Texas Longhorns Dominate Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3

What we said beforehand

The Texas Longhorns will host the Mississippi State Bulldogs at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on October 31, 2026. This matchup is particularly intriguing as both teams are looking to solidify their standings in the NCAAF landscape, with Texas holding a home record of 5-2 and Mississippi State at 4-3 overall.

Texas enters the game with a recent record of 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games. They secured victories against the UTSA Roadrunners (30-6), Tennessee Volunteers (20-17), and Ole Miss Rebels (34-27), but faced defeats against the Oklahoma Sooners (24-27) and Florida Gators (24-27). The Longhorns have averaged 26.4 points scored and allowed 20.8 points in their last five outings. At home, they have been particularly strong, with a home record of 6-1 this season, averaging 30.4 points scored and allowing 22.3 points per game over their last ten home games.

On the other hand, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are struggling, having lost their last three games. Their recent performances include victories against the South Carolina Gamecocks (41-34) and Missouri Tigers (31-24), but they suffered defeats against the Alabama Crimson Tide (23-56), LSU Tigers (0-31), and Oklahoma Sooners (15-23). The Bulldogs have averaged 22.0 points scored and allowed 33.6 points in their last five games. Their away record stands at 2-2, showing they can compete on the road, but their overall away performance has been less consistent compared to their home games.

In terms of individual performances, Texas quarterback Arch Manning has thrown for 1,507 yards with 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions this season. Raleek Brown leads the rushing attack with 422 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Ryan Wingo is the top receiver with 456 yards and 4 touchdowns. For Mississippi State, quarterback Kamario Taylor has amassed 1,460 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Fluff Bothwell leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 514 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Anthony Evans III stands out in the receiving department with 647 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Historically, the Longhorns have a slight edge over the Bulldogs, winning their only previous meeting, which took place on October 25, 2025, with a score of 45-38. This adds an interesting layer to the upcoming game as Texas looks to maintain their winning record against Mississippi State.

The betting market reflects Texas as a significant favorite, with DraftKings listing the Longhorns at -19.5 on the spread and a moneyline of -1350. The total points line is set at 49.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. This suggests that the market expects Texas to dominate the game, given their strong home performance and Mississippi State’s recent struggles.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be mild, with temperatures around 75°F, a 49% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts at 4 mph. These conditions should not significantly impact gameplay, allowing both teams to execute their strategies effectively.

Viewers should watch for how Texas can leverage their home-field advantage and whether Mississippi State can find a way to break their losing streak. The performance of each team's quarterback will be crucial, as both Manning and Taylor have shown they can lead their offenses effectively. Additionally, how the Longhorns' defense handles the Bulldogs' passing attack could be a determining factor in the outcome of the game.