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NCAAF · Final

Missouri State Edges Middle Tennessee in Close Contest

Wednesday, October 8, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Missouri State Bears 22, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 20, final. Our NCAAF picks are sealed as a hash before kickoff and settled in public, losses included.

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Quick answers

Who won Missouri State Bears vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?

Missouri State Bears beat Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 22-20 at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on October 8, 2025.

In a tightly contested game at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, the Missouri State Bears narrowly defeated the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with a final score of 22-20. This matchup featured two teams with contrasting records and recent performances, making it a significant fixture in the NCAAF landscape. The Blue Raiders entered the game with a home record of 1-5 and an overall record of 2-8 in their last ten games, while the Bears held a more balanced away record of 3-3 and a general record of 5-5 over the same span.

Middle Tennessee has struggled recently, losing their last two games, including a 16-24 defeat against Kennesaw State Owls and a 28-42 loss to Marshall Thundering Herd. Their average scoring in the last five games was 16.4 points, while they allowed an average of 31.0 points. The Blue Raiders' home performance has been particularly disappointing, with a home record of 0-4 this season, contributing to their overall struggles. Their scoring average of 18.4 points per game, combined with an average of 31.8 points allowed, highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.

In contrast, Missouri State came into the game after a loss to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, where they fell 22-27. Despite this setback, the Bears had shown more offensive prowess, averaging 28.4 points scored per game in their last ten outings, while allowing 35.2 points. Their recent form included a strong win against UT Martin Skyhawks, where they scored 42 points, showcasing their capability to put points on the board. On the road, Missouri State had a record of 3-2, indicating a level of resilience away from home.

Historically, the two teams had not faced each other frequently, adding an element of unpredictability to this matchup. The injury report did not specify any key players missing from either side, suggesting both teams were at full strength for this encounter.

The betting market had set the odds with Missouri State as the favorites, reflecting their slightly better form and record. The odds indicated a strong belief in the Bears' ability to secure a win, which ultimately came to fruition as they managed to edge out Middle Tennessee.

Conditions at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium were typical for a fall football game, with no specific weather-related issues reported that could have impacted play. Fans were treated to a competitive atmosphere as both teams fought hard for every yard.

Viewers should have kept an eye on the Bears' offensive strategies, particularly their ability to score under pressure, as they had demonstrated in previous games. Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders needed to focus on tightening their defense to avoid the high-scoring games that had plagued them throughout the season. The close final score reflects the competitive nature of the game, with both teams showing moments of strength and vulnerability.

Leaders

  • Passing yardsNicholas Vattiato30/42, 267 YDS, 2 TDMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
  • Rushing yardsJekail Middlebrook17 CAR, 93 YDSMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
  • Receiving yardsCam'ron Lacy6 REC, 114 YDS, 2 TDMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
  • Passing yardsDeuce Bailey16/31, 278 YDS, 1 TDMissouri State Bears
  • Rushing yardsShomari Lawrence11 CAR, 63 YDSMissouri State Bears
  • Receiving yardsRamone Green Jr.1 REC, 76 YDSMissouri State Bears

Recent form

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Last 10: 2-8Streak L218.4 scored · 31.8 allowed per game0-4 at home

  • L16-24at Kennesaw State OwlsSep 27
  • L28-42vs Marshall Thundering HerdSep 20
  • W14-13at Nevada Wolf PackSep 13
  • L10-42at Wisconsin BadgersSep 6
  • L14-34vs Austin Peay GovernorsAug 30
  • L24-35at Florida International PanthersNov 30
  • L21-36vs New Mexico State AggiesNov 23
  • L17-37vs Liberty FlamesNov 9
  • W20-13at UTEP MinersNov 2
  • L20-42at Jacksonville State GamecocksOct 23

Missouri State Bears

Last 10: 5-5Streak L128.4 scored · 35.2 allowed per game3-2 away

  • L22-27vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersSep 27
  • W42-10vs UT Martin SkyhawksSep 20
  • L10-28vs SMU MustangsSep 13
  • W21-20at Marshall Thundering HerdSep 6
  • L13-73at USC TrojansAug 30
  • L9-45vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsNov 23
  • L21-59at North Dakota State BisonNov 16
  • W59-31at Murray State RacersNov 9
  • W38-17vs Southern Illinois SalukisNov 2
  • W49-42at Northern Iowa PanthersOct 26

Standings

TeamOverallIn conference
Delaware0-00-0
Florida International0-00-0
Kennesaw State0-00-0
Liberty0-00-0
Middle Tennessee0-00-0
Missouri State0-00-0
Sam Houston0-00-0
Western Kentucky0-00-0
Jacksonville State0-10-0
New Mexico State0-10-0

Box score

StatMissouri State BearsMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
First downs1922
Third downs4-157-16
Fourth downs0-10-2
Total yards348353
Net passing yards278267
Completions16/3130/43
Yards per pass9.06.2
Rushing yards7086
Rushing attempts3525
Yards per rush2.03.4
Penalties3-416-54
Turnovers01
Fumbles lost01
Interceptions thrown00
Time of possession30:4229:18

Win probability

Above the line favours Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, below favours Missouri State Bears.

Venue

  • Johnny "Red" Floyd StadiumMurfreesboro, TN
  • Attendance9806

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Fixture data from the league feeds. The report was written from the recorded facts for this game and nothing else.