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NCAAF · Final

Gators Edge Bulldogs in Close Contest

Saturday, October 18, 2025, 4:15 PM ET · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Florida Gators 23, Mississippi State Bulldogs 21, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Florida Gators?

Florida Gators beat Mississippi State Bulldogs 23-21 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on October 18, 2025.

In a tightly contested matchup, the Florida Gators narrowly defeated the Mississippi State Bulldogs with a final score of 23-21 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. This game showcased the competitive spirit of both teams, with Florida managing to secure the win despite a recent struggle in form.

The Gators entered the game with a home record of 3-4 and had been on a downward trend, losing their last game against Texas A&M Aggies 17-34. Over their last ten games, Florida's record stood at 5-5, with an average of 23.3 points scored and 21.2 points allowed per game. However, their recent performance had been concerning, as they recorded a 1-4 streak in their last five games, averaging only 15.8 points while allowing 23.8 points.

On the other side, the Bulldogs came into the game with an away record of 4-3. Their recent form had also seen them falter, losing their last two games, including a 9-31 defeat to Texas A&M. Mississippi State's overall record in their last ten games was 5-5, with an impressive scoring average of 29.5 points per game, while allowing 23.7 points. In their last five games, they had a record of 3-2, scoring an average of 33.6 points and allowing 20.4.

Historically, the Gators had a slight edge in their previous meetings, having won the only encounter against the Bulldogs in the 2024 season with a score of 45-28. This prior victory likely added to the confidence of the Gators heading into this game.

In terms of home and away performance, Florida had a solid home record of 4-1 in their last five games at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, while Mississippi State struggled on the road with a 1-3 record in their last four away games. This context made the matchup even more intriguing as both teams looked to improve their standings.

Injury reports leading up to the game did not indicate any major losses for either team, allowing both squads to field their strongest lineups. This was crucial as both teams aimed to capitalize on their offensive strengths.

The betting market reflected Florida's slight advantage, with their win probability set at 1.0, indicating strong confidence in their ability to secure the victory at home. This was backed by the Gators' home-field advantage, which often plays a significant role in college football.

Conditions at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium were favorable for a competitive game, with clear weather allowing both teams to execute their game plans effectively. Fans could expect a hard-fought battle, with Florida's defense needing to step up against Mississippi State's high-scoring offense.

Overall, the matchup between the Gators and Bulldogs proved to be a thrilling encounter, with Florida emerging victorious in a game that showcased their resilience and determination. The final score of 23-21 reflects the competitive nature of college football, where every point counts and each game can be a defining moment in a team's season.

Leaders

  • Passing yardsDJ Lagway20/34, 280 YDS, 2 INTFlorida Gators
  • Rushing yardsJadan Baugh23 CAR, 150 YDS, 1 TDFlorida Gators
  • Receiving yardsVernell Brown III5 REC, 83 YDSFlorida Gators
  • Passing yardsBlake Shapen24/36, 324 YDS, 1 INTMississippi State Bulldogs
  • Rushing yardsDavon Booth22 CAR, 105 YDS, 2 TDMississippi State Bulldogs
  • Receiving yardsBrenen Thompson7 REC, 155 YDSMississippi State Bulldogs

Recent form

Florida Gators

Last 10: 5-5Streak L123.3 scored · 21.2 allowed per game4-1 at home

  • L17-34at Texas A&M AggiesOct 11
  • W29-21vs Texas LonghornsOct 4
  • L7-26at Miami HurricanesSep 20
  • L10-20at LSU TigersSep 13
  • L16-18vs South Florida BullsSep 6
  • W55-0vs Long Island University SharksAug 30
  • W31-11at Florida State SeminolesDec 1
  • W24-17vs Ole Miss RebelsNov 23
  • W27-16vs LSU TigersNov 16
  • L17-49at Texas LonghornsNov 9

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Last 10: 5-5Streak L229.5 scored · 23.7 allowed per game1-3 away

  • L9-31at Texas A&M AggiesOct 4
  • L34-41vs Tennessee VolunteersSep 27
  • W38-10vs Northern Illinois HuskiesSep 20
  • W63-0vs Alcorn State BravesSep 13
  • W24-20vs Arizona State Sun DevilsSep 6
  • W34-17at Southern Miss Golden EaglesAug 30
  • L14-26at Ole Miss RebelsNov 29
  • L20-39vs Missouri TigersNov 23
  • L14-33at Tennessee VolunteersNov 10
  • W45-20vs Massachusetts MinutemenNov 2

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Alabama0-00-0
Arkansas0-00-0
Auburn0-00-0
Florida0-00-0
Georgia0-00-0
Kentucky0-00-0
LSU0-00-0
Mississippi State0-00-0
Missouri0-00-0
Oklahoma0-00-0
Ole Miss0-00-0
South Carolina0-00-0
Tennessee0-00-0
Texas A&M0-00-0
Texas0-00-0
Vanderbilt0-00-0

Box score

StatMississippi State BulldogsFlorida Gators
First downs2224
Third downs8-154-12
Fourth downs1-20-0
Total yards468452
Net passing yards324280
Completions24/3620/34
Yards per pass9.08.2
Rushing yards144172
Rushing attempts4434
Yards per rush3.35.1
Penalties7-607-60
Turnovers22
Fumbles lost10
Interceptions thrown12
Time of possession30:0529:55

Win probability

Above the line favours Florida Gators, below favours Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Venue

  • Ben Hill Griffin StadiumGainesville, FL
  • Attendance90203

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.