NBA · Final

Bucks Edge Thunder in Close Contest

128

126

Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 8:00 PM ET · Paycom Center

Milwaukee Bucks 128, Oklahoma City Thunder 126, final. Our NBA picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Milwaukee Bucks beat Oklahoma City Thunder 128-126 at Paycom Center on October 7, 2026.

Who was favored in Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Oklahoma City Thunder were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -520 (about 84% implied). The underdog won.

In a thrilling matchup at the Paycom Center, the Milwaukee Bucks narrowly defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder with a final score of 128 to 126. This game was notable not only for its close finish but also for the implications it has for both teams moving forward in the season. The Bucks improved their record to 1-1, while the Thunder fell to 0-2, continuing their struggle to find form early in the season.

The Thunder entered the game with a home record of 0-2, looking to turn their fortunes around after a disappointing start. In their last ten games, they boasted a record of 7-3, but recent performances had seen them on a three-game losing streak. They averaged 121.2 points scored while allowing 110.5 points per game, indicating their offensive capabilities, although their recent form had dipped, with an average of 114.2 points scored and 115.0 points allowed in their last five games.

Conversely, the Bucks, with an away record of 1-1, had struggled in their last ten games, recording only three wins against seven losses. They averaged 111.0 points scored and 117.6 points allowed over that span, and had lost their last two games leading into this matchup. Their recent form was concerning, with an average of 105.8 points scored and 116.6 points allowed in their last five games.

The matchup was particularly intriguing as it marked the first of a series between the two teams, with the next meeting scheduled for November 28. Historically, the teams had split their previous two meetings in the current season, with the Thunder winning 122-102 on January 22 and the Bucks winning 110-93 on February 13.

In terms of injuries, the Thunder were dealing with several key players listed as day-to-day, including Thomas Sorber (knee), Chet Holmgren (rest), Nikola Topic (back), Isaiah Hartenstein (ankle), and Jaylin Williams (heel). The Bucks had Nate Ament (ankle) also listed as day-to-day, which could impact their rotation.

From a betting perspective, DraftKings had the Thunder as 12.5-point favorites with a total set at 218.5. The odds reflected the expectation that the Thunder would perform better at home, despite their struggles thus far this season.

The game conditions were typical for early October, with both teams looking to establish rhythm and chemistry as the season progresses. As the game unfolded, the tension built, especially in the fourth quarter. Key scoring plays included a crucial running dunk by Brayden Burries that tied the game at 122, followed by a driving layup from Cormac Ryan that pushed the Bucks ahead. Burries continued to make his presence felt, contributing free throws that helped secure the lead for Milwaukee.

The final moments saw the Thunder fighting to regain control, but the Bucks held on to their lead, showcasing resilience and clutch performance under pressure. The Thunder's inability to convert in critical moments ultimately cost them the game, leaving them still searching for their first win of the season.

As both teams look ahead, the Bucks will aim to build on this victory, while the Thunder will need to address their recent struggles and find a way to turn their season around.

What we said beforehand

The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Milwaukee Bucks at Paycom Center on October 8, 2026, in what marks the beginning of their series, with the second meeting scheduled for November 28. Both teams enter this matchup with a record of 0-1, having lost their respective opening games of the season. This fixture is particularly intriguing as both teams are looking to bounce back from disappointing starts and establish momentum early in the season.

In their last five games, the Thunder have struggled, recording a 2-3 record. Their most recent game ended in a loss against the New Orleans Pelicans, where they fell 110-116. Prior to that, they faced the San Antonio Spurs multiple times, losing three out of four encounters. Over this stretch, the Thunder have averaged 114.2 points scored per game while allowing 115.0 points. Their overall home record in the last ten games stands at 7-3, but they are currently on a three-game losing streak.

The Bucks have had a tough time as well, winning just one of their last five games, with their most recent defeat coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, where they lost 97-116. They have averaged 105.8 points scored in their last five games, while allowing 116.6 points. The Bucks also have a poor away record, having lost all four of their last away games. Their recent form shows a stark contrast to their overall performance in the last ten games, where they hold a record of 3-7.

Historically, the Thunder and Bucks are evenly matched in their recent encounters, with a head-to-head record of 1-1 in the 2026 season. The Thunder won their first meeting on January 22 with a score of 122-102, while the Bucks claimed victory in the second meeting on February 13, winning 110-93.

In terms of injuries, the Thunder have several players listed as day-to-day. Thomas Sorber is dealing with a knee issue, Chet Holmgren is resting, Nikola Topic has a back concern, Isaiah Hartenstein is managing an ankle injury, and Jaylin Williams has a heel problem. The status of these players could significantly impact the Thunder's performance against the Bucks.

The betting market, as provided by DraftKings, has set the spread at Oklahoma City -12.5, with a total of 218.5 points for the game. The odds for the Thunder to win outright are -520, while the Bucks are at +390.

As the game approaches, viewers should watch for how the Thunder respond to their recent struggles and whether they can leverage their home-court advantage. The performance of their key players, particularly those dealing with injuries, will be crucial in determining the outcome of this matchup.

Odds

Book	Spread	Total	Moneyline
DraftKings	OKC -12.5	218.5 o -110 / u -110	Milwaukee Bucks +390 · Oklahoma City Thunder -520

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Injury report

Thomas SorberDay-To-DayKneeOklahoma City Thunder
Chet HolmgrenDay-To-DayRestOklahoma City Thunder
Nikola TopicDay-To-DayBackOklahoma City Thunder
Isaiah HartensteinDay-To-DayAnkleOklahoma City Thunder
Jaylin WilliamsDay-To-DayHeelOklahoma City Thunder
Nate AmentDay-To-DayAnkleMilwaukee Bucks

Leaders

PointsAday Mara22Oklahoma City Thunder
AssistsJalen Williams6Oklahoma City Thunder
ReboundsAday Mara6Oklahoma City Thunder
PointsMyles Turner19Milwaukee Bucks
AssistsRyan Rollins7Milwaukee Bucks
ReboundsKel'el Ware12Milwaukee Bucks

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder

Last 10: 7-3Streak L3121.2 scored · 110.5 allowed per game5-2 at home

L110-116vs New Orleans PelicansOct 7
L103-135vs Phoenix SunsApr 13
L107-127at Denver NuggetsApr 11
W128-110at LA ClippersApr 9
W123-87at Los Angeles LakersApr 8
W146-111vs Utah JazzApr 5
W139-96vs Los Angeles LakersApr 3
W114-110vs Detroit PistonsMar 31
W111-100vs New York KnicksMar 29
W131-113vs Chicago BullsMar 28

Milwaukee Bucks

Last 10: 3-7Streak L2111 scored · 117.6 allowed per game0-4 away

L97-116vs Minnesota TimberwolvesOct 6
L106-126at Philadelphia 76ersApr 12
W125-108vs Brooklyn NetsApr 11
L111-137at Detroit PistonsApr 8
L90-96at Brooklyn NetsApr 7
W131-115vs Memphis GrizzliesApr 5
L101-133vs Boston CelticsApr 4
L113-119at Houston RocketsApr 2
W123-99vs Dallas MavericksApr 1
L113-127vs LA ClippersMar 29

Standings

Team	Games behind	Lost	Streak	Win %	Won
Indiana	-	0	W1	1.000	1
Chicago	-	0	W1	1.000	1
Detroit	-	0	W1	1.000	1
Milwaukee	0.5	1	W1	.500	1
Cleveland	0.5	0	-	.000	0
Utah	-	1	L1	.500	1
Denver	-	1	W1	.500	1
Minnesota	-	1	L1	.500	1
Portland	-	0	-	.000	0
Oklahoma City	1	2	L2	.000	0

Box score

Stat	Milwaukee Bucks	Oklahoma City Thunder
Field goals	44-95	46-93
Field goal %	46	49
Three-pointers	14-44	17-46
Three-point %	32	37
Free throws	26-35	17-26
Free throw %	74	65
Rebounds	59	39
Offensive rebounds	20	8
Defensive rebounds	39	31
Assists	31	34
Steals	8	8
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers	17	14
Team turnovers	0	2
Technical fouls	0	0
Technical fouls, total	0	0
Flagrant fouls	0	0
Points off turnovers	17	17
Fast-break points	11	18
Points in the paint	54	54
Fouls	26	24
Largest lead	6	24
Lead changes	7	7
Time in front	14	81

How the scoring went

3rd Quarter91-96Bennett Stirtz makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter93-96Ousmane Dieng makes 1-foot layup (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
3rd Quarter93-99Josh Dix makes 23-foot three point jumper (Bennett Stirtz assists)
3rd Quarter94-99Kasparas Jakucionis makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter95-99Kasparas Jakucionis makes free throw 2 of 2
3rd Quarter95-100Bennett Stirtz makes free throw 1 of 2
3rd Quarter97-100Jericho Sims makes 1-foot dunk (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
3rd Quarter97-102Bennett Stirtz makes 16-foot step back jumpshot (Andrew Holifield assists)
4th Quarter99-102Jericho Sims makes driving dunk (Ousmane Dieng assists)
4th Quarter101-102Kel'el Ware makes reverse layup (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
4th Quarter101-105Bennett Stirtz makes 26-foot three point shot
4th Quarter103-105Kel'el Ware makes driving layup
4th Quarter103-108Bennett Stirtz makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
4th Quarter103-110Brooks Barnhizer makes running dunk (Bennett Stirtz assists)
4th Quarter103-113Bennett Stirtz makes 25-foot three point jumper (Anthony Pritchard assists)
4th Quarter104-113Kel'el Ware makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter107-113Pete Nance makes 22-foot three point jumper (Kam Jones assists)
4th Quarter110-113Pete Nance makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kam Jones assists)
4th Quarter111-113Brayden Burries makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter112-113Bogoljub Markovic makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter113-113Bogoljub Markovic makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter114-113Brayden Burries makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter116-113Brayden Burries makes two point shot
4th Quarter116-115Brooks Barnhizer makes 5-foot fade away jump shot
4th Quarter116-116Bennett Stirtz makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter116-117Bennett Stirtz makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter116-118Anthony Pritchard makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter117-118Brayden Burries makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter118-118Brayden Burries makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter118-121Bennett Stirtz makes 25-foot three point jumper (Anthony Pritchard assists)
4th Quarter120-121Brayden Burries makes driving layup
4th Quarter120-122Anthony Pritchard makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter122-122Brayden Burries makes 1-foot running dunk
4th Quarter124-122Cormac Ryan makes driving layup (Ousmane Dieng assists)
4th Quarter125-122Brayden Burries makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter126-122Brayden Burries makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter126-124Otega Oweh makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
4th Quarter127-124Ousmane Dieng makes free throw 1 of 2
4th Quarter128-124Ousmane Dieng makes free throw 2 of 2
4th Quarter128-126Brooks Barnhizer makes tip shot

Win probability

Above the line favours Oklahoma City Thunder, below favours Milwaukee Bucks.

Venue

Paycom CenterOklahoma City, OK
OfficialsJosh Tiven, Nate Cearley, Chelisa Painter, Karl Lane, CJ Washington, JD Ralls