Celtics Edge Bucks in Close Contest at TD Garden
Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · TD Garden
Boston Celtics 109, Milwaukee Bucks 102, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.
The next free pick, for your email
Team, bet, price and the hash it was sealed under, on this page the moment you send. Lose or win, it stays public.
or by email
Public record of the main pick, losses included: 115 won, 44 lost. See every pick
One free pick a day by email until you unsubscribe, in one click. 21+.
Quick answers
Who won Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?
Boston Celtics beat Milwaukee Bucks 109-102 at TD Garden on November 4, 2026.
Who was favored in Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?
Boston Celtics were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -567 (about 85% implied). The favorite won.
In a tightly contested matchup, the Boston Celtics secured a 109-102 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks at TD Garden. The Celtics, boasting a strong home record of 6-0, have shown resilience despite their recent loss to the Houston Rockets, which snapped a four-game winning streak. They have averaged 116.8 points per game while allowing 110.2 in their last ten outings, reflecting their offensive prowess and defensive capabilities.
Conversely, the Bucks continue to struggle, now sitting at 1-8 for the season after this latest defeat. They have lost their last three games and have a dismal away record of 0-5. In their last ten games, they have averaged 112.0 points but have allowed a staggering 124.0 points per game, highlighting significant defensive issues.
The Celtics' recent form has been impressive, with a record of 7-3 in their last ten games. They have shown a strong scoring ability, particularly at home, where they have averaged 117.0 points in their last five games. In contrast, the Bucks have only managed to win 2 out of their last 10 games, with their only victory coming against the Indiana Pacers. The Bucks' scoring average has dipped to 107.4 points in their last five games, while they have allowed 121.8 points, indicating a troubling trend.
In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Celtics have dominated the recent meetings, winning three out of the last four encounters against the Bucks. Their last meeting prior to this game was on April 4, 2026, where the Celtics won decisively with a score of 133-101.
Injury concerns also played a role in this matchup. The Celtics were without key player Jayson Tatum, who was resting, and Devin Carter, who was sidelined due to illness. Payton Pritchard was listed as day-to-day with an eye issue. The Bucks also faced challenges with Kam Jones out due to an ankle injury.
The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Celtics as 12.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -567. The total points line was set at 222.5, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -106. This reflects the expectation of a competitive game, though the Celtics' strong home performance and the Bucks' struggles have influenced the odds.
As the game unfolded, viewers witnessed a back-and-forth battle, with both teams exchanging leads. Key moments included Derrick White's late-game free throws, which helped seal the victory for the Celtics. The final minutes were marked by clutch plays, including a crucial three-pointer from Paul George that extended Boston's lead. The Bucks fought hard, with Tyler Herro contributing important free throws, but ultimately fell short.
Overall, the game showcased the Celtics' ability to perform under pressure at home, while the Bucks continued to search for answers amidst a challenging start to their season. Fans can expect further developments as both teams navigate their respective paths in the NBA.
What we said beforehand
This matchup will take place at TD Garden on November 5, 2026, at 00:30 UTC. The Celtics have shown impressive form recently, winning four of their last five games, with their only loss coming against the Houston Rockets, where they fell 109-93. Their recent victories include a dominant 134-99 win over the Chicago Bulls and a narrow 125-124 overtime victory against the Brooklyn Nets. In contrast, the Bucks have lost their last three games, including a 112-100 defeat against the Minnesota Timberwolves and a 136-111 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.
At home, the Celtics have been particularly strong, boasting a perfect home record of 6-0. They average 117.0 points scored and allow 108.0 points in their last five games at home. The Bucks, however, have struggled on the road, with an away record of 0-5 in their last five games, averaging just 107.4 points while allowing 121.8 points.
In their previous meetings this season, the Celtics have dominated the Bucks, winning three out of four encounters. Their most recent matchup resulted in a convincing 133-101 win for the Celtics on April 4, 2026. The Celtics' ability to consistently outscore the Bucks in these matchups will be a critical factor in the upcoming game.
In terms of injuries, the Celtics will be without Devin Carter due to illness and Jayson Tatum, who is resting. The Bucks have Kam Jones listed as day-to-day with an ankle injury, which could impact their performance.
The betting market reflects the Celtics' strong position, with DraftKings setting the spread at -12.5 in favor of the Celtics. The total points line is set at 221.5, with over odds at -115.0 and under odds at -105.0. The moneyline shows the Celtics at -567.0 and the Bucks at 424.0.
As for the conditions, the game will take place indoors at TD Garden, providing a controlled environment for both teams. Fans should pay attention to how the Celtics manage the absence of Tatum and Carter, as well as how the Bucks respond to their recent struggles on the road. The performance of key players like Tyler Herro for the Bucks, who leads the team with an average of 21.9 points per game, will also be crucial in determining the outcome.
Odds
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BOS -12.5 | 222.5 o -115 / u -106 | Milwaukee Bucks +424 · Boston Celtics -567 |
Injury report
- Payton PritchardDay-To-DayEyeBoston Celtics
- Devin CarterOutIllnessBoston Celtics
- Jayson TatumOutRestBoston Celtics
- Kam JonesOutAnkleMilwaukee Bucks
Leaders
- PointsPaul George25Boston Celtics
- AssistsDerrick White7Boston Celtics
- ReboundsNeemias Queta12Boston Celtics
- PointsTyler Herro25Milwaukee Bucks
- AssistsMyles Turner6Milwaukee Bucks
- ReboundsRyan Rollins9Milwaukee Bucks
Recent form
Boston Celtics
Last 10: 7-3Streak L1116.8 scored · 110.2 allowed per game6-0 at home
- L93-109at Houston RocketsNov 3
- W108-97at Orlando MagicNov 1
- W125-111vs Chicago BullsOct 30
- W125-124vs Brooklyn NetsOct 27
- W134-99vs Chicago BullsOct 26
- W107-103vs New York KnicksOct 23
- L113-121at Detroit PistonsOct 20
- W113-108vs Orlando MagicApr 12
- W144-118vs New Orleans PelicansApr 10
- L106-112at New York KnicksApr 9
Milwaukee Bucks
Last 10: 2-8Streak L3112 scored · 124 allowed per game0-5 away
- L100-112at Minnesota TimberwolvesNov 3
- L111-136vs Cleveland CavaliersNov 1
- L100-132vs Houston RocketsOct 29
- W110-102vs Indiana PacersOct 27
- L116-127at Philadelphia 76ersOct 24
- L125-132vs Chicago BullsOct 23
- L116-128at Washington WizardsOct 21
- L106-126at Philadelphia 76ersApr 12
- W125-108vs Brooklyn NetsApr 11
- L111-137at Detroit PistonsApr 8
Standings
| Team | Games behind | Lost | Streak | Win % | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | - | 1 | W3 | .857 | 6 |
| Cleveland | 2 | 3 | L1 | .571 | 4 |
| Indiana | 4.5 | 6 | L5 | .250 | 2 |
| Chicago | 5 | 6 | L5 | .143 | 1 |
| Milwaukee | 5.5 | 7 | L4 | .125 | 1 |
| Philadelphia | - | 1 | W4 | .875 | 7 |
| Boston | 1 | 2 | W1 | .750 | 6 |
| Toronto | 2.5 | 3 | W1 | .571 | 4 |
| New York | 3.5 | 4 | W1 | .429 | 3 |
| Brooklyn | 5.5 | 6 | L1 | .143 | 1 |
Box score
| Stat | Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | 35-85 | 37-91 |
| Field goal % | 41 | 41 |
| Three-pointers | 19-47 | 16-39 |
| Three-point % | 40 | 41 |
| Free throws | 13-19 | 19-25 |
| Free throw % | 68 | 76 |
| Rebounds | 45 | 54 |
| Offensive rebounds | 11 | 19 |
| Defensive rebounds | 34 | 35 |
| Assists | 28 | 24 |
| Steals | 6 | 8 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers | 14 | 12 |
| Team turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Technical fouls | 0 | 1 |
| Technical fouls, total | 0 | 1 |
| Flagrant fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Points off turnovers | 17 | 16 |
| Fast-break points | 13 | 9 |
| Points in the paint | 30 | 34 |
| Fouls | 22 | 19 |
| Largest lead | 1 | 22 |
| Lead changes | 4 | 4 |
| Time in front | 1 | 93 |
How the scoring went
- 3rd Quarter67-74Tyler Herro makes running layup
- 3rd Quarter67-77Baylor Scheierman makes 25-foot three point jumper (Payton Pritchard assists)
- 3rd Quarter67-80Baylor Scheierman makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot
- 3rd Quarter70-80Myles Turner makes 30-foot three point jumper (Ryan Rollins assists)
- 3rd Quarter73-80Tyler Herro makes 26-foot three point jumper (Myles Turner assists)
- 3rd Quarter75-80Ryan Rollins makes driving layup (Myles Turner assists)
- 3rd Quarter75-82Derrick White makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot (Neemias Queta assists)
- 3rd Quarter77-82Tyler Herro makes 4-foot layup (Ryan Rollins assists)
- 3rd Quarter77-85Sam Hauser makes 26-foot three point jumper (Derrick White assists)
- 3rd Quarter78-85Tyler Herro makes free throw 1 of 2
- 3rd Quarter79-85Tyler Herro makes free throw 2 of 2
- 3rd Quarter79-87Neemias Queta makes tip shot
- 4th Quarter82-87Ryan Rollins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
- 4th Quarter85-87Nate Ament makes 28-foot three point jumper (Ryan Rollins assists)
- 4th Quarter85-88Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter85-89Derrick White makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter85-91Paul George makes two point shot
- 4th Quarter87-91Kel'el Ware makes tip shot
- 4th Quarter89-91Ryan Rollins makes dunk (Kel'el Ware assists)
- 4th Quarter91-91Nate Ament makes running layup (Ryan Rollins assists)
- 4th Quarter92-91Nate Ament makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter92-92Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter92-93Derrick White makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter92-95Paul George makes two point shot (Derrick White assists)
- 4th Quarter93-95AJ Green makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter94-95AJ Green makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter96-95Brayden Burries makes 14-foot driving floating jump shot (AJ Green assists)
- 4th Quarter96-96Paul George makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter96-97Paul George makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter97-97Kyle Kuzma makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter97-99Neemias Queta makes 2-foot layup (Paul George assists)
- 4th Quarter97-101Derrick White makes 1-foot layup (Baylor Scheierman assists)
- 4th Quarter97-102Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 1
- 4th Quarter97-104Derrick White makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot (Neemias Queta assists)
- 4th Quarter98-104Tyler Herro makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter99-104Tyler Herro makes free throw 2 of 2
- 4th Quarter99-107Paul George makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 4th Quarter102-107Ryan Rollins makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
- 4th Quarter102-108Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 2
- 4th Quarter102-109Derrick White makes free throw 2 of 2
Win probability
Above the line favours Boston Celtics, below favours Milwaukee Bucks.
Venue
- TD GardenBoston, MA
- Attendance19156
- OfficialsJames Capers, Dedric Taylor, Julian Scott
Elsewhere
- Alexander-Walker scores 26, Hawks down Trae Young's Wizards 120-105
- Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards: Game Highlights
- Hornets' Kon Knueppel exits 6 minutes into season debut with leg soreness
- Updated NBA championship, MVP odds: Rockets' odds shorten; Doncic leads for MVP
- NBA Wednesday Teaser
- Shams Charania: Warriors will withhold payments from Kristaps Porzingis
Picks for NBA
NBA rules and settlement
These two, other days
- Celtics Dominate Bucks in Key NBA MatchupApr 3, 2026
- Celtics Defeat Bucks 108-81 in NBA MatchupMar 2, 2026
- Celtics Dominate Bucks at TD GardenFeb 1, 2026
- Bucks Defeat Celtics 116-101 at Fiserv ForumDec 11, 2025