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NCAAF · Final

Arkansas State Edges Missouri State in Close Contest

Thursday, December 18, 2025, 9:00 PM ET · Ford Center At The Star

Arkansas State Red Wolves 34, Missouri State Bears 28, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Missouri State Bears vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Missouri State Bears 34-28 at Ford Center At The Star on December 18, 2025.

Who was favored in Missouri State Bears vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Arkansas State Red Wolves were the favorite at DraftKings, moneyline -125 (about 56% implied). The favorite won.

In a thrilling encounter, the Arkansas State Red Wolves triumphed over the Missouri State Bears with a final score of 34-28. This matchup, held at the Ford Center At The Star, showcased two teams with identical records of 7-6 heading into the game, but it was Arkansas State that emerged victorious, solidifying their standing in the league.

Both teams entered the game with a mix of recent performances. Arkansas State had a record of 5-5 in their last ten games, currently on a one-game winning streak after defeating the App State Mountaineers 30-29 on November 29. The Red Wolves averaged 23.7 points scored and allowed 24.8 points per game during this stretch. Their home record stood at 2-3, while they performed better away with a 3-2 record in the same period. In their last five games, they averaged 27.6 points scored and allowed 24.8 points.

On the other side, the Missouri State Bears had a record of 6-4 in their last ten games but were on a two-game losing streak, having lost to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 30-42 and Kennesaw State Owls 34-41 in their most recent outings. The Bears averaged 27.1 points scored and allowed 24.7 points during their last ten games. Their home record was 3-3, while they excelled in away games with a 3-1 record. In their last five games, they averaged 30.2 points scored but allowed a higher average of 29.0 points.

The match was closely contested, reflecting the competitive nature of both squads. Arkansas State's ability to edge out Missouri State can be attributed to their solid performance in the second half, where they managed to secure crucial points that ultimately led to their victory.

In terms of betting, DraftKings had Arkansas State favored with a spread of -1.5, indicating a tight contest was expected. The total points line was set at 55.5, with the odds for the over at -112.0 and the under at -108.0. The moneyline reflected Arkansas State at -125.0 and Missouri State at 105.0, further emphasizing the anticipated competitiveness of the game.

Weather conditions were not detailed in the block, but the indoor venue likely provided a consistent playing environment, free from external weather influences that could affect gameplay.

Injuries were not mentioned in the provided facts, which suggests both teams may have fielded their strongest lineups for this critical game.

Overall, viewers were treated to a hard-fought battle between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Missouri State Bears, with the Red Wolves ultimately claiming victory in a game that showcased the resilience and competitiveness of both teams.

Odds

BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
DraftKingsARST -1.5 55.5 o -112 / u -108 Missouri State Bears +105 · Arkansas State Red Wolves -125

What these prices pay on $100 · What these numbers mean

Leaders

  • Passing yardsJaylen Raynor17/31, 288 YDS, 3 TDArkansas State Red Wolves
  • Rushing yardsKenyon Clay11 CAR, 53 YDSArkansas State Red Wolves
  • Receiving yardsCorey Rucker6 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TDArkansas State Red Wolves
  • Passing yardsJacob Clark25/35, 349 YDS, 4 TDMissouri State Bears
  • Rushing yardsShomari Lawrence16 CAR, 57 YDSMissouri State Bears
  • Receiving yardsDash Luke7 REC, 169 YDS, 2 TDMissouri State Bears

Recent form

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Last 10: 5-5Streak W123.7 scored · 24.8 allowed per game2-3 at home

  • W30-29at App State MountaineersNov 29
  • L30-34vs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsNov 21
  • L21-27vs Southern Miss Golden EaglesNov 8
  • W23-10at Troy TrojansNov 2
  • W34-24vs Georgia Southern EaglesOct 25
  • W15-14at South Alabama JaguarsOct 14
  • W31-30vs Texas State BobcatsOct 4
  • L16-28at UL Monroe WarhawksSep 27
  • L21-28at Kennesaw State OwlsSep 20
  • L16-24vs Iowa State CyclonesSep 13

Missouri State Bears

Last 10: 6-4Streak L227.1 scored · 24.7 allowed per game3-1 away

  • L30-42vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsNov 29
  • L34-41at Kennesaw State OwlsNov 22
  • W38-24vs UTEP MinersNov 15
  • W21-17at Liberty FlamesNov 8
  • W28-21vs Florida International PanthersOct 30
  • W24-17at New Mexico State AggiesOct 23
  • W22-20at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersOct 8
  • L22-27vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersSep 27
  • W42-10vs UT Martin SkyhawksSep 20
  • L10-28vs SMU MustangsSep 13

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Delaware0-00-0
Florida International0-00-0
Kennesaw State0-00-0
Liberty0-00-0
Middle Tennessee0-00-0
Missouri State0-00-0
Sam Houston0-00-0
Western Kentucky0-00-0
Jacksonville State0-10-0
New Mexico State0-10-0

Box score

StatMissouri State BearsArkansas State Red Wolves
First downs2316
Third downs8-152-11
Fourth downs0-00-0
Total yards396359
Net passing yards349288
Completions25/3517/31
Yards per pass10.09.3
Rushing yards4771
Rushing attempts3725
Yards per rush1.32.8
Penalties14-11510-110
Turnovers20
Fumbles lost20
Interceptions thrown00
Time of possession39:0720:53

Win probability

Above the line favours Arkansas State Red Wolves, below favours Missouri State Bears.

Venue

  • Ford Center At The StarFrisco, TX
  • Attendance7782

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.