributed significantly with 119 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
On the other hand, Michigan State has had a mixed bag of results recently. Their last five games show a record of 3-2, with their latest victory being a 38-28 win against the Maryland Terrapins. However, they also suffered losses against the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Iowa Hawkeyes. In terms of individual performances, quarterback Alessio Milivojevic has made a strong impact, throwing for 417 yards and three touchdowns this season, while running back Cam Edwards has amassed 250 rushing yards and three touchdowns.
The betting lines for this matchup reflect Notre Dame's strong performance, with DraftKings setting the spread at -28.5 in favor of the Fighting Irish. The total points line is set at 51.5, with odds of -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The moneyline indicates a significant advantage for Notre Dame at -5000, while Michigan State sits at +1800.
Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with a temperature of 70°F and an 85% chance of precipitation. Wind gusts are anticipated to reach up to 9 mph, which could potentially influence the passing game for both teams.
In terms of previous meetings, the historical context between these two teams adds another layer of intrigue, although specific past matchups were not provided in the block. Nonetheless, the current form of both teams and their contrasting home and away performances set the stage for an exciting encounter.
Viewers should watch for Notre Dame's offensive strategy, particularly how they utilize their passing game led by CJ Carr and the ground game with Aneyas Williams. Conversely, Michigan State will need to find ways to counter Notre Dame's high-scoring offense while maximizing their own scoring opportunities, especially through the air with Alessio Milivojevic. The outcome of this game could hinge on how well Michigan State can perform on the road against a formidable Notre Dame team that has shown no signs of slowing down.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ND -28.5 | 51.5 o -105 / u -115 | Michigan State Spartans +1500 · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3600 |
Leaders
- Passing yardsCJ Carr18/24, 234 YDSNotre Dame Fighting Irish
- Rushing yardsNolan James Jr.26 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TDNotre Dame Fighting Irish
- Receiving yardsMicah Gilbert8 REC, 170 YDSNotre Dame Fighting Irish
- Passing yardsAlessio Milivojevic9/17, 123 YDS, 2 INTMichigan State Spartans
- Rushing yardsCam Edwards12 CAR, 38 YDSMichigan State Spartans
- Receiving yardsRodney Bullard Jr.2 REC, 66 YDSMichigan State Spartans
Recent form
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Last 10: 10-0Streak W1042.1 scored · 11.3 allowed per game7-0 at home
- W52-0vs Rice OwlsSep 12
- W41-13vs Wisconsin BadgersSep 6
- W49-20at Stanford CardinalNov 30
- W70-7vs Syracuse OrangeNov 22
- W37-15at Pittsburgh PanthersNov 15
- W49-10vs Navy MidshipmenNov 9
- W25-10at Boston College EaglesNov 1
- W34-24vs USC TrojansOct 18
- W36-7vs NC State WolfpackOct 11
- W28-7vs Boise State BroncosOct 4
Michigan State Spartans
Last 10: 3-7Streak W322.3 scored · 27.1 allowed per game0-4 away
- W35-7vs Eastern Michigan EaglesSep 12
- W30-20vs Toledo RocketsSep 5
- W38-28vs Maryland TerrapinsNov 30
- L17-20at Iowa HawkeyesNov 22
- L10-28vs Penn State Nittany LionsNov 15
- L20-23at Minnesota Golden GophersNov 1
- L20-31vs Michigan WolverinesOct 25
- L13-38at Indiana HoosiersOct 18
- L13-38vs UCLA BruinsOct 11
- L27-38at Nebraska CornhuskersOct 4
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| USC | 4-0 | 1-0 |
| Indiana | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Iowa | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Michigan | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Nebraska | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Penn State | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Washington | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| Maryland | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Northwestern | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| UCLA | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Illinois | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Michigan State | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Minnesota | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Ohio State | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Oregon | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Wisconsin | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Purdue | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rutgers | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Notre Dame | 3-0 | 0-0 |
| UConn | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Michigan State Spartans | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 11 | 20 |
| Third downs | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| Fourth downs | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Total yards | 167 | 395 |
| Net passing yards | 123 | 234 |
| Completions | 9/18 | 18/24 |
| Yards per pass | 6.8 | 9.8 |
| Rushing yards | 44 | 161 |
| Rushing attempts | 27 | 43 |
| Yards per rush | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| Penalties | 2-30 | 3-30 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 0 |
| Time of possession | 22:58 | 37:02 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Notre Dame Fighting Irish, below favours Michigan State Spartans.
Venue
- Notre Dame StadiumNotre Dame, IN
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