NBA · Final

Miami Heat Edge Milwaukee Bucks in Close Contest

105

112

Thursday, March 12, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · Kaseya Center

Miami Heat 112, Milwaukee Bucks 105, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat beat Milwaukee Bucks 112-105 at Kaseya Center on March 12, 2026.

Who was favored in Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat?

Miami Heat were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -218 (about 69% implied). The favorite won.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Miami Heat secured a victory over the Milwaukee Bucks with a final score of 112-105. This win marks the Heat's third consecutive win, extending their impressive home record to 39-29, while the Bucks fall to 27-39 on the season. The game took place at the Kaseya Center, where the Heat have been particularly dominant, boasting a home record of 6-0 in their last six games.

The Heat entered the game with a strong recent form, having won eight of their last ten games, with an average of 126.2 points scored and 114.1 points allowed during this stretch. Their last five games saw them winning all of them, averaging 129.8 points scored and allowing 113.4 points. In contrast, the Bucks have struggled, winning only three of their last ten games and averaging 104.7 points scored while allowing 119.9 points. Their recent form includes two consecutive losses, with their last five games yielding just one win and an average of 102.4 points scored.

Historically, the matchup has favored the Bucks in recent seasons, with the Heat holding a 2-1 advantage in the current series. However, the Bucks had previously defeated the Heat 128-117 in their last encounter on February 25, 2026. This recent history added an extra layer of intrigue to the game, as both teams were keen to assert their dominance.

In terms of injuries, the Heat faced challenges with several key players listed as day-to-day, including Giannis Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo, Trevor Keels, Ryan Conwell, and Myron Gardner. The Bucks also had Kevin Porter Jr. listed as day-to-day due to a knee issue. The status of these players was a point of concern leading up to the game, potentially impacting both teams' performance.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, had the Heat favored by 5.5 points, with a total set at 233.5. The odds reflected the Heat's strong home performance and recent form, while the Bucks' struggles on the road were also taken into account.

The game conditions were conducive for a competitive matchup, with both teams looking to capitalize on their strengths. The Heat's scoring prowess was on display, particularly in the fourth quarter, where they managed to hold off a late charge from the Bucks. Key moments included crucial free throws by Bam Adebayo and a critical three-point shot from Pelle Larsson, which helped the Heat maintain their lead.

As the game unfolded, viewers were treated to a showcase of talent and resilience from both teams. The Heat's ability to execute under pressure, particularly in the closing moments, was a highlight, while the Bucks demonstrated their fighting spirit despite the loss. The final score underscored the competitive nature of the matchup, leaving fans eager for the next encounter between these two teams.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	MIA -5.5	233.5 o -110 / u -110	Milwaukee Bucks +180 · Miami Heat -218

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Giannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Bam AdebayoDay-To-DayBackMiami Heat
Trevor KeelsDay-To-DayKneeMiami Heat
Ryan ConwellDay-To-DayHipMiami Heat
Myron GardnerDay-To-DayAnkleMiami Heat
Kevin Porter Jr.Day-To-DayKneeMilwaukee Bucks

Leaders

PointsPelle Larsson28Miami Heat
AssistsJaime Jaquez Jr.7Miami Heat
ReboundsKel'el Ware13Miami Heat
PointsGiannis Antetokounmpo31Milwaukee Bucks
AssistsRyan Rollins10Milwaukee Bucks
ReboundsKevin Porter Jr.7Milwaukee Bucks

Recent form

Miami Heat

Last 10: 8-2Streak W6126.2 scored · 114.1 allowed per game6-0 at home

W150-129vs Washington WizardsMar 10
W121-110vs Detroit PistonsMar 8
W128-120at Charlotte HornetsMar 7
W126-110vs Brooklyn NetsMar 6
W124-98vs Brooklyn NetsMar 4
W115-105vs Houston RocketsFeb 28
L117-124at Philadelphia 76ersFeb 27
L117-128at Milwaukee BucksFeb 25
W136-120vs Memphis GrizzliesFeb 22
W128-97at Atlanta HawksFeb 21

Milwaukee Bucks

Last 10: 3-7Streak L2104.7 scored · 119.9 allowed per game0-1 away

L114-129vs Phoenix SunsMar 11
L91-130vs Orlando MagicMar 9
W113-99vs Utah JazzMar 8
L113-131vs Atlanta HawksMar 5
L81-108vs Boston CelticsMar 3
L97-120at Chicago BullsMar 1
L98-127vs New York KnicksFeb 28
W118-116vs Cleveland CavaliersFeb 26
W128-117vs Miami HeatFeb 25
L94-122vs Toronto RaptorsFeb 22

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Detroit	-	22	W3	.732	60
Cleveland	8	30	W1	.634	52
Milwaukee	28	50	L1	.390	32
Chicago	29	51	L2	.378	31
Indiana	41	63	L2	.232	19
Atlanta	-	36	L1	.561	46
Orlando	1	37	L1	.549	45
Charlotte	2	38	W1	.537	44
Miami	3	39	W2	.524	43
Washington	29	65	L10	.207	17

Box score

Stat	Milwaukee Bucks	Miami Heat
Field goals	41-83	38-92
Field goal %	49	41
Three-pointers	9-26	14-41
Three-point %	35	34
Free throws	14-19	22-27
Free throw %	74	81
Rebounds	36	53
Offensive rebounds	3	15
Defensive rebounds	33	38
Assists	26	26
Steals	10	4
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers	14	11
Team turnovers	0	1
Technical fouls	0	0
Technical fouls, total	0	0
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	16	15
Fast-break points	15	27
Points in the paint	52	44
Fouls	30	14
Largest lead	0	15
Lead changes	0	0
Time in front	0	99

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter69-78Ryan Rollins makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot
3rd Quarter71-78Ryan Rollins makes running layup
3rd Quarter74-78Taurean Prince makes 22-foot three point jumper (Ryan Rollins assists)
3rd Quarter74-80Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 9-foot two point shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
3rd Quarter74-83Kasparas Jakucionis makes 25-foot three point jumper (Pelle Larsson assists)
3rd Quarter77-83Bobby Portis makes 25-foot three pointer (Ryan Rollins assists)
3rd Quarter77-84Pelle Larsson makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter77-85Pelle Larsson makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter77-88Myron Gardner makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot
4th Quarter80-88Bobby Portis makes 22-foot three point jumper (AJ Green assists)
4th Quarter80-90Dru Smith makes driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
4th Quarter82-90Ryan Rollins makes 1-foot layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter84-90Cam Thomas makes 10-foot pullup jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)
4th Quarter84-92Bam Adebayo makes two point shot
4th Quarter84-94Bam Adebayo makes two point shot
4th Quarter86-94Taurean Prince makes 11-foot two point shot
4th Quarter88-94Giannis Antetokounmpo makes driving layup
4th Quarter89-94Giannis Antetokounmpo makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter89-96Pelle Larsson makes 8-foot two point shot
4th Quarter91-96Kyle Kuzma makes two point shot
4th Quarter92-96Kyle Kuzma makes 23-foot running jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
4th Quarter94-98Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes tip shot
4th Quarter94-99Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter94-100Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter94-101Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter96-101Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 1-foot two point shot
4th Quarter96-102Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter96-103Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter98-103Kevin Porter Jr. makes 15-foot two point shot
4th Quarter100-103Jericho Sims makes layup
4th Quarter101-103Jericho Sims makes free throw 1 of 1
4th Quarter101-105Pelle Larsson makes driving layup
4th Quarter101-106Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter101-107Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter102-107Ryan Rollins makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter103-107Ryan Rollins makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter103-108Bam Adebayo makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter105-108Giannis Antetokounmpo makes driving layup
4th Quarter105-111Pelle Larsson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists)
4th Quarter105-112Bam Adebayo makes free throw 1 of 2