Hilltoppers Triumph Over Blue Raiders in NCAAF Clash
Saturday, November 15, 2025, 3:30 PM ET · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 42, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 26, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers beat Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 42-26 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium on November 15, 2025.
In a decisive matchup, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers secured a commanding victory against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, finishing the game with a score of 42-26. This result underscores the stark contrast in the teams' recent performances, with Western Kentucky boasting a home record of 8-2, while Middle Tennessee struggled with a dismal away record of 1-9 this season. The game took place at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, where the Hilltoppers have thrived, having won four of their last five home games.
Western Kentucky entered this contest on a two-game winning streak, having won seven of their last ten matchups. Their recent form has seen them average 28.3 points scored per game, while allowing 25.7 points. In their last five games, they averaged 24.6 points scored and 22.8 points allowed. Their last victory before this game was a solid 35-16 win against the New Mexico State Aggies on November 1, 2025.
Conversely, Middle Tennessee has faced significant challenges, with a record of 1-9 in their last ten games and currently on a six-game losing streak. The Blue Raiders have averaged 20.5 points scored while allowing 32.3 points during this stretch. Their last game resulted in a 30-56 loss to Florida International on November 8, 2025. This consistent underperformance has been a key factor in their struggles throughout the season.
In terms of previous meetings, the Hilltoppers and Blue Raiders faced off earlier in the 2024 season, where Western Kentucky emerged victorious with a score of 49-21. This historical context added to the anticipation surrounding the game, as the Hilltoppers looked to extend their dominance over Middle Tennessee.
Injury updates were not provided in the block, but the form of both teams indicates that Western Kentucky was likely to field a healthier squad given their recent success and stronger overall record. The market reflected this sentiment, with Western Kentucky being heavily favored to win, having a home win probability of 0.999 according to the latest odds.
Conditions at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium were conducive to a high-scoring game, which played into the strengths of the Hilltoppers' offense. Fans were treated to an exciting display of football, with Western Kentucky's scoring proficiency on full display.
Viewers should have noted the Hilltoppers' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they consistently found ways to penetrate the Blue Raiders' defense. The game showcased Western Kentucky's offensive strategies, which have been effective throughout the season, particularly at home. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee's struggles to maintain defensive integrity were evident, leading to their inability to keep pace with the Hilltoppers.
Overall, the game served as a testament to the Hilltoppers' strong home-field advantage and their capacity to perform under pressure, while it highlighted the ongoing difficulties faced by the Blue Raiders in their quest for improvement this season.
Leaders
- Passing yardsRodney Tisdale Jr.29/41, 371 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INTWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Rushing yardsMarvis Parrish12 CAR, 102 YDSWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Receiving yardsMatthew Henry7 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TDWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Passing yardsRoman Gagliano25/42, 389 YDS, 2 TDMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Rushing yardsRoman Gagliano14 CAR, 82 YDSMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Receiving yardsMyles Butler7 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TDMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Recent form
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Last 10: 7-3Streak W228.3 scored · 25.7 allowed per game4-1 at home
- W35-16vs New Mexico State AggiesNov 1
- W28-27at Louisiana Tech BulldogsOct 21
- L6-25vs Florida International PanthersOct 15
- W27-24at Delaware Blue HensOct 3
- W27-22at Missouri State BearsSep 27
- W31-16vs Nevada Wolf PackSep 20
- L21-45at Toledo RocketsSep 6
- W55-6vs North Alabama LionsAug 30
- W41-24vs Sam Houston BearkatsAug 23
- L12-52at Jacksonville State GamecocksDec 7
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Last 10: 1-9Streak L620.5 scored · 32.3 allowed per game1-4 away
- L30-56vs Florida International PanthersNov 8
- L21-24vs Jacksonville State GamecocksOct 29
- L28-31at Delaware Blue HensOct 22
- L20-22vs Missouri State BearsOct 8
- L16-24at Kennesaw State OwlsSep 27
- L28-42vs Marshall Thundering HerdSep 20
- W14-13at Nevada Wolf PackSep 13
- L10-42at Wisconsin BadgersSep 6
- L14-34vs Austin Peay GovernorsAug 30
- L24-35at Florida International PanthersNov 30
Standings
| Team | Overall | In conference |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Florida International | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kennesaw State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Liberty | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Middle Tennessee | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Missouri State | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sam Houston | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Western Kentucky | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacksonville State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| New Mexico State | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Box score
| Stat | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 20 | 29 |
| Third downs | 7-15 | 7-12 |
| Fourth downs | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Total yards | 541 | 642 |
| Net passing yards | 389 | 371 |
| Completions | 25/42 | 29/41 |
| Yards per pass | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| Rushing yards | 152 | 271 |
| Rushing attempts | 25 | 38 |
| Yards per rush | 6.1 | 7.1 |
| Penalties | 9-75 | 4-32 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 1 |
| Time of possession | 26:12 | 33:48 |
Win probability
Above the line favours Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, below favours Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.
Venue
- Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumBowling Green, KY
- Attendance16547
Elsewhere
- No. 14 BYU hosts Utah Tech in season opener for the Cougars
- UCLA visits Cal in season opener for former Pac-12 rivals with new coaches
- Hawkeyes host Northern Illinois in season opener at Kinnick Stadium
- No. 23 Houston opens season at home against Oregon State after 10-win campaign in 2025
- Nebraska opens its 4th season under Matt Rhule with home game against Ohio
- No. 7 Miami opens the season with a cross-country trip to face Stanford
Picks for NCAAF
NCAAF rules and settlement
- A 42-point college football spread is not a prediction of a 42-point win
- How the moneyline works in college football
- What reverse line movement means in college football
- What an injury report means in college football
- What weather means in college football
- What a divisional game means in college football